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Artificial intelligence-based methodology [artificial neural network (ANN) and fuzzy logic] and a multiple regression-based analysis were conducted for modeling of the biogas production rate from a real full-scale sludge digestion process. In the computational analysis, five process-related parameters such as influent sludge flow rate, total solids content, total volatile solids content, alkalinity, and volatile fatty acids concentration were considered as the input variables for the proposed models. In the ANN-based modeling, a benchmark comparison of 11 backpropagation (BP) algorithms was employed in the first step, and the scaled conjugate gradient algorithm was chosen as the best BP algorithm in terms of their respective mean squared errors. According to the selected BP algorithm (scaled conjugate gradient BP), the number of neurons at the hidden layer was optimized as 14, and the coefficient of determination (R2) was obtained as 0.65 for the optimal three-layer ANN structure (5:14:1). In the second part of the study, a MISO (multiple-input single-output)-type fuzzy-logic model was developed, and five input variables were fuzzified in a knowledge-based manner. For the fuzzy subsets, trapezoidal membership functions were implemented with 10 and 20 levels, and a Mamdani-type fuzzy inference system (FIS) was used to employ 394 rules in the if–then form. The product, summation, and centroid methods were employed, respectively, for implication, aggregation, and defuzzification processes conducted in the FIS. Fuzzy logic-produced forecasts were compared with the estimations obtained from both ANN-based model and a polynomial multiple regression-based model (employed as the third part of this study) derived in this study. Findings of this study clearly indicated that compared to ANN model and conventional multiple regression approach, the proposed MISO fuzzy logic-based model produced smaller deviations and exhibited a superior predictive performance on forecasting biogas production rate from a full-scale treatment plant with a satisfactory R2 value of 0.88. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Despite the remarkable potential for biogas production from livestock and organic wastes, the number of constructed biogas digesters for the continent is in the order of thousands and in case of Mauritania is lower than the number of the provinces. While majority of the existing digesters left far behind the expected efficiency, lack of a comprehensive economic assessment along with an efficient design questions their practical application. The present study introduced the first assessment to evaluate the biogas potential from livestock manures and waste from slaughterhouses in Northwest Africa (a case of Mauritania). Using ArcGIS® software, a database was conducted to build maps that show the amount of waste products, the potential of biogas, and equivalent amounts of energy. These were used to assess the potential of biogas and the corresponding potential energy for each geographical department in Mauritania. The results indicated that the southern provinces had the highest biogas potential with the maximum and the average values of 520 and 258.7 (±125.8) × 106 m3/year. On the other hand, the lowest biogas production potential (27.7 × 106 m3/year) was recorded for northern provinces with the maximum and the average values of 135 and 76.4 (±39.7) × 106 m3/year. The results showed that 63,579 × 106 kg of waste associated with livestock (cattle) and slaughterhouse applications were annually produced in the country. It was determined that this quantity could generate 2451 × 106 m3 of biogas per year, corresponding to an energy potential of 52,704 × 106 MJ/year. Considering the rapid depletion of conventional energy sources and the significance of biogas as a renewable fuel, a detailed feasibility analysis (for the biogas production in each province of Mauritania by means of community type fixed-dome digesters) was also performed in the scope of this study. The results of the comprehensive cost breakdown analysis revealed that the revenues obtained from sale of biogas-generated electricity and digested slurry (as fertilizer) could able to pay the initial investment within approximately 6.5 years without subsidy. The findings of this study, as the first of its own, could be used to comprehend how utilization of information such as slaughterhouse and livestock population, nutrition habitats, land-usage maps and geographic information system (GIS) can be employed to germinate a model for more comprehensive assessment of biogas production potential from livestock manure and slaughterhouse wastes, specifically in case of northern African countries. Moreover, in case of biogas plant, this model could be employed as a decision-making tool to identify the highly qualified location for construction of the biogas plant. • Mapping of biogas production potential is conducted in Mauritania for the first time. • 63,579 × 106 kg of waste can generate 2451 × 106 m3 of biogas per year in the country. • The southern provinces are found to have approximately 4 times more biogas potential. • Energy production in Mauritania heavily depends on oil, natural gas, and wood fuels. • A nationwide biogas digester project can pay for itself in 6.5 years without subsidy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]