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Background and Aims: To report 5-year outcomes of the CERTITUDE study., Methods: An observational study in patients with liver transplantation (LTx) compared the long-term impact of immunosuppression (with/without a calcineurin inhibitor) on renal function, cancers, major cardiovascular events (MACEs) and other safety parameters. All patients completing the 6-month SIMCER study were recruited and analysed according to treatment received at randomization and actual treatment received during the follow-up., Results: Of the 143 enrolled patients, 119 completed the 5-year follow-up (everolimus [EVR], n = 55; tacrolimus [TAC], n = 64). The mean absolute change in estimated glomerular filtration rate was not statistically different between both groups (TAC, -15.53 ml/min/1.73 m 2 and EVR, -14.56 ml/min/1.73 m 2 ). In the treatment subgroups based on actual treatment received, renal function was preserved better in the EVR subgroup compared with other subgroups (p = .051). Treated biopsy-proven acute rejection was higher in the EVR group (15.4% vs. 6.4%); however, the majority of events were mild in severity. MACE occurred in 9.2% vs. 14.1% of patients in the EVR and TAC groups respectively (p = .370). De novo cancer was reported in 14 and 5 patients in EVR and TAC groups respectively. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence was observed in the TAC group alone (n = 4). Adverse events and treatment discontinuation owing to an adverse event were higher in the EVR group., Conclusions: The CERTITUDE study demonstrated that EVR- and TAC-based regimens have comparable efficacy, safety and tolerability up to 5 years post-LTx., (© 2022 The Authors. Liver International published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background and Aims: Liver transplantation (LT) is the treatment of end-stage non-alcoholic liver disease (NAFLD), that is decompensated cirrhosis and/or complicated by hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Few data on long-term outcome are available. The aim of this study was to evaluate overall patient and graft survivals and associated predictive factors., Method: This retrospective multicentre study included adult transplant patients for NAFLD cirrhosis between 2000 and 2019 in participating French-speaking centres., Results: A total of 361 patients (69.8% of male) were included in 20 centres. The median age at LT was 62.3 years [57.4-65.9] and the median MELD score was 13.9 [9.1-21.3]; 51.8% of patients had HCC on liver explant. Between 2004 and 2018, the number of LT for NAFLD cirrhosis increased by 720%. A quarter of the patients had cardiovascular history before LT. Median follow-up after LT was 39.1 months [15.8-72.3]. Patient survival at 1, 5 and 10 years after LT was 89.3%, 79.8% and 68.1% respectively. The main causes of death were sepsis (37.5%), malignancies (29.2%) and cardiovascular events (22.2%). In multivariate analysis, three risk factors for overall mortality after LT were recipient pre-LT BMI < 32 kg/m 2 at LT time (OR: 2.272; p = .012), pre-LT angioplasty during CV check-up (OR: 2.916; p = .016), a combined donor and recipient age over 135 years (OR: 2.020; 95%CI: p = .035)., Conclusion: Survival after LT for NAFLD cirrhosis is good at 5 years. Donor and recipient age, and cardiovascular history, are major prognostic factors to consider., (© 2022 The Authors. Liver International published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Aim: Discordance between pre-LT imaging and explanted liver findings have been reported after liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), suggesting the need of reassessing the risk of HCC recurrence post-LT. Our aims were to compare pre-LT imaging and explants features and to test the performances of four explant-based predictive models of recurrence in an external cohort., Methods: Staging according to pre-LT imaging and explant features were compared. Four explants-based models were retrospectively tested in a cohort of 372 patients transplanted for HCC in 19 French centres between 2003 and 2005. Accuracies of the scores were compared., Results: Pre-LT imaging underestimated tumour burden in 83 (22.7%) patients according to Milan criteria. The highest AUCs for prediction of 5-years recurrence were observed in the "Up to seven" (0.7915 [95% CI: 0.7339-0.849]) and Decaens models (0.747 [95% CI: 0.6877-0.806]), with two levels of risk: low (10%) and high (>50%). Chan and Iwatsuki models identified 3 and 4 levels of risk, but had lower AUCs (0.68 and 0.70) respectively. Accuracy of the "Up to seven" model was superior to the Decaens model (P=.034), which was superior to the Chan model (P=.0041) but not to the Iwatsuki model (P=.17)., Conclusion: Pre-LT imaging underestimates tumour burden, and prediction of recurrence should be reassessed after LT. The explant-based "Up to seven" and Decaens models provided the best accuracy for prediction of 5-year recurrence, identifying only two levels of risk. New models are needed to further refine the prediction of recurrence after LT., (© 2017 John Wiley & Sons A/S. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background & Aims: The aim of this study was to generate an improved prognostic model for predicting recurrence in liver transplant candidates with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)., Methods: Predictors of recurrence were tested by a Cox model analysis in a training cohort of 537 patients transplanted for HCC. A prognostic score was developed and validated in a national cohort of 435 patients followed up prospectively., Results: α-Fetoprotein (AFP) independently predicted tumor recurrence and correlated with vascular invasion and differentiation. At a Cox score threshold of 0.7 (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.701; 95% confidence interval, 0.63-0.76; accuracy, 75.8%), a model combining log(10) AFP, tumor size, and number was highly predictive of tumor recurrence and death. By using a simplified version of the model, with untransformed AFP values, a cut-off value of 2 was identified. In the validation cohort, a score greater than 2 predicted a marked increase in 5-year risk of recurrence (50.6% ± 10.2% vs 8.8% ± 1.7%; P < .001) and decreased survival (47.5% ± 8.1% vs 67.8% ± 3.4%; P = .002) as compared with others. Among patients exceeding Milan criteria, a score of 2 or lower identified a subgroup of patients with AFP levels less than 100 ng/mL with a low 5-year risk of recurrence (14.4% ± 5.3% vs 47.6% ± 11.1%; P = .006). Among patients within Milan criteria, a score greater than 2 identified a subgroup of patients with AFP levels greater than 1000 ng/mL at high risk of recurrence (37.1% ± 8.9% vs 13.3% ± 2.0%; P < .001). Net reclassification improvement showed that predictability of the AFP model was superior to Milan criteria., Conclusions: Prediction of tumor recurrence is improved significantly by a model that incorporates AFP. We propose the adoption of new selection criteria for HCC transplant candidates, taking into account AFP., (Copyright © 2012 AGA Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Aim: To generate a new score with improved accuracy compared with Milan criteria to select patients., Patients: The training cohort comprised 373 patients transplanted for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) between 1988 and 1998 (cohort 1). An algorithm was derived from the analysis of patient data by the proportional hazard Cox regression model. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) was used to determine a cut-off value. The validation cohort comprised 140 patients transplanted between 1999 and 2001 (cohort 2)., Results: Multivariate analysis identified three predictors of 5-year tumour-free survival: tumour differentiation (P=0.02), diameter (P<0.0001) and number of nodules (P=0.04). A cut-off value of 4 was derived from the AUROC of the final score. Five-year tumour-free survival was 60.2 ± 3.1% in patients with as score <4 and 36.4 ± 4.7% in individuals with a score ≥4, P<0.0001. In the validation cohort, 5-year tumour-free survival was 82.8 ± 3.6% (score <4) and 50.0 ± 10.7% (score ≥4), P=0.0003. In patients with a score <4, there was no significant difference in 5-year tumour-free survival between Milan+ and Milan- patients, either in cohort 1 or 2. Five-year tumour-free survival of Milan- patients was significantly better in individuals with a score <4 compared with those with a score ≥4, both in cohort 1 (61.5 ± 9.1 vs 31.4 ± 4.6%, P=0.009) and in cohort 2 (P=0.02)., Conclusion: A novel score taking into account tumour differentiation shows higher accuracy than Milan criteria in predicting 5-year tumour-free survival following liver transplantation for HCC. Prospective studies should validate these findings., (© 2011 John Wiley & Sons A/S.)

Supraselective transarterial chemoembolization (STACE) more efficiently targets chemotherapy delivered via the feeding arterial branches of the tumor than does conventional transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). However, the hypothesis of its greater efficacy compared with the latter is subject to controversy. The aim of the present study was to compare STACE to conventional TACE in a controlled study of candidates for liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Patients were matched for factors associated with HCC recurrence and survival. Sixty patients were included: 30 who were treated with STACE and 30 treated with conventional TACE. The 2 groups were similar in terms of matched criteria. In the overall population (uni- and multinodular HCC), there was no marked difference between the 2 groups in 5-year disease-free survival: 76.8% vs. 74.8%. In sensitivity analysis of patients considered to be the best candidates for TACE (uninodular HCC < or =5 cm), there was a trend toward significance between STACE and TACE in 5-year disease-free survival: 87% vs. 64% (P = 0.09). The only factor associated with complete tumor necrosis was STACE in the overall population (30.8% vs. 6.9%, P = 0.02), with a similar trend in the subgroup of patients with a single nodule (33.3% vs. 6.7%, P = 0.06), whereas the mean number of procedures was similar in the 2 groups (mean, 1.3 procedures; range 1-5 procedures; P = NS). STACE is more efficient at inducing complete tumor necrosis in the liver. This study observed trends toward improvement in the disease-free survival of patients with uninodular HCC < or =5 cm. Future studies focusing on such patients are warranted.