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Background: Novel circulating biomarkers may help in understanding the underlying mechanisms of atrial fibrillation (AF), a challenge for AF management and prevention of cardiovascular (CV) events. Whether glycosylation affects the prognostic value of N-terminal pro-B type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in AF is still unknown., Objectives: To test how deglycosylated total NT-proBNP, NT-proBNP and a panel of biomarkers are associated with: (1) recurrent AF, (2) first hospitalization for CV reasons., Methods: A total of 382 patients of the GISSI-AF trial in sinus rhythm with a history of AF, echocardiographic variables, total NT-proBNP, NT-proBNP and nine additional biomarkers [Total N-terminal pro-B type natriuretic peptide (Total NT proBNP), N-terminal pro-B type natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP), Angiopoietin 2 (Ang2), Bone morphogenic protein-10 (BMP10), Dickkopf-related protein-3 (DKK3), Endothelial cell specific molecule-1 (ESM1), Fatty acid-binding protein 3 (FABP3), Fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23), Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF15), Insulin-like growth factor-binding protein-7 (IGFBP7) and Myosin binding protein C3 (MYPBC3)]. were assayed at baseline, 6 and 12 months under blind conditions in a laboratory at Roche Diagnostics, Penzberg, Germany. The associations between circulating biomarkers and AF at the 6- and 12-month visits, and their predictive value, were assessed in multivariable models with logistic regression analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Biomarkers associations were modelled for 1SD increase in their level., Results: Over a median follow-up of 365 days, 203/382 patients (53.1%) had at least one recurrence of AF and 16.3% were hospitalized for CV reasons. Total NT-proBNP, NT-proBNP, Ang2 and BMP10 showed the strongest associations with ongoing AF. Natriuretic peptides also predicted recurrent AF (total NT-proBNP: HR:1.19[1.04-1.36], p = 0.026; NT-proBNP: HR:1.19[1.06-1.35], p = 0.016; Ang2: HR:1.07[0.95-1.20], p = 0.283; BMP10: HR:1.09[0.96-1.25], p = 0.249) and CV hospitalization (total NT-proBNP: HR:1.57[1.29-1.90], p < 0.001 1.63], p = 0.097)., Conclusions: The association of total NT-proBNP with the risk of AF first recurrence was similar to that of NT-proBNP, suggesting no influence of glycosylation. Analogous results were obtained for the risk of first hospitalization for CV reasons. Natriuretic peptides, Ang2 and BMP10 were associated with ongoing AF. Findings from the last two biomarkers point to a pathogenic role of cardiac extracellular matrix and cardiomyocyte growth in the myocardium of the right atrium and ventricle., (© 2021. The Author(s).)

Aims: The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of apixaban, a novel oral factor Xa inhibitor, on the need for cardiovascular hospitalization., Methods and Results: Our analysis is based on data from AVERROES, a randomized double-blind trial testing the efficacy and safety of apixaban against aspirin for the prevention of thrombo-embolism in 5599 atrial fibrillation (AF) patients unsuitable for vitamin K antagonist therapy. Hospitalizations were captured by dedicated case report forms and the outcome variable was time from randomization to the first hospitalization. Effects of treatment with apixaban on the rates of cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular hospitalizations were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression models. During a mean follow-up of 1.1 years, 800 patients were hospitalized at least once for cardiovascular reasons, 442 (15.4%/year) in the aspirin group, 358 (12.3%) in the apixaban group [hazard ratio (HR) 0.80, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69-0.92; P = 0.002]. The reduction in cardiovascular hospitalization in the apixaban arm was predominantly due to a reduction in hospitalization for strokes, but there were also fewer hospitalizations for other cardiovascular causes. Patients with paroxysmal AF were significantly more likely to be hospitalized for AF treatment, whereas more heart failure admissions occurred in patients with permanent AF. Assignment to apixaban was the only independent predictor for a reduction in hospitalization. Cardiovascular hospitalization was the strongest independent predictor of subsequent mortality (HR: 3.95, 95% CI: 3.06-5.09; P < 0.001)., Conclusion: In AVERROES, patients on apixaban therapy were less likely to be hospitalized. This may have important consequences for patients' well-being and for healthcare resources. This trial is registered underClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00496769.

Background: During follow-up of between 1 and 3 years in the Randomized Evaluation of Long-term Anticoagulation Therapy (RE-LY) trial, 2 doses of dabigatran etexilate were shown to be effective and safe for the prevention of stroke or systemic embolism in patients with atrial fibrillation. There is a need for longer-term follow-up of patients on dabigatran and for further data comparing the 2 dabigatran doses., Methods and Results: Patients randomly assigned to dabigatran in RE-LY were eligible for the Long-term Multicenter Extension of Dabigatran Treatment in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation (RELY-ABLE) trial if they had not permanently discontinued study medication at the time of their final RE-LY study visit. Enrolled patients continued to receive the double-blind dabigatran dose received in RE-LY, for up to 28 months of follow up after RE-LY (median follow-up, 2.3 years). There were 5851 patients enrolled, representing 48% of patients originally randomly assigned to receive dabigatran in RE-LY and 86% of RELY-ABLE-eligible patients. Rates of stroke or systemic embolism were 1.46% and 1.60%/y on dabigatran 150 and 110 mg twice daily, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.91; 95% confidence interval, 0.69-1.20). Rates of major hemorrhage were 3.74% and 2.99%/y on dabigatran 150 and 110 mg (hazard ratio, 1.26; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.53). Rates of death were 3.02% and 3.10%/y (hazard ratio, 0.97; 95% confidence interval, 0.80-1.19). Rates of hemorrhagic stroke were 0.13% and 0.14%/y., Conclusions: During 2.3 years of continued treatment with dabigatran after RE-LY, there was a higher rate of major bleeding with dabigatran 150 mg twice daily in comparison with 110 mg, and similar rates of stroke and death.

Background: Few data on the thromboembolic (TE) risk of paroxysmal and persistent atrial fibrillation (AF) are available. This study aimed to assess the incidence of TE events in paroxysmal and persistent AF., Methods: We performed a subset post hoc analysis of 771 patients with paroxysmal and 463 with persistent AF enrolled in the multicenter, prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled GISSI-AF trial - comparing the efficacy of valsartan versus placebo in preventing AF recurrences - where the choice of antithrombotic treatment was left to the judgment of the referring physician. TE and major outcome events were centrally validated. AF recurrences were detected by frequent clinic visits and a transtelephonic monitoring device with weekly and symptomatic transmissions., Results: Eighty-five percent of patients had a history of hypertension, and the 7.7% had heart failure, left ventricular dysfunction, or both. The mean CHADS2 score was 1.41±0.84. TE and major bleeding events were observed at a low incidence among the overall population at 1-year follow-up (0.97% and 0.81%, respectively). The univariate and multivariable analyses revealed no statistically significant differences in the incidence of TE, major bleeding events or mortality in paroxysmal and persistent AF patients. TE events were more common among women than men (p=0.02). The follow-up examination showed under- or overtreatment with warfarin in many patients, according to guideline suggestions. Warfarin was more frequently prescribed to patients with persistent AF (p<0.0001) and patients with AF recurrences (p<0.0001). AF recurrences were noninvasively detected in 632 (51.2%) patients. In patients without AF recurrences, the TE event rate was 0.5% versus 1.74%, 1.28%, and 1.18% for those with only symptomatic, only asymptomatic or both symptomatic and asymptomatic AF recurrences, respectively, but the difference was not statistically significant, even after adjusting for warfarin treatment and the CHADS2 score (HR 2.93; CI 95%; 0.8-10.9; p=0.11)., Conclusions: TE and major bleeding events showed a very low incidence in the GISSI-AF trial population, despite under- or overtreatment with warfarin in many patients. TE events had a similar rate in paroxysmal and persistent AF., Trial Registration Number: NCT00376272.

Purpose: To analyze the published data on the role of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) and angiotensin II-receptor blockers (ARBs) in secondary prevention of AF. Some post-hoc analyses from trials in different clinical scenarios suggested the efficacy of ACEIs and ARBs in the prevention of new onset atrial fibrillation (AF), while their efficacy in preventing AF recurrences is notably controversial., Methods: The authors reviewed all published prospective, randomized vs. placebo or no-treatment studies, concerning the effect of ACEIs and ARBs in the prevention of AF recurrences. Four ACEIs studies accounting for a total of 355 patients and six ARBs studies comprising 4.040 patients were analyzed., Results: The pooled ACEIs data showed a statistical significant effect in preventing AF recurrences. However, the studies did not have a robust follow-up algorithm to recognize AF episodes, and were individually very small. On the contrary, pooled ARBs data did not show any effect in preventing AF recurrences (RR 0.90; 95% CI, 0.75-1.08; p = 0.24). The ARBs analyzed population was much larger in three large prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-control trials with transtelephoning monitoring of AF recurrences and neutral results. The meta-analysis of ACEIs and ARBs trials together could suggest a publication bias that may result in an overestimation of the treatment effect., Conclusions: Currently there is no role for ARBs in secondary prevention of AF. With regard to ACEIs, the data are not strong enough for a conclusion, although the efficacy is expected to be the same as that of ARBs.

Background: Left atrial (LA) dilation precedes or appears early after the onset of atrial fibrillation (AF) and factors in perpetuating the arrhythmia. Angiotensin receptor blockers were proposed for reversing LA remodeling. We evaluated the effect of valsartan on LA remodeling in patients with a recent episode of AF and the effect of LA size on AF recurrence (AFr)., Methods and Results: LA and left ventricular (LV) echocardiographic variables were measured at baseline and 6 and 12 months in 340 patients from GISSI-AF, a trial testing valsartan prevention of AFr. Reversal of remodeling was considered as a decrease in LA size over 12 months. Changes in patients with and without recurrence and the relationship to duration of AFr were analyzed. Patients were 68.4±8.8 years old, with history of hypertension (85.3%) and cardioversion in the previous 2 weeks (87.4%) or ≥2 AFr in the previous 6 months (40.4%). Baseline LA maximal volume (LAVmax) was severely increased (>40 mL/m(2)); LV dimensions and function were relatively normal. Over 12 months, 54.4% of patients had AFr. LAVmax was unchanged by rhythm, time, or randomized treatment. Higher baseline LAVmax and lower LA emptying fraction were linearly related to increasing AFr duration during follow-up., Conclusions: GISSI-AF patients in sinus rhythm and history of AF showed severely increased LAVmax with mostly normal LV volume, mass, and systolic and diastolic function. Valsartan for 1 year did not reverse LA remodeling or prevent AFr. Half of the patients without AFr had severe LA dilation; therefore, mechanisms other than structural remodeling triggered recurrence.

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia that frequently recurs after restoration of sinus rhythm. In a consistent percentage of cases, AF recurrences are asymptomatic, thus making its clinical management difficult in relation to both therapeutic efficacy and thromboembolic risk., Methods: The GISSI-AF trial enrolled 1,442 patients in sinus rhythm with previous AF episodes. Patients were randomized to valsartan or placebo and followed for 12 months. To improve the likelihood of detecting arrhythmic recurrences, arrhythmic follow-up was based on both programmed or symptom-related control visits and transtelephonic electrocardiographic transmissions. The present post hoc analysis was performed on 1,638 arrhythmic episodes that occurred in 623 patients., Results: Asymptomatic AF recurrences were present in 49.5% of patients. In multivariable analysis, asymptomatic AF recurrences were significantly associated with a longer duration of qualifying arrhythmias (odds ratio [95% CI] 1.57 (1.26-1.97), P < .0001). A lower ventricular response (P < .001) and a longer duration of the arrhythmic recurrence (P < .001) characterized asymptomatic episodes. Patients with asymptomatic events were more likely to be in AF at the time of electrocardiographic control at the end of the 12-month follow-up (adjusted odds ratio [95% CI] 4.9 (2.8-8.4), P < .001). Moreover, a higher CHADS(2) (Congestive heart failure, history of Hypertension, Age≥75 years, Diabetes mellitus, and past history of Stroke or TIA doubled) score and a more frequent use of amiodarone, calcium-channel blockers, and digitalis characterized patients with asymptomatic, whereas 1C drugs were more often used in subjects with symptomatic recurrences., Conclusion: Asymptomatic AF recurrences were frequent in the GISSI-AF study population in patients who were more likely to develop persistent-permanent AF and were characterized by an increased thromboembolic risk., (Copyright © 2011 Mosby, Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Dabigatran 150 and 110 mg twice a day and warfarin are effective for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation. The purpose of this study was to compare their risks of bleeding in the Randomized Evaluation of Long-Term Anticoagulant Therapy (RE-LY) trial., Methods and Results: The RE-LY trial randomized 18 113 patients to receive dabigatran 110 or 150 mg twice a day or warfarin dose adjusted to an international normalized ratio of 2.0 to 3.0 for a median follow-up of 2.0 years. Compared with warfarin, dabigatran 110 mg twice a day was associated with a lower risk of major bleeding (2.87% versus 3.57%; P=0.002), whereas dabigatran 150 mg twice a day was associated with a similar risk of major bleeding (3.31% versus 3.57%; P=0.32). There was a significant treatment-by-age interaction, such that dabigatran 110 mg twice a day compared with warfarin was associated with a lower risk of major bleeding in patients aged <75 years (1.89% versus 3.04%; P<0.001) and a similar risk in those aged ≥75 years (4.43% versus 4.37%; P=0.89; P for interaction <0.001), whereas dabigatran 150 mg twice a day compared with warfarin was associated with a lower risk of major bleeding in those aged <75 years (2.12% versus 3.04%; P<0.001) and a trend toward higher risk of major bleeding in those aged ≥75 years (5.10% versus 4.37%; P=0.07; P for interaction <0.001). The interaction with age was evident for extracranial bleeding, but not for intracranial bleeding, with the risk of the latter being consistently reduced with dabigatran compared with warfarin irrespective of age., Conclusions: In patients with atrial fibrillation at risk for stroke, both doses of dabigatran compared with warfarin have lower risks of both intracranial and extracranial bleeding in patients aged <75 years. In those aged ≥75 years, intracranial bleeding risk is lower but extracranial bleeding risk is similar or higher with both doses of dabigatran compared with warfarin., Clinical Trial Registration: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00262600.

Background: Inflammation may play a significant role in the pathogenesis of atrial fibrillation (AF)., Objectives: To examine the roles of three systemic inflammatory markers in predicting recurrent AF., Methods: The association between the plasma concentrations of high-sensitivity C reactive protein (hsCRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6) and pentraxin-3 (PTX3) with echocardiographic parameters and with the time to first recurrence of AF was tested in 382 patients with a history of AF but in sinus rhythm at randomisation, enrolled in the GISSI-AF biohumoral study., Results: Baseline PTX3 was related to left atrial, but not to left ventricular chamber volume. During one year of follow-up, 204 patients (53.1%) had a recurrent AF. There were no significant differences in baseline median [Q1-Q3] plasma concentrations of IL-6, hsCRP and PTX3 among patients with (2.11 [1.47-3.74] pg/ml, 3.30 [1.40-6.80] mg/l and 4.66 [3.27-6.97] ng/ml, respectively) or without recurrent AF (2.09 [1.37-2.90] pg/ml, p=0.182; 3.00 [1.10-6.20] mg/l, p=0.333; 5.09 [3.22-7.98] ng/ml, p=0.637). At 6 and 12 months follow-up, AF patients had significantly higher concentrations of IL-6 and PTX3 than those in sinus rhythm, and those with most recent episodes of AF had higher hsCRP. Baseline levels of IL-6, hsCRP or PTX3 were not significantly associated with a higher risk of recurrence of AF., Conclusion: In patients with a history of AF, but without significant left ventricular dysfunction or heart failure, inflammatory biomarkers may be raised but are, at best, weak predictors of the risk for first recurrence of AF.

Background: Effectiveness and safety of warfarin is associated with the time in therapeutic range (TTR) with an international normalised ratio (INR) of 2·0-3·0. In the Randomised Evaluation of Long-term Anticoagulation Therapy (RE-LY) trial, dabigatran versus warfarin reduced both stroke and haemorrhage. We aimed to investigate the primary and secondary outcomes of the RE-LY trial in relation to each centre's mean TTR (cTTR) in the warfarin population., Methods: In the RE-LY trial, 18 113 patients at 951 sites were randomly assigned to 110 mg or 150 mg dabigatran twice daily versus warfarin dose adjusted to INR 2·0-3·0. Median follow-up was 2·0 years. For 18 024 patients at 906 sites, the cTTR was estimated by averaging TTR for individual warfarin-treated patients calculated by the Rosendaal method. We compared the outcomes of RE-LY across the three treatment groups within four groups defined by the quartiles of cTTR. RE-LY is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00262600., Findings: The quartiles of cTTR for patients in the warfarin group were: less than 57·1%, 57·1-65·5%, 65·5-72·6%, and greater than 72·6%. There were no significant interactions between cTTR and prevention of stroke and systemic embolism with either 110 mg dabigatran (interaction p=0·89) or 150 mg dabigatran (interaction p=0·20) versus warfarin. Neither were any significant interactions recorded with cTTR with regards to intracranial bleeding with 110 mg dabigatran (interaction p=0·71) or 150 mg dabigatran (interaction p=0·89) versus warfarin. There was a significant interaction between cTTR and major bleeding when comparing 150 mg dabigatran with warfarin (interaction p=0·03), with less bleeding events at lower cTTR but similar events at higher cTTR, whereas rates of major bleeding were lower with 110 mg dabigatran than with warfarin irrespective of cTTR. There were significant interactions between cTTR and effects of both 110 mg and 150 mg dabigatran versus warfarin on the composite of all cardiovascular events (interaction p=0·036 and p=0·0006, respectively) and total mortality (interaction p=0·066 and p=0·052, respectively) with reduced event rates at low cTTR, and similar rates at high cTTR., Interpretation: The benefits of 150 mg dabigatran at reducing stroke, 110 mg dabigatran at reducing bleeding, and both doses at reducing intracranial bleeding versus warfarin were consistent irrespective of centres' quality of INR control. For all vascular events, non-haemorrhagic events, and mortality, advantages of dabigatran were greater at sites with poor INR control than at those with good INR control. Overall, these results show that local standards of care affect the benefits of use of new treatment alternatives., Funding: Boehringer Ingelheim., (Copyright © 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia that frequently recurs after restoration of sinus rhythm (SR). Identifying risk factors for recurrence may help define the best strategy for secondary prevention., Methods: The GISSI-AF trial enrolled 1,442 patients in SR with at least 2 documented AF episodes in the previous 6 months or after cardioversion in the last 2 weeks. Patients were randomized to valsartan or placebo; all other treatments for AF or underlying heart diseases were allowed. Primary end points were time to first recurrence of AF and proportion of patients with >1 AF episode during 1-year follow-up. We evaluated clinical and electrocardiographic baseline characteristics of all patients to identify independent predictors for AF recurrence using a Cox multivariable model., Results: Risk factors for AF recurrence were a history of 2 or more AF episodes in the previous 6 months, independent of the modality of SR restoration, spontaneous (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.14-1.77, P = .002), or by cardioversion (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.01-1.40, P = .038), and a lower heart rate during SR (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.99-1.00, P = .052). The risk factors were the same for >1 AF recurrence. Patients treated with amiodarone had a lower risk for both end points (P < .0001 and P = .017), whereas those on diuretics had a greater risk (P = .009 and P = .003)., Conclusions: In the GISSI-AF study population, AF history had significant prognostic value independent of the modality of SR restoration. Amiodarone and diuretic treatment affected the rate of AF recurrence., (2010 Mosby, Inc. All rights reserved.)

Aims: This ancillary analysis of the GISSI-HF database aims at assessing the effect of rosuvastatin on the occurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with chronic heart failure (HF) who were not in AF at study entry., Methods and Results: GISSI-HF was a double-blind, placebo-controlled trial testing n-3 PUFA and rosuvastatin vs. corresponding placebos in patients with chronic HF. Atrial fibrillation occurrence was defined as the presence of AF in the electrocardiogram (ECG) performed at each visit during the trial or AF as a cause of worsening HF or hospital admission or as an event during hospitalization. Among the 3690 patients (80.7%) without AF on their baseline ECG, 15.0% developed AF during a median follow-up period of 3.7 years, 258 randomized to rosuvastatin (13.9%) vs. 294 allocated to placebo (16.0%). Although the difference was not significant at unadjusted analysis (P = 0.097) and multivariable analysis adjusting for clinical variables (P = 0.067), it became significant after adjustment for clinical variables and laboratory examinations (P = 0.039), and for clinical variables, laboratory examinations, and background therapies (P = 0.038)., Conclusion: This study shows that there is some evidence of a beneficial effect of rosuvastatin in terms of reduction of AF occurrence in patients with HF. Larger populations are needed to provide a definite answer to the question. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00336336.

Background: Atrial fibrillation is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, and no current therapy is ideal for control of this condition. Experimental studies suggest that angiotensin II-receptor blockers (ARBs) can influence atrial remodeling, and some clinical studies suggest that they may prevent atrial fibrillation., Methods: We conducted a large, randomized, prospective, placebo-controlled, multicenter trial to test whether the ARB valsartan could reduce the recurrence of atrial fibrillation. We enrolled patients who were in sinus rhythm but had had either two or more documented episodes of atrial fibrillation in the previous 6 months or successful cardioversion for atrial fibrillation in the previous 2 weeks. To be eligible, patients also had to have underlying cardiovascular disease, diabetes, or left atrial enlargement. Patients were randomly assigned to receive valsartan or placebo. The two primary end points were the time to a first recurrence of atrial fibrillation and the proportion of patients who had more than one recurrence of atrial fibrillation over the course of 1 year., Results: A total of 1442 patients were enrolled in the study. Atrial fibrillation recurred in 371 of the 722 patients (51.4%) in the valsartan group, as compared with 375 of 720 (52.1%) in the placebo group (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.97; 96% confidence interval [CI], 0.83 to 1.14; P=0.73). More than one episode of atrial fibrillation occurred in 194 of 722 patients (26.9%) in the valsartan group and in 201 of 720 (27.9%) in the placebo group (adjusted odds ratio, 0.89; 99% CI, 0.64 to 1.23; P=0.34). The results were similar in all predefined subgroups of patients, including those who were not receiving angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors., Conclusions: Treatment with valsartan was not associated with a reduction in the incidence of recurrent atrial fibrillation. (ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00376272.), (2009 Massachusetts Medical Society)

Background: Oral anticoagulation (OAC) therapy is effective in atrial fibrillation but requires vigilance to maintain the international normalized ratio in the therapeutic range. This report examines how differences in time in therapeutic range (TTR) between centers and between countries affect the outcomes of OAC therapy., Methods and Results: In a posthoc analysis, the TTRs of patients on OAC in a randomized trial of OAC versus clopidogrel plus aspirin (Atrial Fibrillation Clopidogrel Trial With Irbesartan for Prevention of Vascular Events [ACTIVE W]) were used to calculate the mean TTR for each of 526 centers and 15 countries. Proportional-hazards analysis, with and without adjustment for baseline variables, was performed, with patients stratified by TTR quartile and country. A wide variation in TTRs was found between centers, with mean TTRs for centers in the 4 quartiles of 44%, 60%, 69%, and 78%. For patients at centers below the median TTR (65%), no treatment benefit was demonstrated as measured by relative risk for vascular events of clopidogrel plus aspirin versus OAC (relative risk, 0.93; 95% confidence interval, 0.70 to 1.24; P=0.61). However, for patients at centers with a TTR above the study median, OAC had a marked benefit, reducing vascular events by >2-fold (relative risk, 2.14; 95% confidence interval, 1.61 to 2.85; P<0.0001). Mean TTR also varied between countries from 46% to 78%; relative risk (clopidogrel plus aspirin versus OAC) varied from 0.6 to 3.6 (a 5-fold difference). A population-average model predicted that a TTR of 58% would be needed to be confident that patients would benefit from being on OAC., Conclusions: A wide variation exists in international normalized ratio control, as measured by TTR, between clinical centers and between countries, which has a major impact on the treatment benefit of OAC therapy. For centers and countries, a target threshold TTR exists (estimated between 58% and 65%) below which there appears to be little benefit of OAC over antiplatelet therapy.

Background: The possibility of preventing atrial fibrillation recurrence with anti-arrhythmic agents is very limited, given the discouraging results obtained with current drugs in many patients. Data from experimental studies suggest that angiotensin II AT1-receptor blockers can influence atrial remodelling, a key factor in atrial fibrillation initiation and maintenance. Moreover, some preliminary clinical data show that angiotensin II AT1 -receptor blockers can prevent atrial fibrillation episodes. The GISSI-Atrial Fibrillation (AF) trial is a randomized, prospective, parallel group, placebo-controlled, multicentre study designed to test whether angiotensin II AT1-receptor blockers can reduce atrial fibrillation recurrence., Objectives and Methods: The primary objective of the study is to demonstrate that, in patients with a history of recent atrial fibrillation who are treated with the best recommended therapies, the addition of the angiotensin II AT1-receptor blocker valsartan (titrated up to 320 mg) is superior to placebo in reducing atrial fibrillation recurrence. A substudy will analyse the effect of valsartan on left atrial dimensions and on neurohormones. The study population consists of patients with symptomatic atrial fibrillation (at least two electrocardiogram documented atrial fibrillation episodes in the previous 6 months or successful cardioversion in the last 2 weeks) with underlying cardiovascular diseases or comorbidities. With approximately 100 centres participating in Italy, a total of 1402 patients are randomized in a 1 : 1 ratio to receive valsartan or placebo. The enrolment period will last 12 months and the patients will be followed for 12 months from study entry., Conclusions: The GISSI-AF is the largest trial aimed at assessing the role of angiotensin receptor blockade in reducing the recurrence of atrial fibrillation and its possible mechanisms of action in terms of its effects on atrium remodelling and neurohormones.