1. Biomarker identification using dynamic time warping analysis: a longitudinal cohort study of patients with COVID-19 in a UK tertiary hospital
- Author
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Hannah Burke, Anna Freeman, Paul O’Regan, Oskar Wysocki, Andre Freitas, Ahilanandan Dushianthan, Michael Celinski, James Batchelor, Hang Phan, Florina Borca, Natasha Sheard, Sarah Williams, Alastair Watson, Paul Fitzpatrick, Dónal Landers, and Tom Wilkinson
- Subjects
Manchester Cancer Research Centre ,SARS-CoV-2 ,ResearchInstitutes_Networks_Beacons/mcrc ,COVID-19 ,General Medicine ,United Kingdom ,Cohort Studies ,Tertiary Care Centers ,respiratory infections ,respiratory medicine (see thoracic medicine) ,Medicine ,Humans ,Longitudinal Studies ,Biomarkers ,Retrospective Studies - Abstract
ObjectivesCOVID-19 is a heterogeneous disease, and many reports have described variations in demographic, biochemical and clinical features at presentation influencing overall hospital mortality. However, there is little information regarding longitudinal changes in laboratory prognostic variables in relation to disease progression in hospitalised patients with COVID-19.Design and settingThis retrospective observational report describes disease progression from symptom onset, to admission to hospital, clinical response and discharge/death among patients with COVID-19 at a tertiary centre in South East England.ParticipantsSix hundred and fifty-one patients treated for SARS-CoV-2 between March and September 2020 were included in this analysis. Ethical approval was obtained from the HRA Specific Review Board (REC 20/HRA/2986) for waiver of informed consent.ResultsThe majority of patients presented within 1 week of symptom onset. The lowest risk patients had low mortality (1/45, 2%), and most were discharged within 1 week after admission (30/45, 67%). The highest risk patients, as determined by the 4C mortality score predictor, had high mortality (27/29, 93%), with most dying within 1 week after admission (22/29, 76%). Consistent with previous reports, most patients presented with high levels of C reactive protein (CRP) (67% of patients >50 mg/L), D-dimer (98%>upper limit of normal (ULN)), ferritin (65%>ULN), lactate dehydrogenase (90%>ULN) and low lymphocyte counts (81%ConclusionsSerial measurement of routine blood tests may be a useful prognostic tool for monitoring treatment response in hospitalised patients with COVID-19. Changes in other biochemical parameters often included in a ‘COVID-19 bundle’ did not show significant association with outcome, suggesting there may be limited clinical benefit of serial sampling. This may have direct clinical utility in the context of escalating healthcare costs of the pandemic.
- Published
- 2022
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