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PurposeTo determine whether gross tumor volume (GTV) of adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction (AEG) corresponding to cT and cN stages measured on CT could help quantitatively determine resectability.Materials and methods343 consecutive patients with AEG, including 279 and 64 randomly enrolled in training cohort (TC) and validation cohort (VC), respectively, underwent preoperative contrast-enhanced CT. Univariate and multivariate analyses for TC were performed to determine factors associated with resectability. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were to determine if GTV corresponding to cT and cN stages could help determine resectability. For VC, Cohen’s Kappa tests were to assess performances of the ROC models.ResultscT stage, cN stage and GTV were independently associated with resectability of AEG with odds ratios of 4.715, 4.534 and 1.107, respectively. For differentiating resectable and unresectable AEG, ROC analyses showed that cutoff GTV of 32.77 cm3 in stage cT1-4N0-3 with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.901. Particularly, cutoffs of 27.67 and 32.77 cm3 in stages cT3 and cT4 obtained AUC values of 0.860 and 0.890, respectively; and cutoffs of 27.09, 33.32 and 37.39 cm3 in stages cN1, cN2 and cN3 obtained AUC values of 0.852, 0.821 and 0.902, respectively. In VC, Cohen’s Kappa tests verified that the ROC models had good performance in distinguishing between resectable and unresectable AEG (all Cohen’s K values > 0.72).ConclusionsGTV, cT and cN stages could be independent determinants of resectability of AEG. And GTV corresponding to cT and cN stages can help quantitatively determine resectability.

PurposeTo develop and validate a quantitative model based on gross tumor volume (GTV) of gastric adenocarcinoma (GA) corresponding to N-stage measured at multidetector computed tomography (CT) for preoperative determination of resectabilityMaterials and methods493 consecutive patients with confirmed GA undergoing contrast-enhanced CT two weeks before treatments were randomly enrolled into the training cohort (TC, n = 271), internal validation cohort (IVC, n = 107) and external validation cohort (EVC, n = 115). GTV was measured on CT by multiplying sums of all tumor areas by section thickness. In TC, univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to select factors associated with resectability. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was to determine if N-stage based GTV could identify resectability. In IVC and EVC, unweighted Cohen’s Kappa tests were to evaluate performances of the ROC models.ResultsAccording to univariate analysis, age, cT stage, cN stage and GTV were related to resectability in TC (all P-values < 0.05), and multivariate analysis suggested that cN stage and GTV were independent risk factors with odds ratios of 1.594 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.105–2.301) and 1.055 (95%CI: 1.035–1.076), respectively. ROC analysis in TC revealed the cutoffs of 21.81, 21.70 and 36.93 cm3 to differentiate between resectable and unresectable cancers in stages cN0-3, cN2 and cN3 with areas under the curves of more than 0.8, respectively, which was validated in IVC and EVC with average Cohen k-values of more than 0.72.ConclusionsGTV and cN stage can be independent risk factors of unresectable GA, and N-stage based GTV can help determine resectability.