1. What effect did the introduction of Bitcoin futures have on the Bitcoin spot market?
- Author
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Akanksha Jalan, Roman Matkovskyy, Andrew Urquhart, Rennes School of Business, Henley Business School [University of Reading], and University of Reading (UOR)
- Subjects
[QFIN.GN]Quantitative Finance [q-fin]/General Finance [q-fin.GN] ,Cryptocurrency ,liquidity ,050208 finance ,Financial economics ,05 social sciences ,Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous) ,volatility ,Spot market ,bitcoin futures ,Market liquidity ,returns ,Skewness ,0502 economics and business ,Kurtosis ,Economics ,050207 economics ,Volatility (finance) ,Futures contract ,Sign (mathematics) - Abstract
International audience; Bitcoin futures were introduced in December 2017 and this was seen by some as a sign of the most popular cryptocurrency finally being accepted by the financial community. In this paper, we examine the impact of the introduction of Bitcoin futures on the Bitcoin spot market in terms of five characteristics – returns, volatility, skewness, kurtosis and liquidity, using a Bayesian diffusion-regression (state-space) structural time-series model. Our results indicate that the introduction of bitcoin futures potentially exerted a downward impact on the USD bitcoin spot market return and skewness and an upward one on volatility, kurtosis and liquidity, which became higher after futures were introduced. Therefore, our paper offers important insights for investors and regulators, while providing some guidance as to the potential impact of futures markets on other cryptocurrencies.
- Published
- 2021
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