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Background: Occult metastatic tumors, below imaging thresholds, are a limitation of staging systems that rely on cross-sectional imaging alone and are a cause of the routine understaging of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (PDACs). We investigated circulating tumor cells (CTCs) as a preoperative predictor of occult metastatic disease and as a prognostic biomarker for PDAC patients., Experimental Design: A total of 126 patients (100 with cancer, 26 with benign disease) were enrolled in our study and CTCs were identified and enumerated from 4 mL of venous blood using the microfluidic NanoVelcro assay. CTC enumeration was correlated with clinicopathologic variables and outcomes following both surgical and systemic therapies., Results: CTCs were identified in 78% of PDAC patients and CTC counts correlated with increasing stage (ρ = 0.42, p < 0.001). Of the 53 patients taken for potentially curative surgery, 13 (24.5%) had occult metastatic disease intraoperatively. Patients with occult disease had significantly more CTCs than patients with local disease only (median 7 vs. 1 CTC, p < 0.0001). At a cut-off of three or more CTCs/4 mL, CTCs correctly identified patients with occult metastatic disease preoperatively (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.82, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.76-0.98, p < 0.0001). CTCs were a univariate predictor of recurrence-free survival following surgery [hazard ratio (HR) 2.36, 95% CI 1.17-4.78, p = 0.017], as well as an independent predictor of overall survival on multivariate analysis (HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.01-1.88, p = 0.040)., Conclusions: CTCs show promise as a prognostic biomarker for PDAC patients at all stages of disease being treated both medically and surgically. Furthermore, CTCs demonstrate potential as a preoperative biomarker for identifying patients at high risk of occult metastatic disease.

Applications of precision oncology strategies rely on accurate tumor genotyping from clinically available specimens. Fine needle aspirations (FNA) are frequently obtained in cancer management and often represent the only source of tumor tissues for patients with metastatic or locally advanced diseases. However, FNAs obtained from pancreas ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) are often limited in cellularity and/or tumor cell purity, precluding accurate tumor genotyping in many cases. Digital PCR (dPCR) is a technology with exceptional sensitivity and low DNA template requirement, characteristics that are necessary for analyzing PDAC FNA samples. In the current study, we sought to evaluate dPCR as a mutation analysis tool for pancreas FNA specimens. To this end, we analyzed alterations in the KRAS gene in pancreas FNAs using dPCR. The sensitivity of dPCR mutation analysis was first determined using serial dilution cell spiking studies. Single-cell laser-microdissection (LMD) was then utilized to identify the minimal number of tumor cells needed for mutation detection. Lastly, dPCR mutation analysis was performed on 44 pancreas FNAs (34 formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) and 10 fresh (non-fixed)), including samples highly limited in cellularity (100 cells) and tumor cell purity (1%). We found dPCR to detect mutations with allele frequencies as low as 0.17%. Additionally, a single tumor cell could be detected within an abundance of normal cells. Using clinical FNA samples, dPCR mutation analysis was successful in all preoperative FNA biopsies tested, and its accuracy was confirmed via comparison with resected tumor specimens. Moreover, dPCR revealed additional KRAS mutations representing minor subclones within a tumor that were not detected by the current clinical gold standard method of Sanger sequencing. In conclusion, dPCR performs sensitive and accurate mutation analysis in pancreas FNAs, detecting not only the dominant mutation subtype, but also the additional rare mutation subtypes representing tumor heterogeneity., Competing Interests: Dr. Hsian-Rong Tseng is Co-Founder of Cytolumina Technologies Corp. Inc. All other authors have declared that no competing interests exist. This does not alter our adherence to PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials.

Background: Current diagnosis and staging of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has important limitations and better biomarkers are needed to guide initial therapy. We investigated the performance of circulating tumour cells (CTCs) as an adjunctive biomarker at the time of disease presentation., Methods: Venous blood (VB) was collected prospectively from 100 consecutive, pre-treatment patients with PDAC. Utilising the microfluidic NanoVelcro CTC chip, samples were evaluated for the presence and number of CTCs. KRAS mutation analysis was used to compare the CTCs with primary tumour tissue. CTC enumeration data was then evaluated as a diagnostic and staging biomarker in the setting of PDAC., Results: We found 100% concordance for KRAS mutation subtype between primary tumour and CTCs in all five patients tested. Evaluation of CTCs as a diagnostic revealed the presence of CTCs in 54/72 patients with confirmed PDAC (sensitivity=75.0%, specificity=96.4%, area under the curve (AUROC)=0.867, 95% CI=0.798-0.935, and P<0.001). Furthermore, a cut-off of ⩾3 CTCs in 4 ml VB was able to discriminate between local/regional and metastatic disease (AUROC=0.885; 95% CI=0.800-0.969; and P<0.001)., Conclusion: CTCs appear to function well as a biomarker for diagnosis and staging in PDAC.

Background: Long-term survival (LTS) is uncommon for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). We sought to identify factors that predict 10-year, LTS after resection of PDAC., Methods: We identified all patients with PDAC who underwent resection at UCLA after 1990 and included all patients eligible for observed LTS (1/1/1990-12/31/2004). An independent pathologist reconfirmed the diagnosis of PDAC in patients with LTS. Logistic regression was used to predict LTS on the basis of patient and tumor characteristics., Results: Of 173 included patients, 53% were male, median age at diagnosis was 66 years, and median survival was 23 months. The rate of observed LTS was 12.1% (n = 21). Age, sex, number of lymph nodes evaluated, margin status, lymphovascular invasion, and adjuvant chemotherapy and radiation were not associated with LTS. The following were associated with LTS on bivariate analysis: low AJCC stage (Ia, Ib, IIa) (P = .034), negative lymph node status (P = .034), low grade (well-, moderately-differentiated) (P = .001), and absence of perineural invasion (P = .019). Only low grade (odds ratio 7.17, P = .012) and absent perineural invasion (odds ratio 3.28, P = .036) were independently associated with increased odds of LTS. Our multivariate model demonstrated good discriminatory power for LTS, as indicated by a c-statistic of 0.7856., Conclusion: Absence of perineural invasion and low tumor grade were associated with greater likelihood of LTS. Understanding the tumor biology of LTS may provide critical insight into a disease that is typically marked by aggressive behavior and limited survival., (Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Lymph node (LN) involvement is a well-known poor prognostic factor in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, there have been conflicting results on the significance of the mechanism of LN involvement, "direct" tumor invasion versus "metastatic," disease on patient survival., Methods: Clinicopathologic records from all patients who underwent resection for PDAC from 1990 to 2014 at a single-institution were reviewed., Results: Of the 385 total patients, there was tumor invasion outside of the pancreas in 289 (75.1%) patients. Overall, 239 (62.1%) had node-positive disease: 220 (92.0%) by "metastatic" involvement, 14 (5.9%) by "direct" tumor extension, and five (2.1%) by a mix of "metastatic" and "direct". There were no significant differences in clinicopathologic factors associated with PDAC survival between "metastatic" and "direct" LN patients. The median overall survival for the whole cohort was 31.1 months. Compared to overall survival in patients with LN-negative disease (median 40.7 months), those with LNs involved by "metastatic" spread was significantly shorter (median 25.7 months, P < 0.001), yet "direct" LN extension was similar (median 48.1 months, P = 0.719)., Conclusions: The mechanism of LN involvement affects PDAC prognosis. Patients with LNs involved by direct extension have similar survival to those with node-negative disease., (© 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.)

Background: The 2012 Sendai Criteria recommend that patients with 3 cm or larger branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMN) without any additional "worrisome features" or "high-risk stigmata" may undergo close observation. Furthermore, endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) is not recommended for BD-IPMN <2 cm. These changes have generated concern among physicians treating patients with pancreatic diseases. The purposes of this study were to (i) apply the new Sendai guidelines to our institution's surgically resected BD-IPMN and (ii) reevaluate cyst size cutoffs in identifying patients with lesions harboring high-grade dysplasia or invasive cancer., Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 150 patients at a university medical center with preoperatively diagnosed and pathologically confirmed IPMNs. Sixty-six patients had BD-IPMN. Pathologic grade was dichotomized into low-grade (low or intermediate grade dysplasia) or high-grade/invasive (high-grade dysplasia or invasive cancers). Fisher's exact test, chi-square test, student's t test, linear regression, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were performed., Results: The median BD-IPMN size on imaging was 2.4 cm (interquartile range 1.5-3.0). Fifty-one (77 %) low-grade and 15 (23 %) high-grade/invasive BD-IPMN were identified. ROC analysis demonstrated that cyst size on preoperative imaging is a reasonable predictor of grade with an area under the curve of 0.691. Two-thirds of high-grade/invasive BD-IPMN were <3 cm (n = 10). Compared to a cutoff of 3, 2 cm was associated with higher sensitivity (73.3 vs. 33.3 %) and negative predictive value (83.3 vs. 80 %, NPV) for high-grade/invasive BD-IPMN. Mural nodules on endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) or atypical cells on endoscopic ultrasound-fine needle aspiration (EUS-FNA) were identified in all cysts <2 and only 50 % of those <3 cm. Forty percent of cysts >3 cm were removed based on size alone., Discussion/conclusions: Our results suggest that "larger" size on noninvasive imaging can indicate high-grade/invasive cysts, and EUS-FNA may help identify "smaller" cysts with high-grade/invasive pathology.

Background: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients demonstrate highly variable survival within each stage of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system. We hypothesize that tumor grade is partly responsible for this variation. Recently our group developed a novel tumor, node, metastasis, grade (TNMG) classification system utilizing Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) data in which the presence of high tumor grade results in advancement to the next higher AJCC stage. This study's objective was to validate this TNMG staging system utilizing single-institution data., Methods: All patients with PDAC who underwent resection at UCLA between 1990 and 2009 were identified. Clinicopathologic data reviewed included age, sex, node status, tumor size, grade, and stage. Grade was redefined as a dichotomous variable. The impact of grade on survival was assessed by Cox regression analysis. Disease was restaged into the TNMG system and compared to the AJCC staging system., Results: We identified 256 patients who underwent resection for PDAC. Patients with low-grade tumors experienced a 13-month improvement in median survival compared to those with high-grade tumors. On multivariate analysis, tumor grade was the strongest predictor of survival with a hazard ratio of 2.02 (p = 0.0005). Restaging disease according to the novel TNMG staging system resulted in improved survival discrimination between stages compared to the current AJCC system., Conclusions: We were able to demonstrate that grade is one of the strongest independent prognostic factors in PDAC. Restaging with our novel TNMG system demonstrated improved prognostication. This system offers an effective and convenient way of adding grade to the current AJCC staging system.

Background: Although invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas is thought to be more indolent than sporadic pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAC), the natural history remains poorly defined. The authors compared survival and identify prognostic factors after resection for invasive IPMN versus stage-matched PAC., Methods: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (1991-2005) was used to identify 729 patients with invasive IPMN and 8082 patients with PAC who underwent surgical resection., Results: Patients with resected invasive IPMN experienced improved overall survival when compared with resected PAC (median survival, 21 vs 14 months; P<.001). Stratification by nodal status demonstrated no difference in survival among lymph node-positive patients; however, median survival of resected, lymph node-negative, invasive IPMN was significantly improved compared with lymph node-negative PAC (34 vs 18 months; P<.001). On multivariate analysis, PAC histology was an adverse predictor of overall survival (hazard ratio [HR], 1.31; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.15-1.50) compared with invasive IPMN. For patients with invasive IPMN, positive lymph nodes (HR, 1.98; 95% CI, 1.50-2.60), high tumor grade (HR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.31-2.31), tumor size>2 cm (HR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.04-2.19), and age>66 years (HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 1.03-1.73) were adverse predictors of survival., Conclusions: Although lymph node-negative invasive IPMN showed improved survival after resection compared with lymph node-negative PAC, the natural history of lymph node-positive invasive IPMN mimicked that of lymph node-positive PAC. The authors also identified adverse predictors of survival in invasive IPMN to guide discussions regarding use of adjuvant therapies and prognosis after resection of invasive IPMN., (Copyright (c) 2010 American Cancer Society.)

Background & Aims: The 2006 Sendai Consensus Guidelines recommend surgical resection for all suspected branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (BD-IPMN) greater than 3 cm irrespective of symptoms, and those less than 3 cm with worrisome features. We aimed to evaluate the surgical characteristics of these guidelines retrospectively in pathologically confirmed cases of BD-IPMN., Methods: IPMNs resected at our institution (1995-2006) were classified as main-duct predominant or branch-duct (BD) predominant based on preoperative imaging and postoperative histology. Resected BD-IPMNs were classified histologically: low risk (adenoma, borderline) and high risk (carcinoma in situ or invasive cancer). Clinical data (presence of symptoms, mural nodule, dilated pancreatic duct, and cyst size) were correlated with pathology., Results: Between 1995 and 2006, there were 204 patients who underwent surgical resection of pancreatic cysts. Sixty-one patients had IPMN including 31 with BD-IPMN. A total of 74.2% (23 of 31) of BD-IPMNs would have been recommended for surgical resection including 69.2% (18 of 26) of low-risk lesions and 100% (5 of 5) of high-risk lesions. All 8 cases of BD-IPMN that would have been recommended for nonsurgical management were low-risk lesions. The positive predictive value of the guidelines is 21.7% (95% confidence interval, 9.7%-41.9%). The negative predictive value is 100% (95% confidence interval, 67.6%-100.0%). Between 2000 and 2007, 351 patients with likely BD-IPMN were evaluated but not resected., Conclusions: Implementation of the Consensus Guidelines to our single-institution, referral-based, surgical BD-IPMN population would have recommended resection of all histologically high-risk lesions. All lesions recommended for nonsurgical management were histologically low-risk lesions. For presumed BD-IPMNs less than 3 cm, the application of the Consensus Guidelines may reduce the resection rate for low-risk lesions.