1. Optimal nitrogen rate strategy for sustainable rice production in China.
- Author
-
Cai S, Zhao X, Pittelkow CM, Fan M, Zhang X, and Yan X
- Subjects
- China, Fertilizers analysis, Fertilizers economics, Soil chemistry, Ecology, Farmers, Datasets as Topic, Food Supply, Agriculture economics, Agriculture methods, Nitrogen analysis, Nitrogen economics, Nitrogen metabolism, Oryza metabolism, Sustainable Development, Crops, Agricultural economics, Crops, Agricultural metabolism, Crops, Agricultural supply & distribution, Environmentalism
- Abstract
Avoiding excessive agricultural nitrogen (N) use without compromising yields has long been a priority for both research and government policy in China
1,2 . Although numerous rice-related strategies have been proposed3-5 , few studies have assessed their impacts on national food self-sufficiency and environmental sustainability and fewer still have considered economic risks faced by millions of smallholders. Here we established an optimal N rate strategy based on maximizing either economic (ON) or ecological (EON) performance using new subregion-specific models. Using an extensive on-farm dataset, we then assessed the risk of yield losses among smallholder farmers and the challenges of implementing the optimal N rate strategy. We find that meeting national rice production targets in 2030 is possible while concurrently reducing nationwide N consumption by 10% (6-16%) and 27% (22-32%), mitigating reactive N (Nr) losses by 7% (3-13%) and 24% (19-28%) and increasing N-use efficiency by 30% (3-57%) and 36% (8-64%) for ON and EON, respectively. This study identifies and targets subregions with disproportionate environmental impacts and proposes N rate strategies to limit national Nr pollution below proposed environmental thresholds, without compromising soil N stocks or economic benefits for smallholders. Thereafter, the preferable N strategy is allocated to each region based on the trade-off between economic risk and environmental benefit. To facilitate the adoption of the annually revised subregional N rate strategy, several recommendations were provided, including a monitoring network, fertilization quotas and smallholder subsidies., (© 2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.)- Published
- 2023
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