1. Bootstrapping the Battle of Britain.
- Author
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Fagan, Brennen, Horwood, Ian, MacKay, Niall, Price, Christopher, Richards, Ed, and Wood, A. Jamie
- Subjects
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BATTLE of Britain, Great Britain, 1940 , *STATISTICAL bootstrapping , *AIR power (Military science) , *AERIAL bombing ,WORLD War II campaigns ,WORLD War II German aerial operations - Abstract
The Battle of Britain (1940) is the focus of much historical controversy. We show here how the statistical technique of weighted bootstrapping can be used to create a new quantitative basis to help address such controversies. Bootstrapping facilitates the exploration of alternative campaign possibilities with different tactics. This results in comparative probabilities of "victory" for the actual and various counterfactual campaigns, providing a quantified assessment of the likelihood of German achievement of air superiority, thereby facilitating invasion. We And this more likely had the Luftwaffe targeted airfields more heavily, and greatly more likely had Germany brought forward its air campaign. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020