Search

Ejection fraction (EF) is still widely used to categorize heart failure (HF) patients but has limitations. Global longitudinal strain (GLS) has emerged as a new prognosticator in HF, independent of EF.We investigated the incremental predictive benefit of GLS over different risk profiles as identified by automated cluster analysis of simple echocardiographic parameters.In 797 HFrEF patients (age 66 ± 12y; mean EF 30 ± 7%), unsupervised cluster analysis of 10 routine echocardiographic variables (without GLS) was performed. Median follow-up was 37 months. End-point was all-cause mortality. Association between risk profiles, GLS, and mortality was assessed by Cox proportional-hazard modeling with interaction term. Cluster analysis allocated patients to 3 different risk phenogroups (PG): PG-1 (mild diastolic dysfunction [DD], moderate systolic dysfunction, no pulmonary hypertension, normal right ventricular [RV] function); PG-2 (moderate DD, mild pulmonary hypertension, normal RV function); PG-3 (severe DD, advanced systolic dysfunction, pulmonary hypertension, RV dysfunction). Compared to PG-1, PG-2 and PG-3 showed increased adjusted-hazard ratio (1.71; 95% CI:1.05-2.77, P = 0.30; and 2.58; 95% CI:1.50-4.44, P 0.001, respectively). GLS was independently associated with outcome in the whole population (adjusted-HR: 1.11; 95% CI: 1.05-1.17, P = 0.001); however, profile membership modified the relationship between GLS and outcome which was no longer significant in PG-3 (P for interaction = 0.003).Within HFrEF populations, clustering of routine echocardiography parameters can automatically identify patients with different risk profiles; further assessment by GLS may be useful for patients with not advanced disease.

The role of patent foramen ovale (PFO) in cryptogenic stroke (CS) is debated. Tools to predict PFO occurrence and attributable fraction are needed to guide cost-effective diagnostics and treatment. Risk of Paradoxical Embolism (RoPE) score relies on neuroimaging findings, which might be inconclusive in up to 30% of cases. We developed a clinical-based easy tool to predict the presence and attributable fraction of PFO in CS patients, without using neuroimaging. The clinical RoPE (cRoPE) score, ranging 1–10, was elaborated through Delphi method from the original RoPE score, replacing cortical infarction with the Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project (OCSP) classification (lacunar stroke = 0 points, other subtypes = 1 point). Then, from the SISIFO (Studio Italiano di prevalenza nello Stroke Ischemico di pervieta del Forame Ovale, or Prevalence of Patent Foramen Ovale in Ischemic Stroke in Italy) study, a multicenter, prospective study on consecutive acute ischemic stroke patients (n = 1130) classified by Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment (TOAST) and OCSP criteria and undergoing PFO testing, we selected the VV-CDC cohort (Vibo Valentia, Citta di Castello, n = 323) to test the accuracy of cRoPE in predicting PFO detection. We compared cRoPE with RoPE to verify cRoPE reliability. Finally, we tested, through ROC analysis, the performance of cRoPE depending on TOAST classification. Overall, PFO was detected in 21% in VV-CDC and in 23.4% in remaining SISIFO cohort (n = 807). cRoPEAUC and RoPEAUC were similar in VV-CDC. cRoPE performance was comparable with RoPE among CS (cRoPEAUC 0.76, 95%CI 0.67–0.85, RoPEAUC 0.75, 95%CI 0.66–0.84). Moving to the remaining SISIFO cohort, cRoPE confirmed satisfactory accuracy in predicting PFO detection in CS patients (cRoPEAUC 0.71, 95%CI 0.66–0.78, p = 0.032). Conclusions: cRoPE might help in stratification of patients with CS, allowing accurate esteem of the likelihood of PFO to be found, especially in cases when neuroimaging is inconclusive.

Background Patients with heart failure undergoing cardiac resynchronization therapy with or without defibrillator function may exhibit recovery of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) during follow-up. Mechanical dispersion (MD; the SD of time to peak longitudinal strain by two-dimensional speckle-tracking echocardiography) is a known predictor of life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias (VAs). Relationships among LVEF recovery, changes in MD, and incidence of VA are still not extensively investigated. Methods In this retrospective study, recipients of cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillation (n = 183) or implantable cardioverter-defibrillators only (n = 87) underwent conventional and speckle-tracking echocardiography, both at baseline and after 10 to 12 months, and were followed clinically. Both a ≥10% increase in LVEF and a final LVEF > 35% defined echocardiographic response (EchoResp). Reduction in MD ≥10 msec defined MD response (MDResp). Risk for appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapy for VAs was assessed using a multivariable Cox hazard model. Results The prevalence of EchoResp+ and MDResp+ was 39% and 46%, respectively. During follow-up (49.8 ± 33.5 months), 74 VA events occurred. The incidence rate (per 100 patient-years) of VAs was lowest in the EchoResp+/MDResp+ group (1.66%; 95% CI, 0.69%-3.99%), highest in the EchoResp−/MDResp− group (12.8%; 95% CI, 9.53%-17.2%; P 71.4 msec) was associated with VAs independent of whether final LVEF was below or above the guideline-reported cutoff of 35% (P Conclusions Among ICD recipients, improvements in both left ventricular function and MD are associated with reduced risk for VAs. In patients whose follow-up LVEFs improved to >35%, risk for VAs, although substantially decreased, remained elevated in the presence of still elevated MD.

Idarucizumab (Praxbind) is a humanized antibody fragment, that reversibly and with high affinityties up dabigatran (Pradaxa). Anticoagulation reversal is achieved immediately, and with no procoagulant effect. It is administered intravenously and clearance is renal. The main clinical application of idarucizumab is to antagonize bleeding related to dabigatran, especially if it occurs at critical sites, such as nervous system (central or peripheral), intraocular, pericardial, retroperitoneal or pulmonary. Other indications are: i) dabigatran-induced anticoagulation reversal in the need for emergency surgery or procedures at high risk of bleeding; and ii) second-line treatment in bleedings that persist despite local hemostasis procedures. In this narrative review, we comprehensively address clinical indications for idarucizumab, summing up evidence derived from a systematic literature review, but also from case reports.

Aims: In patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), an association between left atrial (LA) dilatation and dysfunction is expected, but the degree of coexistence of the two abnormalities and their relative prognostic role is not known. Methods and results: A total of 626 HFrEF patients formed the study population. All of them underwent a comprehensive echocardiographic evaluation. LA maximal volume was indexed to body surface area (LAVi); LA function was assessed using strain analysis during the reservoir phase: peak atrial longitudinal strain (PALS) analysis. Study primary endpoint was overall mortality or hospitalization for worsening heart failure. Four groups of patients were included in this study according to LAVi (≤34 or >34 mL/m2 ) and PALS (≤23% or >23%); 61 (10%) patients had normal LA volume and function (Group 1), 58 (9%) had LA dilatation but normal function (Group 2), 100 (16%) had normal volume but abnormal function (Group 3), and 407 (65%) had enlarged left atrium and abnormal function (Group 4). PALS was associated with primary endpoint in patients with both normal-size [Groups 1 and 3: hazard ratio (HR) 0.92, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.88-0.96; P = 0.0006] and dilated left atria (Groups 2 and 4: HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.91-0.96; P < 0.0001). In contrast, LAVi was associated with the primary endpoint in patients with abnormal LA function (Groups 3 and 4: HR 1.018, 95% CI 1.011-1.024; P < 0.00001) but not in those with normal PALS (Groups 1 and 2: HR 1.023, 95% CI 0.99-1.057; P = 0.1). Conclusions: Left atrial dilatation and dysfunction frequently but not invariably coexist. PALS emerged as a significant prognostic parameter in HFrEF even in the absence of LA dilation.

Background Validation of administrative databases for cerebrovascular diseases is crucial for epidemiological, outcome, and health services research. The aim of this study was to validate ICD-9 codes for hemorrhagic or ischemic stroke in administrative databases, to use them for a comprehensive assessment of the burden of disease in terms of major outcomes, such as mortality, hospital readmissions, and use of healthcare resources. Methods We considered the hospital discharge abstract database of the Umbria Region (890,000 residents). Source population was represented by patients aged >18 discharged from hospital with a diagnosis of hemorrhagic or ischemic stroke between 2012 and 2014 using ICD-9-CM codes in primary position. We randomly selected and reviewed medical charts of cases and non-cases from hospitals. For case ascertainment we considered symptoms and instrumental tests reported in the medical charts. Diagnostic accuracy measures were computed using 2x2 tables. Results We reviewed 767 medical charts for cases and 78 charts for non-cases. Diagnostic accuracy measures were: subarachnoid hemorrhage: sensitivity (SE) 100% (95% CI: 97%-100%), specificity (SP) 96% (90–99), positive predictive value (PPV) 98% (93–100), negative predictive value (NPV) 100% (95–100); intracerebral hemorrhage: SE 100% (97–100), SP 98% (91–100), PPV 98% (94–100), NPV 100% (95–100); other and unspecified intracranial hemorrhage: SE 100% (97–100), SP 96% (90–99), PPV 98% (93–100), NPV 100% (95–100); ischemic stroke due to occlusion and stenosis of precerebral arteries: SE 99% (94–100), SP 66 (57–75), PPV 70% (61–77), NPV 99% (93–100); occlusion of cerebral arteries: SE 100% (97–100), SP 87% (78–93), PPV 91% (84–95), NPV 100% (95–100); acute, but ill-defined, cerebrovascular disease: SE 100% (97–100), SP 78% (69–86), PPV % 83 (75–89), NPV 100% (95–100). Conclusions Case ascertainment for both ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke showed good or high levels of accuracy within the regional healthcare databases in Umbria. This database can confidently be employed for epidemiological, outcome, and health services research related to any type of stroke.

Idarucizumab can reverse the effect of the direct thrombin inhibitor dabigatran,1 a non-vitamin K oral anticoagulant (NOAC) available for primary and secondary prevention of cardioembolic stroke due to non-valvular atrial fibrillation. Ischaemic stroke may happen despite ongoing anticoagulation, a contraindication to intravenous thrombolysis (IVT).2 Thus, patients with ischaemic stroke while on dabigatran might be eligible for anticoagulation reversal with idarucizumab to allow IVT. Here, we report our case series and provide a systematic review to define outcomes of such treatment algorithm. Case series of patients undergoing IVT after dabigatran reversal was identified from our stroke registry (online supplementary file 1). Systematic review followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines3 and specified protocol (PROSPERO: http://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO, registration no. CRD42017060274) (online supplementary file 2). Search strategy, performed on Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, EMBASE and PubMed, can be found in online supplementary file 1. ### Supplementary data [jnnp-2018-318658-supp1.pdf] ### Supplementary data [jnnp-2018-318658-supp2.pdf] ### Data extraction and outcome assessment All available data were collected (online supplementary file 1). According to National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) total score, stroke were divided into mild (1–4), moderate (5–15), moderate to severe (16–20) and severe (21–42 4). Unfavourable outcome was defined as an increase in NIHSS score or death. Additional outcomes included modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at follow-up, symptomatic intracerebral haemorrhage, systemic bleeding, allergic reactions to idarucizumab, recurrent stroke and venous thrombosis during post-acute phase. ### Statistical analysis Statistical analysis was performed with R software using …

BackgroundAdministrative healthcare databases are useful and inexpensive tools that can provide a comprehensive assessment of the burden of diseases in terms of major outcomes, such as mortality, hospital readmissions, and use of healthcare resources. However, a crucial issue is the reliability of information gathered. The aim of this study was to validate ICD-9 codes for several major cardiovascular conditions, i.e., acute myocardial infarction (AMI), atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF), and heart failure (HF), in order to use them for epidemiological, outcome, and health services research.MethodsData from the centralised administrative database of the Umbria Region (890,000 residents, located in Central Italy) were considered. Patients with a first hospital discharge for AMI, AF/flutter, and HF, between 2012 and 2014, were identified using ICD-9-CM codes in primary position. A sample of cases and non-cases was randomly selected, and the corresponding medical charts reviewed by specifically trained investigators. For each disease, case ascertainment was based on all clinical, laboratory, and instrumental examinations available in medical charts. Sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), were calculated.ResultsWe reviewed 458 medical charts, 128 for AMI, 127 for AF/flutter, 127 for HF, and 76 of non-cases for each condition. Diagnostic accuracy measures of the original discharge diagnosis were as follows. AMI: sensitivity 98% (95% CI, 94-100%), specificity 91% (95% CI, 83-97%), positive predictive value (PPV) 95% (95% CI, 89-98%), negative predictive value (NPV) 97% (95% CI, 91-100%). AF/flutter: sensitivity 95% (95% CI, 90-98%), specificity 95% (95% CI, 87-99%), PPV 97% (95% CI, 92-99%), NPV 92% (95% CI, 84-97%). HF: sensitivity 96% (95% CI, 91-99%), specificity 90% (95% CI, 81-96%), PPV 94% (95% CI, 88-97%), NPV 93% (95% CI, 85-98%).ConclusionThe case ascertainment for AMI, AF and flutter, and HF, showed a high level of accuracy (≥ 90%). The healthcare administrative database of the Umbria Region can be confidently used for epidemiological, outcome, and health services research.

Background Peptic ulcer is a widespread disease, frequently complicated by perforation and bleeding. Administrative databases are useful tool to perform epidemiological and drug utilization studies, but they need a validation process based on a comparison with the original data contained in the medical charts. Our aim was to evaluate the accuracy of the ICD-9 codes in identifying patients with peptic ulcer and gastrointestinal hemorrhage in the regional administrative database of Umbria. Methods The index test of our study was the hospital discharge abstract database of the Umbria region (Italy), while the reference standard was the clinical information collected in the medical charts. The study population were adult patients with a hospital discharge for peptic ulcer or gastrointestinal hemorrhage in the period 2012-2014. A random sample of cases and non-cases was selected and the corresponding medical charts were reviewed. Cases of peptic ulcer were confirmed based on endoscopy, radiology, and surgery, while adjudication of gastrointestinal hemorrhage was based on presence of hematemesis, melena, and rectal bleeding. Results Overall, we reviewed 445 clinical charts of cases and 80 clinical charts of non-cases. The diagnostic accuracy results were: code 531 (gastric ulcer), sensitivity and NPV 98%, specificity 88%, and PPV 91%; code 532 (duodenal ulcer), sensitivity and NPV 100%, specificity and PPV 98%; code 534 (gastrojejunal ulcer), sensitivity and NPV 100%, specificity 70%, and PPV 45%; code 578 (gastrointestinal hemorrhage), sensitivity 96%, specificity 90%, PPV and NPV 94%. Conclusions Our results showed a high level of diagnostic accuracy for most of the codes considered. The ICD-9 code 534 of gastrojejunal ulcer had a lower level of specificity and PPV due to false positives, being mainly misclassifications for coding errors. These validated codes can be used for future epidemiological studies and for health services research.

Background Left atrial (LA) volume is a marker of cardiac remodeling and prognosis in heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (EF), but LA function is rarely measured or characterized. We investigated determinants and prognostic impact of LA reservoir function in patients with HF with reduced EF. Methods and Results In 405 patients with stable HF with reduced EF (EF, ≤40%) in sinus rhythm, we assessed LA reservoir function by both LA total EF (by phasic volume changes) and peak atrial longitudinal strain (PALS; by speckle tracking echocardiography); LA functional index was also calculated. During follow-up (median, 30 months; Q1–Q3, 13–52), 139 patients (34%) reached the composite end point (all-cause death/HF hospitalization). Median PALS was 15.5% (interquartile range, 11.2–20.6). By univariable analysis, all LA function parameters significantly predicted outcome ( P P =0.030). Adding PALS to a base model, including age, sex, LA volume, EF, E/E′ ratio, and global longitudinal strain, provided incremental predictive value (continuous net reclassification improvement, 0.449; P =0.0009). Conclusions In HF with reduced EF, assessment of LA reservoir function by PALS allows powerful prognostication, independently of LA volume and left ventricular longitudinal contraction.

Global right ventricular (RV) longitudinal strain (RVGLS) and free wall RV longitudinal strain (RVFWS) have both been advocated as sensitive tools to evaluate RV function and predict prognosis in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). However, because the interventricular septum is an integral part of the left ventricle (LV) also, RVGLS might be influenced by LV dysfunction. Thus, we compared the prognostic performance of either RV strain parameter in HFrEF patients, also taking into account the degree of LV systolic dysfunction.In 288 prospectively enrolled outpatients with stable HFrEF, RVGLS and RVFWS were assessed by speckle-tracking and LV systolic function by global longitudinal strain and LV ejection fraction. Patients were followed up for 30.2 ± 23.0 months; the primary endpoint was all-cause death/heart failure-related hospitalization. Prognostic performance was assessed by C-statistic and net reclassification improvement.There were 95 events during follow-up. By univariable analysis, both RVGLS (hazard ratio × 1 SD, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.29-1.99; P .0001) and RVFWS (hazard ratio × 1 SD, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.45-2.29; P .0001) were associated with outcome, and both remained significant after correction for EMPHASIS risk score, New York Heart Association class, natriuretic peptides, and therapy. However, after further correction for LV systolic function parameters, only RVFWS remained significantly associated with outcome (P .01). A basic prediction model was improved by adding RVFWS (net reclassification improvement 0.390; P .05), but not RVGLS.Although both RVGLS and RVFWS have prognostic value, RVFWS better predicts outcome in HFrEF patients, mainly because it is less influenced by LV longitudinal dysfunction.

Background and aims Elevated serum uric acid (sUA) concentrations have been associated with worse prognosis in heart failure (HF) but little is known about elderly patients. We aimed to assess long-term additive prognostic value of sUA in elderly patients hospitalized for HF. Methods and results Clinical and echocardiographic characteristics of 310 consecutive elderly patients hospitalized for HF were collected. During index period, 206 had sUA concentrations available, which were obtained within 24 h prior to discharge; 10 patients were lost to follow-up, leaving 196 patients available. Patients had a median age of 77 (IQR 69–83) years, and were mostly male (64.5%). sUA ranges for tertiles I–III were: 1.5–6.1, 6.2–8.3, and 8.4–18.9 mg/dl, respectively. During a median follow-up of 27 months (IQR 10.5–39.5), 122 combined events occurred (87 deaths and 73 HF rehospitalizations). Four-year event-free survival for the combined endpoint was 46 ± 7% for tertile I, 34 ± 7% for tertile II, and 21 ± 5% for tertile III (P = 0.001). By multivariable Cox backward analysis, sUA was retained as a significant predictor. Compared with the lowest sUA tertile, tertile III showed a strong association with outcome, also after adjustment for other predictors (HR 1.84, 95% CI 1.16–2.93; P = 0.01). Importantly, addition of sUA to the other significant predictors of outcome resulted in improved risk classification (net reclassification improvement 0.19, P = 0.017). Conclusions High sUA at discharge is a strong predictor of adverse outcome in elderly hospitalized for HF, and it significantly improves risk classification. Measuring sUA can be a simple and useful tool to identify high-risk elderly hospitalized for HF.

Background— In heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction, right ventricular (RV) impairment, as defined by reduced tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion, is a predictor of poor outcome. However, peak longitudinal strain of RV free wall (RVFWS) has been recently proposed as a more accurate and sensitive tool to evaluate RV function. Accordingly, we investigated whether RVFWS could help refine prognosis of patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction in whom tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion is still preserved. Methods and Results— A total of 200 patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (age, 66±11 years; ejection fraction, 30±7%) with preserved tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (>16 mm) underwent RV function assessment using speckle-tracking echocardiography to measure peak RVFWS. After a median follow-up period of 28 months, 62 (31%) patients reached the primary composite end point of all-cause death/HF rehospitalization. Median RVFWS was −19.3% (interquartile range, −23.3% to −15.0%). By lasso-penalized Cox-hazard model, RVFWS was an independent predictor of outcome, along with Eplerenone in Mild Patients Hospitalization and Survival Study in Heart Failure-HF score, Echo-HF score, and severe mitral regurgitation. The best cutoff value of RVFWS for prediction of outcome was −15.3% (area under the curve, 0.68; P P P Conclusions— In patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction with preserved tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion, RV free-wall strain provides incremental prognostic information and improved risk stratification.

Background Increased red blood cell distribution width (RDW) has been associated with poor outcome after cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT). However, whether baseline RDW, and its serial changes after CRT implant, have incremental prognostic value is unknown. Methods and results In 148 consecutive patients (age, 68±9years; 122 men) undergoing CRT, RDW was assessed before and 3months after implant. Patients were categorized according to baseline RDW (≤14.5% vs >14.5%); and as "stable", "decreased", "increased", relative to post-implant changes. Primary end-point was a composite of death/HF hospitalization during follow-up (median 21months). A reduction in left ventricular (LV) end-systolic volume by ≥15% at 6-month identified LV reverse remodeling. By multivariable logistic regression analysis "increased" (OR:0.22, 95%CI: 0.07-0.69, P =0.010) and "stable-high" RDW at follow-up (OR: 0.39, 95%CI: 0.17–0.89, P =0.027) showed a lower likelihood to develop LV reverse remodeling, while baseline RDW was no longer predictive of LV remodeling. During follow-up, there were 57 events. Baseline RDW>14.5% (HR: 2.24, 95%CI: 1.05–4.77, P =0.036), "increased" (HR: 2.55, 95% CI: 1.09–5.97, P =0.030) and "stable-high" RDW (HR: 2.95, 95% CI: 1.45–5.99, P =0.003) independently predicted outcome after adjusting for functional improvement after CRT, radial dyssynchrony, BNP, creatinine clearance, and left atrial volume index. However, integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification improvement were not statistically significant when both baseline RDW and its changes were added to a base predictive model. Conclusion Increased and stable-high values of RDW were independently associated with both LV reverse remodeling and outcome after CRT; however, RDW did not show any incremental predictive value.

A woman admitted to the hospital for a massive Pulmonary Embolism, developed, at stable emodinamic condition, a complex clinical scenario characterized by Crohn disease exacerbation, chest pain and worsening dyspnea. The electrocardiogram presented non-specific repolarization changes. Echocardiogram showed new Left Ventricle akinesis of the apex and medium-apical segments, hyperkinetic basal segment with reduced ejection fraction. Coronarography showed not significant coronary artery disease and typical left ventricle apical ballooning. Left ventricle dysfunction recovered spontaneously in few days. This is the first case of Takotsubo Cardiomyopathy in course of pulmonary embolism and Crohn disease exacerbation. Summary: Takotsubo Cardiomyopathy is a syndrome characterized by acute regional systolic dysfunction of the left ventricle, frequently related to psycho-physical acute stress and usually reversible, in the absence of significant coronary artery disease. No cases have been reported of Takotsubo Cardiomyopathy associated with pulmonary embolism in the context of Crohn disease reacutization.

Myocardial reflectivity, as assessed by calibrated integrated backscatter (cIB) analysis, is a non-invasive surrogate for the amount of left ventricular (LV) fibrosis. The aim of this study was to assess the myocardial reflectivity pattern in patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), and to evaluate its relationship with longitudinal systolic deformation of LV by 2D-speckle tracking echocardiography, and degree of diastolic dysfunction. Transthoracic echocardiography, myocardial Doppler-derived systolic (Sm) and early diastolic velocity (E'), global longitudinal strain (GLS), and tissue characterization by cIB, were obtained in 86 subjects, 46 with HFpEF, and 40 controls. GLS was significantly impaired in HFpEF patients (-15.4 ± 3.5 % vs -21.5 ± 2.9 % in controls; P

Introduction Administrative healthcare databases can provide a comprehensive assessment of the burden of diseases in terms of major outcomes, such as mortality, hospital readmissions and use of healthcare resources, thus providing answers to a wide spectrum of research questions. However, a crucial issue is the reliability of information gathered. Aim of this protocol is to validate International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision—Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) codes for major cardiovascular diseases, including acute myocardial infarction (AMI), heart failure (HF), atrial fibrillation (AF) and stroke. Methods and analysis Data from the centralised administrative database of the entire Umbria Region (910 000 residents, located in Central Italy) will be considered. Patients with a first hospital discharge for AMI, HF, AF or stroke, between 2012 and 2014, will be identified in the administrative database using the following groups of ICD-9-CM codes located in primary position: (1) 410.x for AMI; (2) 427.31 for AF; (3) 428 for HF; (4) 433.x1, 434 (excluding 434.x0), 436 for ischaemic stroke, 430 and 431 for haemorrhagic stroke (subarachnoid haemorrhage and intracerebral haemorrhage). A random sample of cases, and of non-cases, will be selected, and the corresponding medical charts retrieved and reviewed for validation by pairs of trained, independent reviewers. For each condition considered, case adjudication of disease will be based on symptoms, laboratory and diagnostic tests, as available in medical charts. Divergences will be resolved by consensus. Sensitivity and specificity with 95% CIs will be calculated. Ethics and dissemination Research protocol has been granted approval by the Regional Ethics Committee. Study results will be disseminated widely through peer-reviewed publications and presentations at national and international conferences.

[1] Mewton N, Opdahl A, Choi EY, et al. Left ventricular global function index by magnetic resonance imaging—a novel marker for assessment of cardiac performance for the prediction of cardiovascular events: the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis. Hypertension 2013;61:770–8. [2] McComb C, Berry C. Prognostic importance of a newmeasure of global systolic heart function in healthy adults. Hypertension 2013;61:762–4. [3] Reinstadler SJ, Klug G, Feistritzer HJ, et al. Association of copeptin with myocardial infarct size and myocardial function after ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. Heart 2013;99:1525–9. [4] Reinstadler S, Klug G, Feistritzer H, et al. Relation of plasma adiponectin levels and aortic stiffness after acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. Eur Heart J Acute Cardiovasc Care 2014;3(1):10–7. [5] Klug G, Mayr A, Schenk S, et al. Prognostic value at 5 years of microvascular obstruction after acute myocardial infarction assessed by cardiovascular magnetic resonance. J Cardiovasc Magn Reson 2012;14:46. [6] Mayr A, Klug G, Schocke M, et al. Late microvascular obstruction after acute myocardial infarction: relation with cardiac and inflammatory markers. Int J Cardiol 2012;157:391–6. [7] Wu AH, Parsons L, Every NR, et al. Hospital outcomes in patients presenting with congestive heart failure complicating acute myocardial infarction: a report from the Second National Registry of Myocardial Infarction (NRMI-2). J Am Coll Cardiol 2002;40:1389–94. [8] Wu E, Ortiz JT, Tejedor P, et al. Infarct size by contrast enhanced cardiac magnetic resonance is a stronger predictor of outcomes than left ventricular ejection fraction or end-systolic volume index: prospective cohort study. Heart 2008;94:730–6. [9] Solomon SD, Anavekar N, Skali H, et al. Influence of ejection fraction on cardiovascular outcomes in a broad spectrum of heart failure patients. Circulation 2005;112:3738–44.