1. Secular Trends in Outcomes and Impact of Novel Oral Anticoagulants in Atrial Fibrillation-Related Acute Ischemic Stroke.
- Author
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Lee M, Lee BC, Yu KH, Oh MS, Kim BJ, Kim JY, Kang J, Lee KJ, Kim DY, Park JM, Kang K, Park TH, Lee KB, Hong KS, Park HK, Cho YJ, Kim DE, Lee SJ, Kim JG, Lee J, Cha JK, Kim DH, Kim JT, Choi KH, Choi JC, Sohn SI, Hong JH, Lee SH, Kim C, Shin DI, Yum KS, Lee J, Lee JS, Gorelick PB, and Bae HJ
- Subjects
- Aged, Female, Humans, Male, Administration, Oral, Anticoagulants therapeutic use, Multicenter Studies as Topic, Registries, Atrial Fibrillation complications, Atrial Fibrillation drug therapy, Atrial Fibrillation epidemiology, Ischemic Stroke drug therapy
- Abstract
Background: Novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) are currently recommended for the secondary prevention of stroke in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) accompanied by atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the impact of NOACs on clinical outcomes in real-world practice remains ambiguous. This study analyzes the trend of clinical events in patients with AF-related AIS and determines how much the introduction of NOACs has mediated this trend., Methods: We identified patients with AIS and AF between January 2011 and December 2019 using a multicenter stroke registry. Annual rates of NOAC prescriptions and clinical events within 1 year were evaluated. The primary outcome was a composite of recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction, and all-cause mortality. To assess the mediation effect of NOACs on the relationship between the calendar year and these outcomes, we used natural effect models and conducted exposure-mediator, exposure-outcome, and mediator-outcome analyses using multivariable regression models or accelerated failure time models, adjusting for potential confounders., Results: Among the 12 977 patients with AF-related AIS, 12 500 (average age: 74.4 years; 51.3% male) were analyzed after excluding cases of valvular AF. Between 2011 and 2019, there was a significant decrease in the 1-year incidence of the primary composite outcome from 28.3% to 21.7%, while the NOAC prescription rate increased from 0% to 75.6%. A 1-year increase in the calendar year was independently associated with delayed occurrence of the primary outcome (adjusted time ratio, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.07-1.14]) and increased NOAC prescription (adjusted odds ratio, 2.20 [95% CI, 2.14-2.27]). Increased NOAC prescription was associated with delayed occurrence of the primary outcome (adjusted time ratio, 3.82 [95% CI, 3.17 to 4.61]). Upon controlling for NOAC prescription (mediator), the calendar year no longer influenced the primary outcome (adjusted time ratio, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.94-1.00]). This suggests that NOAC prescription mediates the association between the calendar year and the primary outcome., Conclusions: Our study highlights a temporal reduction in major clinical events or death in Korean patients with AF-related AIS, mediated by increased NOAC prescription, emphasizing NOAC use in this population., Competing Interests: Disclosures Dr Bae reports grants from Astrazeneca, Bayer Korea, Bristol Myers Squibb, Bristol Myers Squibb Korea, Chong Gun Dang Pharmaceutical Corp, Dong-A ST, Jeil Pharmaceutical Co, Ltd, Korean Drug Co, Ltd, SAMJIN Pharm, Takeda Pharmaceuticals Korea Co, Ltd, and Yuhan Corporation, and personal fees from Amgen Korea, Hanmi Pharmaceutical Co, Ltd, Otsuka Korea, SK Chemicals, and Viatris Korea outside the submitted work. Dr Gorelick received consultative fees for an expert opinion in a medical-legal matter related to stroke in atrial fibrillation.
- Published
- 2024
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