1. Risk of introduction of Lumpy Skin Disease into France through imports of cattle
- Author
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Claire Hautefeuille, Philippe Jacquiet, Claude Saegerman, Stéphane Bertagnoli, Jean-Pierre Ganiere, Kris De Clercq, Gilles Meyer, Philippe Caufour, Jordi Casal, Florence Etore, Fundamental and Applied Research for Animals & Health (FARAH), Faculté de Médecine Vétérinaire [Liège], Members of the Expert Committee for Animal Health and Welfare, Agence nationale de sécurité sanitaire de l'alimentation, de l'environnement et du travail (ANSES), Interactions hôtes-agents pathogènes [Toulouse] (IHAP), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Ecole Nationale Vétérinaire de Toulouse (ENVT), Institut National Polytechnique (Toulouse) (Toulouse INP), Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées-Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées-Institut National Polytechnique (Toulouse) (Toulouse INP), Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées-Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées, Ecole Nationale Vétérinaire, Agroalimentaire et de l'alimentation Nantes-Atlantique (ONIRIS), Animal, Santé, Territoires, Risques et Ecosystèmes (UMR ASTRE), Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement (Cirad)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA), Département Systèmes Biologiques (Cirad-BIOS), Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement (Cirad), Sciensano [Bruxelles], Réseau International des Instituts Pasteur (RIIP), Direction de l'Evaluation des Risques (DER), Centre de Recerca en Sanitat Animal [UAB, Spain] (CReSA), and Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (UAB)-Institute of Agrifood Research and Technology (IRTA)
- Subjects
Lumpy Skin Disease ,Cattle Diseases ,L73 - Maladies des animaux ,Capripoxvirus ,Disease Outbreaks ,law.invention ,0403 veterinary science ,Communicable Diseases, Imported ,[SDV.MHEP.MI]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Infectious diseases ,law ,Risk analysis (business) ,Socioeconomics ,Chèvre ,2. Zero hunger ,0303 health sciences ,biology ,U10 - Informatique, mathématiques et statistiques ,04 agricultural and veterinary sciences ,General Medicine ,Virus ,3. Good health ,Lumpy skin disease virus ,Transmission (mechanics) ,Geography ,France ,Risk assessment ,040301 veterinary sciences ,Spread ,Risk Assessment ,03 medical and health sciences ,Lumpy skin disease ,medicine ,Animals ,Transmission ,Surveillance épidémiologique ,Transmission des maladies ,Probability ,030304 developmental biology ,Stochastic Processes ,[SDV.BA.MVSA]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Animal biology/Veterinary medicine and animal Health ,Méthode statistique ,General Veterinary ,General Immunology and Microbiology ,Outbreak ,Modèle de simulation ,medicine.disease ,biology.organism_classification ,Vector (epidemiology) ,Cattle - Abstract
International audience; The lumpy skin disease (LSD) virus belongs to the genus Capripoxvirus and causes a disease in cattle with economic impacts. In November 2014, the disease was first reported in Europe (in Cyprus); it was then reported in Greece (in August 2015) and has spread through different Balkan countries since 2016. Although vector transmission is predominant in at-risk areas, long-distance transmission usually occurs through movements of infected cattle. In order to estimate the threat for France, a quantitative import risk analysis (QIRA) model was developed to assess the risk of LSD being introduced into France by imports of cattle. Based on available information and using a stochastic model, the probability of a first outbreak of LSD in France following the import of batches of infected live cattle for breeding or fattening was estimated to be 5.4 x 10(-4) (95% probability interval [PI]: 0.4 x 10(-4); 28.7 x 10(-4)) in summer months (during high vector activity) and 1.8 x 10(-4) (95% PI: 0.14 x 10(-4); 15 x 10(-4)) in winter months. The development of a stochastic QIRA made it possible to quantify the risk of LSD being introduced into France through imports of live cattle. This tool is of prime importance because the LSD situation in the Balkans is continuously changing. Indeed, this model can be updated to process new information on the changing health situation in addition to new data from the TRAde Control and Expert System (TRACES, EU database). This model is easy to adapt to different countries and to other diseases.
- Published
- 2019
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