1. Quantifying market efficiency of China's regional carbon market by multifractal detrended analysis.
- Author
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Fan, Xinghua, Lv, Xiangxiang, Yin, Jiuli, and Liang, Jiaochen
- Abstract
Abstract An efficient carbon market is important for mitigating carbon emissions. We investigate the efficiency of Chinese carbon market using Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis. Data samples are based on the return series of seven pilots in the Chinese carbon market. We find asymmetric distributions of carbon prices and general Hurst exponent in the return series, both of which suggest a lack of efficiency in the carbon markets under study. We then define an inefficiency indicator based on the generalized Hurst exponents, in which a zero value means efficient and a higher value less efficient. The inefficiency values of the carbon markets pilots are all greater than one, indicating ubiquitous inefficiencies among them. But there is evidence that the efficiencies had been slightly improved as the markets developed except for the Tianjin pilot. The efficiency ranking of the pilot markets varies when using different time windows for the analysis. For time scales shorter than a month, the Chongqing pilot generally ranks the highest and the Hubei pilot the lowest; for time scales longer than a month, the Beijing pilot performs the best while Tianjin the worst. Regression results further show that the inefficiency is positively correlated with market activity in the short run while negatively in the long run. Policy suggestions for improving the trading activities are also discussed based on the findings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
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