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On 7 February 2020 a relatively deep cyclone (∼980 hPa) with midlevel frontogenesis produced heavy snow (20–30 mm liquid equivalent) over western and central New York State. Despite these characteristics, the precipitation was not organized into a narrow band of intensive snowfall. This event occurred during the Investigation of Microphysics and Precipitation for Atlantic Coast-Threatening Snowstorms (IMPACTS) field campaign. Using coordinated flight legs across New York State, a remote sensing aircraft (ER-2) sampled above the cloud, while a P-3 aircraft collected in-cloud data. These data are used to validate several Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model simulations at 2- and 0.67-km grid spacing using different initial and boundary conditions (RAP, GFS, and ERA5 analyses) and microphysics schemes (Thompson and P3). The differences between the WRF runs are used to explore sensitivity to initial conditions and microphysics schemes. All 18–24-h runs realistically produced a broad sloping region of frontogenesis at midlevels typically; however, there were relatively large (20%–30%) uncertainties in the magnitude of this forcing using different analyses and initialization times. The differences in surface precipitation distribution are small (<10%) among the microphysics schemes, likely because there was little riming in the region of heaviest precipitation. Those runs with frontogenesis closest to the RAP analysis and a surface precipitation underprediction of 20%–30% have too little ice aloft and at low levels, suggesting deficiencies in ice generation and snow growth aloft in those runs. The 0.67-km grid produced more realistic convective cells aloft, but only 5%–10% more precipitation than the 2-km grid. Significance Statement: Heavy snowfall from U.S. East Coast winter storms can cause major societal problems, yet few studies have investigated these storms using field observations and model data. This study focuses on the 7 February 2020 event, where 20–40 cm of snow fell over west-central New York. Our analysis shows a broad region of ascent, rather than a concentrated region favoring a well-defined snowband was the primary process contributing to snowfall. Last, model microphysics were validated within this storm using the in situ aircraft data. Errors in the snow generation aloft and snow growth at low levels likely contributed to the simulated surface precipitation underprediction, but most of the forecast uncertainty is from initial conditions for this short-term (∼24-h lead time) forecast. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ice particle terminal fall velocity (Vt) is fundamental for determining microphysical processes, yet remains extremely challenging to measure. Current theoretical best estimates of Vt are functions of Reynolds number. The Reynolds number is related to the Best number, which is a function of ice particle mass, area ratio (Ar), and maximum dimension (Dmax). These estimates are not conducive for use in most models since model parameterizations often take the form V t = α D max ⁡ β , where (α, β) depend on habit and Dmax. A previously developed framework is used to determine surfaces of equally plausible (α, β) coefficients whereby ice particle size/shape distributions are combined with Vt best estimates to determine mass- (VM) or reflectivity-weighted (VZ) velocities that closely match parameterized VM,SD or VZ,SD calculated using the (α, β) coefficients using two approaches. The first uses surfaces of equally plausible (a, b) coefficients describing mass (M)–dimension relationships (i.e., M = α D max ⁡ b ) to calculate mass- or reflectivity-weighted velocity from size/shape distributions that are then used to determine (α, β) coefficients. The second investigates how uncertainties in Ar, Dmax, and size distribution N(D) affect VM or VZ. For seven of nine flight legs flown on 20 and 23 May 2011 during the Mesoscale Continental Convective Clouds Experiment (MC3E), uncertainty from natural parameter variability—namely, the variability in ice particle parameters in similar meteorological conditions—exceeds uncertainties arising from different Ar assumptions or Dmax estimates. The combined uncertainty between Ar, Dmax, and N(D) produced smaller variability in (α, β) compared to varying M(D), demonstrating M(D) must be accurately quantified for model fall velocities. Primary sources of uncertainty vary considerably depending on environmental conditions. Significance Statement: Ice particle fall velocity is fundamental for numerous processes within clouds, and hence is a critical property that must be accurately represented in weather and climate models. Using aircraft observations of ice particle shapes and sizes obtained in clouds behind midlatitude thunderstorms, this work develops a new framework for estimating ice particle fall velocities and their uncertainty, including quantifying the importance of different uncertainty sources from cloud microphysics measurements. Natural parameter variability contributes the most uncertainty in ice particle fall velocity estimates, although other sources can also be important contributors to uncertainty in certain conditions. Additional work examining ice particle data is needed to further understand how dependent uncertainty in certain ice particle properties are to local environmental conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Multifrequency airborne radars have become instrumental in evaluating the performance of satellite retrievals and furthering our understanding of ice microphysical properties. The dual-frequency ratio (DFR) is influenced by the size, density, and shape of ice particles, with higher values associated with the presence of larger ice particles that may have implications regarding snowfall at the surface. The Investigation of Microphysics and Precipitation for Atlantic Coast-Threatening Snowstorms (IMPACTS) field campaign involves the coordination of remote sensing measurements above winter midlatitude cyclones from an ER-2 aircraft to document the fine-scale precipitation structure spanning four radar (X-, Ku-, Ka-, and W-band) frequencies and in situ microphysical measurements from a P-3 aircraft that provide additional insight into the particle size distribution (PSD) behavior and habits of the hydrometeors related to the DFR. A novel approach to identify regions of prominently higher Ku- and Ka-band DFR at the P-3 location for five coordinated flights is presented. The solid-phase mass-weighted mean diameter (Dm) was 58% larger, the effective density (ρe) 37% smaller, and the liquid-equivalent normalized intercept parameter (Nw) 74% lower in regions of prominently higher DFR. Microphysical properties within a triple-frequency framework suggest signatures consistent with aggregation and riming as in previous studies. Last, a pretrained neural network radar retrieval is used to investigate the vertical structure of microphysical properties associated with the larger DFR signatures and provides the spatial context for inferring certain microphysical processes. Significance Statement: The purpose of this study is to better understand what radar measurements from multiple frequencies can tell us about the sizes, shapes, and concentrations of ice particles within winter snowstorms, and how these observations are related to banded precipitation structures since they can have implications for snowfall at the surface. Our results show that ice particles are on average larger and less dense when the reflectivity difference between two radars operating at different wavelengths is larger and supports the process by which crystals aggregate to form larger particles. These findings aim to improve how satellites and forecasting models represent precipitation in the cloud and at the surface. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Investigation of Microphysics and Precipitation for Atlantic Coast-Threatening Snowstorms (IMPACTS) is a NASA-sponsored field campaign to study wintertime snowstorms focusing on East Coast cyclones. This large cooperative effort takes place during the winters of 2020–23 to study precipitation variability in winter cyclones to improve remote sensing and numerical forecasts of snowfall. Snowfall within these storms is frequently organized in banded structures on multiple scales. The causes for the occurrence and evolution of a wide spectrum of snowbands remain poorly understood. The goals of IMPACTS are to characterize the spatial and temporal scales and structures of snowbands, understand their dynamical, thermodynamical, and microphysical processes, and apply this understanding to improve remote sensing and modeling of snowfall. The first deployment took place in January–February 2020 with two aircraft that flew coordinated flight patterns and sampled a range of storms from the Midwest to the East Coast. The satellite-simulating ER-2 aircraft flew above the clouds and carried a suite of remote sensing instruments including cloud and precipitation radars, lidar, and passive microwave radiometers. The in situ P-3 aircraft flew within the clouds and sampled environmental and microphysical quantities. Ground-based radar measurements from the National Weather Service network and a suite of radars located on Long Island, New York, along with supplemental soundings and the New York State Mesonet ground network provided environmental context for the airborne observations. Future deployments will occur during the 2022 and 2023 winters. The coordination between remote sensing and in situ platforms makes this a unique publicly available dataset applicable to a wide variety of interests. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]