1. Restarting 'Normal' Life after Covid-19 and the Lockdown: Evidence from Spain, the United Kingdom, and Italy
- Author
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Rafael Charris, Giuseppe Veltri, Giovanni Liva, Francesco Bogliacino, Camilo Gómez, Felipe Montealegre, Cristiano Codagnone, Frans Folkvord, Francisco Lupiañez Villanueva, Universitat Oberta de Catalunya (UOC), Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Università Degli Studi Di Trento, and Università Degli Studi Di Milano
- Subjects
medicine.medical_specialty ,Matching (statistics) ,Behavioural change ,COVID-19 ,Expectation ,Fear ,Negative economic shocks ,Sociology and Political Science ,bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Economics ,Population ,SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Psychology|Cognitive Psychology ,050109 social psychology ,Settore SECS-P/02 - Politica Economica ,Outcome (game theory) ,Arts and Humanities (miscellaneous) ,Depression (economics) ,Fear Expectation ,D90 ,0502 economics and business ,Human geography ,D91 ,Developmental and Educational Psychology ,medicine ,Economics ,0501 psychology and cognitive sciences ,050207 economics ,education ,Original Research ,bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Psychology ,education.field_of_study ,H12 ,I12 ,Public health ,05 social sciences ,SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Economics ,General Social Sciences ,SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Economics|Behavioral Economics ,bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Psychology|Cognitive Psychology ,Shock (economics) ,D84 ,bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Economics|Behavioral Economics ,bepress|Social and Behavioral Sciences ,Demographic economics ,SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences ,SocArXiv|Social and Behavioral Sciences|Psychology ,Social capital - Abstract
In this article, we examine the expectations of the economic outlook, fear of the future, and behavioural change during the first Covid-19 wave, for three European countries (Spain, the United Kingdom, and Italy) that have been severely hit. We use a novel dataset that we collected to monitor the three countries during the crisis. As outcome variables, we used expectations (e.g., economic outlook, labour market situation, recovery), fear (e.g., scenario of new outburst, economic depression, restriction to individual rights and freedom), and behavioural change across the following dimensions: savings, cultural consumption, social capital, and risky behaviour. We provide descriptive evidence that is representative of the population of interest, and we estimate the impact of exposure to shock occurred during the crisis on the same outcome variables, using matching techniques. Our main findings are the following: we detected systematically negative expectations regarding the future and the recovery, majoritarian fears of an economic depression, a new outbreak, and a permanent restriction on freedom, a reduction in saving and in social capital. Exposure to shocks decreased expected job prospects, increased withdrawal from accumulated savings, and reduced contacts with the network relevant to job advancement, whereas it had inconclusive effects over fears. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11205-021-02697-5.
- Published
- 2021
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