1. Burden and seasonality of medically attended influenza like illness (ILI) in Ethiopia, 2012 to 2017
- Author
-
Adamu Tayachew, Mesfin Mengesha, Desalegn Belay, Wubayehu Kassa, Abdulhafiz Hassen, Mikias Mekonen, Berhan Beyene, Workenesh Ayele, Etsehiwot Zemelak, Zewdu Assefa, Abyot Bekele Woyessa, Bethel Teshome, Musse Tadesse, and Beyene Moges
- Subjects
Male ,Respiratory Tract Diseases ,Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype ,0302 clinical medicine ,Medical microbiology ,Medicine ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Young adult ,Child ,0303 health sciences ,education.field_of_study ,Incidence ,Incidence (epidemiology) ,virus diseases ,Middle Aged ,3. Good health ,Hospitalization ,Infectious Diseases ,Child, Preschool ,Female ,Seasons ,Research Article ,Adult ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Adolescent ,Population ,Early detection ,Incidence rate ,lcsh:Infectious and parasitic diseases ,Young Adult ,03 medical and health sciences ,Influenza, Human ,Humans ,lcsh:RC109-216 ,education ,Influenza-like illness ,030306 microbiology ,business.industry ,Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype ,Infant ,Seasonality ,medicine.disease ,Influenza ,SARI ,Tropical medicine ,ILI ,Ethiopia ,Laboratories ,business ,Sentinel Surveillance ,Demography - Abstract
Background The influenza virus spreads rapidly around the world in seasonal epidemics, resulting in significant morbidity and mortality. Influenza-related incidence data are limited in many countries in Africa despite established sentinel surveillance. This study aimed to address the information gap by estimating the burden and seasonality of medically attended influenza like illness in Ethiopia. Method Influenza sentinel surveillance data collected from 3 influenza like illness (ILI) and 5 Severe Acute Respiratory Illness (SARI) sites from 2012 to 2017 was used for analysis. Descriptive statistics were applied for simple analysis. The proportion of medically attended influenza positive cases and incidence rate of ILI was determined using total admitted patients and catchment area population. Seasonality was estimated based on weekly trend of ILI and predicted threshold was done by applying the “Moving Epidemic Method (MEM)”. Result A total of 5715 medically attended influenza suspected patients who fulfills ILI and SARI case definition (77% ILI and 23% SARI) was enrolled. Laboratory confirmed influenza virus (influenza positive case) among ILI and SARI suspected case was 25% (1130/4426) and 3% (36/1289). Of which, 65% were influenza type A. The predominantly circulating influenza subtype were seasonal influenza A(H3N2) (n = 455, 60%) and Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 (n = 293, 38.81%). The estimated mean annual influenza positive case proportion and ILI incidence rate was 160.04 and 52.48 per 100,000 population. The Incidence rate of ILI was higher in the age group of 15–44 years of age [‘Incidence rate (R) = 254.6 per 100,000 population’, 95% CI; 173.65, 335.55] and 5–14 years of age [R = 49.5, CI 95%; 31.47, 130.43]. The seasonality of influenza has two peak seasons; in a period from October–December and from April–June. Conclusion Significant morbidity of influenza like illness was observed with two peak seasons of the year and seasonal influenza A (H3N2) remains the predominantly circulating influenza subtype. Further study need to be considered to identify potential risks and improving the surveillance system to continue early detection and monitoring of circulating influenza virus in the country has paramount importance.
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF