1. AIMS65 scoring system is comparable to Glasgow-Blatchford score or Rockall score for prediction of clinical outcomes for non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding
- Author
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Won Chang Shin, Jeongmin Choi, and Min Seong Kim
- Subjects
Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Scoring system ,Rockall score ,Esophageal and Gastric Varices ,Risk Assessment ,Severity of Illness Index ,Gastrointestinal hemorrhage ,law.invention ,03 medical and health sciences ,Upper Gastrointestinal Tract ,0302 clinical medicine ,law ,Predictive Value of Tests ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Glasgow-Blatchford score ,Humans ,Hospital Mortality ,lcsh:RC799-869 ,Aged ,Retrospective Studies ,Aged, 80 and over ,business.industry ,Stomach ,Gastroenterology ,Area under the curve ,General Medicine ,Hepatology ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Prognosis ,Intensive care unit ,Confidence interval ,Treatment Outcome ,030220 oncology & carcinogenesis ,030211 gastroenterology & hepatology ,Female ,lcsh:Diseases of the digestive system. Gastroenterology ,Upper gastrointestinal bleeding ,AIMS65 score ,business ,Research Article - Abstract
Background Risk stratification for patients with nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal (NVUGI) bleeding is crucial for successful prognosis and treatment. Recently, the AIMS65 score has been used to predict mortality risk and rebleeding. The purpose of this study was to compare the performance of the AIMS65 score with the Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS), Rockall score, and pre-endoscopic Rockall score in Korea. Methods We retrospectively studied 512 patients with NVUGI bleeding who were treated at a university hospital between 2013 and 2016. The AIMS65, GBS, Rockall score, and pre-endoscopic Rockall score were used to stratify patients based on their bleeding risk. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. The secondary outcomes were composite clinical outcomes of mortality, rebleeding, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Each scoring system was compared using the receiver-operating curve (ROC). Results A total of 17 patients (3.3%) died and rebleeding developed in 65 patients (12.7%). Eighty-six patients (16.8%) required ICU admission. The AIMS65 (area under the curve (AUC) 0.84, 95% confidence interval, 0.81–0.88)) seemed to be superior to the GBS (AUC 0.72, 0.68–0.76), the Rockall score (AUC 0.75, 0.71–0.79), or the pre-endoscopic Rockall score (AUC 0.74, 0.70–0.78) in predicting in-hospital mortality, but there was not a statistically significant difference between the groups (P = 0.07). The AUC value of the AIMS65 was not significantly different from the other scoring systems in prediction of rebleeding, endoscopic intervention, or ICU admission. Conclusions The AIMS65 score in NVUGI bleeding patients was comparable to the GBS or Rockall scoring systems when predicting the mortality, rebleeding, or ICU admission. Because AIMS65 is a much easier, readily calculated scoring system compared to the others, we would recommend using the AIMS65 in daily practice.
- Published
- 2019
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