1. Can initial chest CT scan predict status and clinical outcomes of COVID-19 infection? A retrospective cohort study
- Author
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Iman Abdollahi, Rahele Mehraeen, Hoda Shirafkan, Mehrdad Nabahati, and Mostafa Javanian
- Subjects
medicine.medical_specialty ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,Coronavirus disease 2019 ,business.industry ,Clinical outcome ,Research ,Medical record ,Chest ct ,R895-920 ,Retrospective cohort study ,Odds ratio ,Disease ,Ground-glass opacity ,030218 nuclear medicine & medical imaging ,Icu admission ,03 medical and health sciences ,Medical physics. Medical radiology. Nuclear medicine ,0302 clinical medicine ,030220 oncology & carcinogenesis ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and imaging ,medicine.symptom ,business ,Computed tomography - Abstract
Background We aimed to investigate the association of initial chest CT scan findings with status and adverse outcomes of COVID-19 (including ICU admission, mortality, and disease severity). This retrospective cohort study was performed in three hospitals in Babol, northern Iran, between February and March 2020. Cases were confirmed by real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). Clinical and paraclinical data of the patients were collected from their medical records. CT severity score (CSS) was calculated by a senior radiologist. Disease severity was determined based on the World Health Organization criteria. Results In total, 742 patients were included, of whom 451 (60.8%) were males and 291 (39.2%) were females. The mean age was 56.59 ± 14.88 years old. Also, 523 (70.5%) were RT-PCR-positive. Ground glass opacity was directly associated with RT-PCR positivity (odds ratio [OR] = 2.07). Also, RT-PCR-positive cases had significantly a higher CSS than RT-PCR-negative cases (p = 0.037). In patients confirmed with COVID-19, peribronchovascular distribution of lesions, number of zones involved, and CSS were associated with increased risk of ICU admission (OR = 2.93, OR = 2.10, and OR = 1.14, respectively), mortality (OR = 2.30, OR = 1.35, and OR=1.08, respectively), severe disease (OR = 2.06, OR = 1.68, and OR = 1.10, respectively), and critical disease (OR = 4.62, OR = 3.21, and OR = 1.23, respectively). Also, patients who had consolidation were at a higher risk of severe disease compared with those who did not (OR = 4.94). Conclusion Initial chest CT scan can predict COVID-19 positivity, ICU admission, mortality, and disease severity, specifically through CSS.
- Published
- 2021