1. Development and validation of a neural network for NAFLD diagnosis
- Author
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Antonella Bianco, Giovanni Pascoschi, Maria Gabriella Caruso, Maria Notarnicola, Caterina Bonfiglio, Isabella Franco, Paolo Sorino, Anna Maria Cisternino, Claudia Buongiorno, Rosalba Liuzzi, Francesca Fallucchi, Angelo Campanella, Alberto Rubén Osella, Antonella Mirizzi, Giovanni Misciagna, Laura Rosana Aballay, and Marisa Chiloiro
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,Computer science ,Science ,Population ,Decision Making ,Adult population ,MEDLINE ,Machine learning ,computer.software_genre ,Liver ultrasound ,Article ,Body Mass Index ,Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease ,Predictive Value of Tests ,Web application ,Computational models ,Electronic Health Records ,Humans ,Sensitivity (control systems) ,education ,Aged ,education.field_of_study ,Multidisciplinary ,Artificial neural network ,Anthropometry ,business.industry ,Gastroenterology ,Health care ,Confusion matrix ,Middle Aged ,Computational biology and bioinformatics ,Early Diagnosis ,ROC Curve ,Medicine ,Female ,Artificial intelligence ,Neural Networks, Computer ,business ,computer ,Software - Abstract
Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) affects about 20–30% of the adult population in developed countries and is an increasingly important cause of hepatocellular carcinoma. Liver ultrasound (US) is widely used as a noninvasive method to diagnose NAFLD. However, the intensive use of US is not cost-effective and increases the burden on the healthcare system. Electronic medical records facilitate large-scale epidemiological studies and, existing NAFLD scores often require clinical and anthropometric parameters that may not be captured in those databases. Our goal was to develop and validate a simple Neural Network (NN)-based web app that could be used to predict NAFLD particularly its absence. The study included 2970 subjects; training and testing of the neural network using a train–test-split approach was done on 2869 of them. From another population consisting of 2301 subjects, a further 100 subjects were randomly extracted to test the web app. A search was made to find the best parameters for the NN and then this NN was exported for incorporation into a local web app. The percentage of accuracy, area under the ROC curve, confusion matrix, Positive (PPV) and Negative Predicted Value (NPV) values, precision, recall and f1-score were verified. After that, Explainability (XAI) was analyzed to understand the diagnostic reasoning of the NN. Finally, in the local web app, the specificity and sensitivity values were checked. The NN achieved a percentage of accuracy during testing of 77.0%, with an area under the ROC curve value of 0.82. Thus, in the web app the NN evidenced to achieve good results, with a specificity of 1.00 and sensitivity of 0.73. The described approach can be used to support NAFLD diagnosis, reducing healthcare costs. The NN-based web app is easy to apply and the required parameters are easily found in healthcare databases.
- Published
- 2021