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Interferometric gravitational-wave observatories have opened a new era in astronomy. The rich data produced by an international network enable detailed analysis of the curved space-time around black holes. With nearly 100 signals observed so far and thousands expected in the next decade, their population properties enable insights into stellar evolution and the expansion of our Universe. However, the detectors are afflicted by transient noise artefacts known as 'glitches' which contaminate the signals and bias inferences. Of the 90 signals detected to date, 18 were contaminated by glitches. This feasibility study explores a new approach to transient gravitational-wave data analysis using Gaussian processes, which model the underlying physics of the glitch-generating mechanism rather than the explicit realization of the glitch itself. We demonstrate that if the Gaussian process kernel function can adequately model the glitch morphology, we can recover the parameters of simulated signals. Moreover, we find that the Gaussian processes kernels used in this work are well suited to modelling long-duration glitches which are most challenging for existing glitch-mitigation approaches. Finally, we show how the time-domain nature of our approach enables a new class of time-domain tests of General Relativity, performing a re-analysis of the inspiral-merger-ringdown test on the first observed binary black hole merger. Our investigation demonstrates the feasibility of the Gaussian processes as an alternative to the traditional framework but does not yet establish them as a replacement. Therefore, we conclude with an outlook on the steps needed to realize the full potential of the Gaussian process approach. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The detection of an intermediate-mass black hole population (102–106 M⊙) will provide clues to their formation environments (e.g. discs of active galactic nuclei, globular clusters) and illuminate a potential pathway to produce supermassive black holes. Ground-based gravitational-wave detectors are sensitive to mergers that can form intermediate-mass black holes weighing up to ∼450 M⊙. However, ground-based detector data contain numerous incoherent short duration noise transients that can mimic the gravitational-wave signals from merging intermediate-mass black holes, limiting the sensitivity of searches. Here, we follow-up on binary black hole merger candidates using a ranking statistic that measures the coherence or incoherence of triggers in multiple-detector data. We use this statistic to rank candidate events, initially identified by all-sky search pipelines, with lab-frame total masses ≳ 55 M⊙ using data from LIGO's second observing run. Our analysis does not yield evidence for new intermediate-mass black holes. However, we find support for eight stellar-mass binary black holes not reported in the first LIGO–Virgo gravitational wave transient catalogue GWTC-1, seven of which have been previously reported by other catalogues. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The two interferometric LIGO gravitational-wave observatories provide the most sensitive data to date to study the gravitational-wave universe. As part of a global network, they have completed their third observing run in which they observed many tens of signals from merging compact binary systems. It has long been known that a limiting factor in identifying transient gravitational-wave signals is the presence of transient non-Gaussian noise, which reduce the ability of astrophysical searches to detect signals confidently. Significant efforts are taken to identify and mitigate this noise at the source, but its presence persists, leading to the need for software solutions. Taking a set of transient noise artefacts categorised by the GravitySpy software during the O3a observing era, we produce parameterised population models of the noise projected into the space of astrophysical model parameters of merging binary systems. We compare the inferred population properties of transient noise artefacts with observed astrophysical systems from the GWTC2.1 catalogue. We find that while the population of astrophysical systems tend to have near equal masses and moderate spins, transient noise artefacts are typically characterised by extreme mass ratios and large spins. This work provides a new method to calculate the consistency of an observed candidate with a given class of noise artefacts. This approach could be used in assessing the consistency of candidates found by astrophysical searches (i.e. determining if they are consistent with a known glitch class). Furthermore, the approach could be incorporated into astrophysical searches directly, potentially improving the reach of the detectors, though only a detailed study would verify this. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Gravitational-wave astronomy provides a unique new way to study the expansion history of the universe. In this work, we investigate the impact future gravitational-wave observatories will have on cosmology. Third-generation observatories like the Einstein Telescope and Cosmic Explorer will be sensitive to essentially all of the binary black hole coalescence events in the universe. Recent work by Farr et al. points out that features in the stellar-mass black hole population break the mass–redshift degeneracy, facilitating precise determination of the Hubble parameter without electromagnetic counterparts or host galaxy catalogs. Using a hierarchical Bayesian inference model, we show that with one year of observations by the Einstein Telescope, the Hubble constant will be measured to ≲1%. We also show that this method can be used to perform Bayesian model selection between cosmological models. As an illustrative example, we find that a decisive statement can be made comparing the ΛCDM and RHCT cosmological models using two weeks of data from the Einstein Telescope. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The gravitational-wave candidate GW151216 is a proposed binary black hole event from the first observing run of the Advanced LIGO detectors. Not identified as a bona fide signal by the LIGO–Virgo collaboration, there is disagreement as to its authenticity, which is quantified by p astro, the probability that the event is astrophysical in origin. Previous estimates of p astro from different groups range from 0.18 to 0.71, making it unclear whether this event should be included in population analyses, which typically require p astro > 0.5. Whether GW151216 is an astrophysical signal or not has implications for the population properties of stellar-mass black holes and hence the evolution of massive stars. Using the astrophysical odds, a Bayesian method that uses the signal coherence between detectors and a parametrized model of non-astrophysical detector noise, we find that p astro = 0.03, suggesting that GW151216 is unlikely to be a genuine signal. We also analyse GW150914 (the first gravitational-wave detection) and GW151012 (initially considered to be an ambiguous detection) and find p astro values of 1 and 0.997, respectively. We argue that the astrophysical odds presented here improve upon traditional methods for distinguishing signals from noise. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]