1. Comparison of Strategies for Typhoid Conjugate Vaccine Introduction in India: A Cost-Effectiveness Modeling Study
- Author
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Gagandeep Kang, Nathan Lo, Jacob John, Dilesh Kumar, Yanjia Cao, Theresa Ryckman, Arun S Karthikeyan, Jason R. Andrews, and Jeremy D. Goldhaber-Fiebert
- Subjects
medicine.medical_specialty ,Vaccines, Conjugate ,Immunization Programs ,business.industry ,Cost effectiveness ,Cost-Benefit Analysis ,Typhoid-Paratyphoid Vaccines ,Vaccination ,India ,medicine.disease ,Typhoid fever ,Infectious Diseases ,Conjugate vaccine ,Humans ,Immunology and Allergy ,Medicine ,Typhoid Fever ,Child ,business ,Intensive care medicine ,Enteric fever - Abstract
Background Typhoid fever causes substantial global mortality, with almost half occurring in India. New typhoid vaccines are highly effective and recommended by the World Health Organization for high-burden settings. There is a need to determine whether and which typhoid vaccine strategies should be implemented in India. Methods We assessed typhoid vaccination using a dynamic compartmental model, parameterized by and calibrated to disease and costing data from a recent multisite surveillance study in India. We modeled routine and 1-time campaign strategies that target different ages and settings. The primary outcome was cost-effectiveness, measured by incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) benchmarked against India’s gross national income per capita (US$2130). Results Both routine and campaign vaccination strategies were cost-saving compared to the status quo, due to averted costs of illness. The preferred strategy was a nationwide community-based catchup campaign targeting children aged 1–15 years alongside routine vaccination, with an ICER of $929 per disability-adjusted life-year averted. Over the first 10 years of implementation, vaccination could avert 21–39 million cases and save $1.6–$2.2 billion. These findings were broadly consistent across willingness-to-pay thresholds, epidemiologic settings, and model input distributions. Conclusions Despite high initial costs, routine and campaign typhoid vaccination in India could substantially reduce mortality and was highly cost-effective.
- Published
- 2021
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