1. IA-2 autoantibodies predict impending type I diabetes in siblings of patients.
- Author
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Decochez K, De Leeuw IH, Keymeulen B, Mathieu C, Rottiers R, Weets I, Vandemeulebroucke E, Truyen I, Kaufman L, Schuit FC, Pipeleers DG, and Gorus FK
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Child, Child, Preschool, Female, Glutamate Decarboxylase immunology, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Insulin Antibodies, Isoenzymes immunology, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Predictive Value of Tests, Proportional Hazards Models, Risk Assessment, Autoantibodies analysis, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 genetics, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1 immunology
- Abstract
Aims/hypothesis: Multiple islet autoantibody positivity is currently believed to best predict progression to Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus. We compared its predictive value with that of positivity for a particular type of islet autoantibody, directed against the IA-2 antigen., Methods: Autoantibodies against islet cell cytoplasm (ICA), insulin (IAA), GAD (GADA) and IA-2 (IA-2A) were measured at initial sampling in 1724 non-diabetic siblings (median age [range]:16 [0-39] years) of Type I diabetic patients with a median follow-up of 50 months., Results: On initial sampling 11% of siblings were positive for one antibody type or more and 2.1% for three of more types. During follow-up, 27 antibody-positive siblings developed diabetes. Using survival analysis, the risk for clinical onset within 5 years was 34% in subjects positive for three or more types compared with 13% in those with one type or more. Progression to diabetes amounted to 12% within 5 years among siblings positive for IAA, 20% for ICA, 19% for GADA but 59% for IA-2A (p<0.001 vs absence of the respective antibody). IA-2A were detected in 1.7% of all siblings and in 56% of the prediabetic subjects on first sampling. Initial positivity for two or three antibody markers was associated with a higher progression rate in IA-2A positive as compared to IA-2A negative siblings (p=0.001). In absence of IA-2A initial positivity for another antibody (IAA, ICA or GADA) conferred a low (<10% within 5 years) risk of diabetes compared to subjects lacking this antibody., Conclusions/interpretation: In siblings of Type I diabetic patients, IA-2A positivity is a more direct predictor of impending clinical onset than multiple antibody positivity per se. Assessment of IA-2A status allows us to select subjects with homogeneously high risk of diabetes for participation in prevention trials.
- Published
- 2002
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