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Background/purpose: Associations between the disturbances in glucose homeostasis and prognosis in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) remain unclear. This study was conducted to investigate the clinical characteristics of disturbances in glucose homeostasis and their associations with 90-day mortality in patients with HBV-related ACLF., Methods: Ninety-six patients with HBV-related ACLF without pre-existing diabetes were prospectively included. Glucose abnormalities were diagnosed based on fasting plasma glucose and oral glucose tolerance test results on admission and during follow-up. Homeostasis model assessment was used to establish insulin resistance (HOMA2-IR), insulin sensitivity (HOMA2-IS) and HOMA2-β-cell function (HOMA2-β). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to identify independent risk factors for death within 90 days after admission., Results: Among 96 patients with ACLF, 51 (53.1%) had diabetes, 29 (30.2%) had impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), and 17 (17.7%) had hypoglycemia. Patients with diabetes had significantly lower levels of HOMA2-β than did patients with normal glucose tolerance. Of 22 patients with diabetes or IGT and without anti-hyperglycemic treatment, 8 (36.4%) exhibited regression of their glucose metabolism disorders after a follow-up of 32.8 ± 28.8 days, and higher platelet levels were associated with regression. Twenty-five patients (25.0%) with ACLF died of liver failure within 90 days. Diabetes [odds ratio (OR) 3.601, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.342-9.661] and age (OR 1.045, 95% CI 1.010-1.082) were the independent risk factors associated with mortality., Conclusion: Impaired pancreatic β-cell function is related to diabetes development, and diabetes is associated with high mortality in patients with chronic HBV-related ACLF., (© 2021. Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver.)

Background and Aim: The aim of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of serum markers of liver fibrosis for predicting progression to acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in patients with acute exacerbation (AE) and severe AE (SAE) of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection., Methods: The predictive accuracy of aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), Fibrosis-4, Lok index, and Forns index for progression to ACLF was evaluated via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the ROC (AUROC) in 441 and 130 patients with AE and SAE., Results: After admission, 24 (5.8%) and 25 (19.2%) patients with AE and SAE, respectively, progressed to ACLF. The Lok index was one of the independent risk factors associated with progression to ACLF in patients with AE and SAE. The AUROC of Lok index for diagnosing liver cirrhosis was 0.815 (0.774-0.851) in patients with AE and 0.715 (0.629-0.791) in patients with SAE. The AUROC of Lok index for predicting progression to ACLF in patients with AE and SAE was 0.756 (0.711-0.797) and 0.866 (0.795-0.919), respectively. In patients with AE and SAE, the cut-off values of the Lok index for predicting ACLF were higher and lower, respectively, than those for diagnosing liver cirrhosis., Conclusion: The Lok index has predictive accuracy regarding progression to ACLF in patients with AE and SAE. Different thresholds of liver fibrosis are needed for determining progression to ACLF in patients with different severity of liver injury during acute exacerbation of chronic HBV infection., (© 2021. Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver.)