Search

Immune checkpoint therapies such as PD-1 blockade have vastly improved the treatment of numerous cancers, including basal cell carcinoma (BCC). However, patients afflicted with pancreatic ductal carcinoma (PDAC), one of the deadliest malignancies, overwhelmingly exhibit negative responses to checkpoint therapy. We sought to combine data analysis and machine learning to differentiate the putative mechanisms of BCC and PDAC non-response. We discover that increased MHC-I expression in malignant cells and suppression of MHC and PD-1/PD-L expression in CD8+ T cells is associated with nonresponse to treatment. Furthermore, we leverage machine learning to predict response to PD-1 blockade on a cellular level. We confirm divergent resistance mechanisms between BCC, PDAC, and melanoma and highlight the potential for rapid and affordable testing of gene expression in BCC patients to accurately predict response to checkpoint therapies. Our findings present an optimistic outlook for the use of quantitative cross-cancer analyses in characterizing immune responses and predicting immunotherapy outcomes.

Simple Summary: Despite the successes of immune checkpoint therapy in treating metastatic skin cancers, most patients either fail to respond or become unresponsive to immunotherapy. We found that the cell–cell communication of two different immune cell types, macrophages and memory B cells, correlate very strongly with the response to immunotherapy. We built a mathematical model based on these results that predict different skin cancers would have different response rates and predict that a high ratio of memory B cells to macrophages is optimal for a response to immunotherapy. The advent of immune checkpoint therapy for metastatic skin cancer has greatly improved patient survival. However, most skin cancer patients are refractory to checkpoint therapy, and furthermore, the intra-immune cell signaling driving response to checkpoint therapy remains uncharacterized. When comparing the immune transcriptome in the tumor microenvironment of melanoma and basal cell carcinoma (BCC), we found that the presence of memory B cells and macrophages negatively correlate in both cancers when stratifying patients by their response, with memory B cells more present in responders. Moreover, inhibitory immune signaling mostly decreases in melanoma responders and increases in BCC responders. We further explored the relationships between macrophages, B cells and response to checkpoint therapy by developing a stochastic differential equation model which qualitatively agrees with the data analysis. Our model predicts BCC to be more refractory to checkpoint therapy than melanoma and predicts the best qualitative ratio of memory B cells and macrophages for successful treatment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]