1. Performance of a validated spontaneous preterm delivery predictor in South Asian and Sub-Saharan African women: a nested case control study
- Author
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Imran Nisar, Usha Dhingra, Najeeha Talat Iqbal, Muhammad Ilyas, Arup Dutta, Mohammed Hamad Juma, Saikat Deb, Sachiyo Yoshida, Md. Abdul Quaiyum, Sayedur Rahman, Rasheda Khanam, Nurun Naher, Durlin E. Hickok, Said M. Ali, Nansi S. Boghossian, Rajiv Bahl, Tracey C. Fleischer, J. Jay Boniface, Julja Burchard, Ashoka D. Polpitiya, Usma Mehmood, Salahuddin Ahmed, Aziz Ahmed Choudhury, Alexandar Manu, Fyezah Jehan, Abdullah H Baqui, Karim Muhammad, Md. Bahadur Badsha, Sunil Sazawal, and Angela C. Fox
- Subjects
medicine.medical_specialty ,Sex hormone-binding globulin ,Artificial Intelligence ,medicine ,Humans ,Prospective Studies ,Africa South of the Sahara ,Receiver operating characteristic ,biology ,Obstetrics ,business.industry ,Infant, Newborn ,Obstetrics and Gynecology ,Gestational age ,Blood proteins ,Case-Control Studies ,Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health ,Nested case-control study ,Cohort ,biology.protein ,Biomarker (medicine) ,Premature Birth ,Female ,business ,Body mass index ,Biomarkers - Abstract
To address the disproportionate burden of preterm birth (PTB) in low- and middle-income countries, this study aimed to (1) verify the performance of the United States-validated spontaneous PTB (sPTB) predictor, comprised of the IBP4/SHBG protein ratio, in subjects from Bangladesh, Pakistan and Tanzania enrolled in the Alliance for Maternal and Newborn Health Improvement (AMANHI) biorepository study, and (2) discover biomarkers that improve performance of IBP4/SHBG in the AMANHI cohort. The performance of the IBP4/SHBG biomarker was first evaluated in a nested case control validation study, then utilized in a follow-on discovery study performed on the same samples. Levels of serum proteins were measured by targeted mass spectrometry. Differences between the AMANHI and U.S. cohorts were adjusted using body mass index (BMI) and gestational age (GA) at blood draw as covariates. Prediction of sPTB < 37 weeks and < 34 weeks was assessed by area under the receiver operator curve (AUC). In the discovery phase, an artificial intelligence method selected additional protein biomarkers complementary to IBP4/SHBG in the AMANHI cohort. The IBP4/SHBG biomarker significantly predicted sPTB < 37 weeks (n = 88 vs. 171 terms ≥ 37 weeks) after adjusting for BMI and GA at blood draw (AUC= 0.64, 95% CI: 0.57–0.71, p < .001). Performance was similar for sPTB < 34 weeks (n = 17 vs. 184 ≥ 34 weeks): AUC = 0.66, 95% CI: 0.51–0.82, p = .012. The discovery phase of the study showed that the addition of endoglin, prolactin, and tetranectin to the above model resulted in the prediction of sPTB < 37 with an AUC= 0.72 (95% CI: 0.66–0.79, p-value < .001) and prediction of sPTB < 34 with an AUC of 0.78 (95% CI: 0.67–0.90, p < .001). A protein biomarker pair developed in the U.S. may have broader application in diverse non-U.S. populations.
- Published
- 2021