1. How successful are AI-discovered drugs in clinical trials? A first analysis and emerging lessons.
- Author
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Kp Jayatunga M, Ayers M, Bruens L, Jayanth D, and Meier C
- Subjects
- Humans, Drug Industry, Clinical Trials as Topic methods, Drug Discovery methods, Artificial Intelligence
- Abstract
AI techniques are making inroads into the field of drug discovery. As a result, a growing number of drugs and vaccines have been discovered using AI. However, questions remain about the success of these molecules in clinical trials. To address these questions, we conducted a first analysis of the clinical pipelines of AI-native Biotech companies. In Phase I we find AI-discovered molecules have an 80-90% success rate, substantially higher than historic industry averages. This suggests, we argue, that AI is highly capable of designing or identifying molecules with drug-like properties. In Phase II the success rate is ∼40%, albeit on a limited sample size, comparable to historic industry averages. Our findings highlight early signs of the clinical potential of AI-discovered molecules., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2024
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