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There is a pressing need to identify individuals at high risk of conversion from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to Alzheimer's disease (AD) based on available repeated cognitive measures in primary care. Using data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), we applied a joint latent class mixed model (JLCM) to derive a 3-class solution: low risk (72.65%), medium risk (20.41%) and high risk (6.94%). In the low-risk group, individuals with lower daily activity and ApoEε4 carriers were at greater risk of conversion from MCI to AD. In the medium-risk group, being female, single, and an ApoEε4 carrier increased risk of conversion to AD. In the high-risk group, individuals with lower education level and single individuals were at greater risk of conversion to AD. Individual dynamic prediction for conversion from MCI to AD after 10 years was derived. Accurate identification of conversion from MCI to AD contributes to earlier close monitoring, appropriate management, and targeted interventions. Thereby, it can reduce avoidable hospitalizations for the high-risk MCI population. Moreover, it can avoid expensive follow-up tests that may provoke unnecessary anxiety for low-risk individuals and their families., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Improving caregivers' positive perception of their role may be important in reducing their subjective burden when caring for Alzheimer's disease (AD) patients with depression. The purpose of present study was to explore the moderating role of the positive aspects of caregiving (PAC) on the subjective burden on family caregivers when managing depressive behaviors. We conducted a cross-sectional study including 200 pairs of patients with mild AD and their caregivers from three communities and two hospitals in Taiyuan, China in October 2014. The latent variable interaction model based on a two stage least squares (2SLS) regression was fitted. A significant moderating effect of the PAC was found on the relationship between depression in patients with AD and the caregiver burden they cause. Caregivers dealing with patients with low levels of depression but with high levels of the PAC had significantly lower levels of caregiver burden compared to those caregivers with the low levels of PAC. Continuously detecting the patient's mental state combined with caregivers having an optimistic attitude towards life may improve the quality of life for both patients and caregivers., (Copyright © 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: Knowledge of risk factors is essential for developing strategies that prevent or minimise transitions from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to Alzheimer's disease (AD) and death. The aim of this study was to assess risk factors for progression to AD and death among Chinese individuals with cognitive impairment., Methods: We conducted a multisite, population-based cohort study on 437 community-dwelling elderly MCI residents in Taiyuan, China from 2010 to 2014. MCI, AD, death from AD and death from a cause other than AD were specified as disease states during the natural history of dementia. Transition-specific Cox model was fitted and hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) was estimated., Results: Analyses showed that risk factors played different roles in affecting transitions to AD and death. Risk factors for transition from MCI to AD were being female (HR: 1.82; 95%CI: 1.20-2.77), older age (HR: 3.09; 95%CI: 1.81-5.25), reading occasionally (HR: 1.79; 95%CI: 1.11-2.89), current smoking (HR: 1.74; 95%CI: 1.15-2.65), light-moderate alcohol drinker (HR: 2.24; 95%CI: 1.42-3.53), cerebrovascular disease (HR: 2.70; 95%CI: 1.68-4.34), hyperlipidemia (HR: 1.87; 95%CI: 1.16-3.02) and diabetes (HR: 1.81; 95%CI: 1.18-2.77). Only cerebrovascular disease (HR: 3.04; 95%CI: 1.22-7.58) was a significant risk factor for transition from MCI to death from a cause other than AD. Older age (HR: 10.68; 95%CI: 1.16-97.93) and low level education (HR: 0.14; 95%CI: 0.05-0.44) were significant predictors for transition from AD to death from a cause other than AD., Conclusions: Participants with advanced age, low-level education, history of harmful alcohol consumption or smoking, cerebrovascular disease, hyperlipidemia, diabetes or who were female were at increased risk of transitioning to AD or death. Strategies to control modifiable risk factors in specific disease stage should be implemented to decrease the conversion to AD or death among Chinese patients with MCI., (Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)