1. Prognostic Value of Aortic Valve Area Index in Asymptomatic Patients With Severe Aortic Stenosis
- Author
-
Yasuhiro Nakamura, Takashi Muro, Akihisa Hanatani, Toshio Saito, Hisateru Takeda, Minoru Yoshiyama, Eiichi Hyodo, Shoichi Ehara, and Kenei Shimada
- Subjects
Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Severity of Illness Index ,Asymptomatic ,Disease-Free Survival ,Japan ,Risk Factors ,Internal medicine ,Severity of illness ,medicine ,Humans ,Aged ,Retrospective Studies ,Heart Valve Prosthesis Implantation ,business.industry ,Hazard ratio ,Follow up studies ,Retrospective cohort study ,Aortic Valve Stenosis ,Prognosis ,medicine.disease ,Confidence interval ,Survival Rate ,Stenosis ,Aortic valve area ,Echocardiography ,Aortic Valve ,Cardiology ,Female ,medicine.symptom ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,Follow-Up Studies - Abstract
Recently, an aortic valve area (AVA) index (AVAI)0.6 cm(2)/m(2) was proposed as an indicator of severe aortic stenosis. The purpose of the present study was to clarify the prognostic value of the AVAI. We identified 103 consecutive asymptomatic patients (mean age 72 ± 11 years) with severe aortic stenosis, defined by an AVA of1.0 cm(2), who had not undergone aortic valve replacement on initial evaluation. During follow-up (median 36 ± 27 months), 31 aortic valve replacements and 20 cardiac deaths occurred. Multivariate analysis revealed that an AVAI0.6 cm(2)/m(2) (hazard ratio 2.6, 95% confidence interval 1.1 to 6.3; p = 0.03) and peak aortic jet velocity (Vp)4.0 m/s (hazard ratio 2.6, 95% confidence interval 1.2 to 5.8; p = 0.02) were associated with cardiac events but that an AVA0.75 cm(2) was not. The event-free survival of patients with an AVAI of ≥0.6 cm(2)/m(2) was better than that for those with an AVAI0.6 cm(2)/m(2) (86% vs 41% at 3 years, p0.01). Furthermore, patients with an AVAI of ≥0.6 cm(2)/m(2) and Vp of ≤4.0 m/s showed an excellent prognosis, but those without these findings had poorer outcomes. In conclusion, AVAI is a powerful predictor of adverse events in asymptomatic patients with severe aortic stenosis. Furthermore, the combination of AVAI and Vp provides additional prognostic information. Watchful observations are required for timely aortic valve replacement in patients with an AVAI of0.6 cm(2)/m(2) or a Vp4.0 m/s.
- Published
- 2012