1. Do Temperature and Humidity Affect the Transmission of SARS-CoV-2?-A Flexible Regression Analysis
- Author
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Nazmin Akter, Sejuti Haque, Mst. Bithi Akter, and Md. Rezaul Karim
- Subjects
Veterinary medicine ,2019-20 coronavirus outbreak ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,viruses ,Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) ,Biology ,Affect (psychology) ,Article ,law.invention ,Artificial Intelligence ,law ,GAMLSS ,skin and connective tissue diseases ,SARS-CoV-2 ,fungi ,Generalized additive model ,Temperature ,COVID-19 ,virus diseases ,Humidity ,Regression analysis ,Computer Science Applications ,body regions ,Transmission (mechanics) ,Business, Management and Accounting (miscellaneous) ,Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty - Abstract
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is a highly transmissible virus that causes Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Temperature and humidity are two essential factors in the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 affect the respiratory system of human. This study aimed to investigate the effects of temperature and humidity on the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the Spread Covid-19. The daily number of SARS-CoV-2 infected new cases, and the number of death due to Covid-19 are considered the response variables. Data are collected from March 08, 2020 to January 31, 2021. A flexible regression model under the Generalized Additive Models for Location Scale and Shape framework is used to analyze data. The temperature and humidity have a significant impact on the transmission of SARS-CoV-2. The temperature is highly significant in the number of SARS-CoV-2 infected new cases and number of death due to COVID-19. In contrast, the humidity is significant on the number of SARS-CoV-2 infected new cases, but it is insignificant on the number of death due to COVID-19 at a 5% level of significance. The analysis revealed that both the temperature and humidity inversely affected the daily number of deaths and new cases of COVID-19.
- Published
- 2021