1. The acute paraquat poisoning mortality (APPM) score to predict the risk of death in paraquat-poisoned patients
- Author
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Yen-Chia Chen, Ying-Tse Yeh, Chia-Hsun Chang, Chung-Hsien Chaou, Chih-Chuan Lin, Chun-Kuei Chen, and Bruno Mégarbane
- Subjects
Paraquat ,inorganic chemicals ,medicine.medical_specialty ,business.industry ,Poisoning ,General Medicine ,Prognosis ,Toxicology ,Gastroenterology ,PARAQUAT POISONING ,Poisons ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,chemistry ,Area Under Curve ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,Ingestion ,heterocyclic compounds ,Risk of death ,Mortality prediction ,business ,Retrospective Studies - Abstract
Mortality prediction in paraquat poisoning is a major issue since most prediction rules are inapplicable if the exact ingestion time cannot be determined and/or the serum paraquat concentration is not readily available, as in most countries. Therefore, we aimed to develop and validate a new prediction rule not requiring these two parameters.We designed a 10-year observational cohort study including all consecutive paraquat-poisoned patients managed in two Taiwanese hospitals. We built one cohort to define and one cohort to validate this prediction rule. Parameters independently related to mortality determined using a multivariate analysis were used to formulate the Acute Paraquat Poisoning Mortality (APPM) score.Overall, 321 paraquat-poisoned patients were included, 156 in the derivation and 165 in the validation cohort. Mortality rates in the derivation and validation cohorts were 73% and 81%, respectively (We built and validated a reliable score to predict 28-day mortality in paraquat-poisoned patients at presentation, independently from the ingestion time and serum paraquat measurement.
- Published
- 2021