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The aim of our study was to assess the possible role of a prognostic index based on ambulatory blood pressure monitoring in a large cohort of patients with recent myocardial infarction.The study population included 1335 consecutive patients admitted for ST elevation myocardial infarction and discharged alive from 48 Italian hospitals participating in the multicentric IMPRESSIVE (Infarto Miocardico, Pressione arteriosa e frequenza cardiaca. Studio Italiano di Valutazione Epidemiologica) study. Ambulatory blood pressure monitoring was performed 3 weeks after discharge, with a clinical follow-up of 12 months. End-points included cardiac death and new admission for heart failure. A prognostic index was obtained from the ambulatory blood pressure monitoring variables according to the formula: (220-age)-mean 24 h heart rate (m24hHR)+mean 24 h diastolic blood pressure (m24hDBP).Among many potential predictors only left-ventricular ejection fraction, creatinine levels, Killip class and the prognostic index were independently associated with events during the follow-up. In particular, higher values of the prognostic index were associated with a lower incidence of events, with an odds ratio of 0.958 (95% confidence intervals 0.943-0.974) and a 4% reduction in risk for each point of the prognostic index. Overall incidence of cardiac events was 6-fold higher in patients within the lowest quartile of the prognostic index (or =148) compared with the other three quartiles (12 vs. 2, 1.4 and 2% respectively in the other three quartiles; P0.0001).A simple prognostic index based on ambulatory blood pressure monitoring and age may be a useful tool in predicting cardiac death and heart failure in patients with recent myocardial infarction.

Background Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is a risk marker for stroke and its regression confers protection from stroke. The relationship between serial LVH changes and risk of stroke has never been investigated in a mixed population of hypertensive subjects with and without LVH. Methods In this study, 880 initially untreated hypertensive subjects (mean age 48 years, office blood pressure (BP) 155/98 mm Hg; 24-h BP 137/87 mm Hg) underwent tests including echocardiography and 24-h ambulatory BP monitoring at entry and after a median of 3.5 years, still in the absence of cardiovascular events. Results Months or years after the follow-up study, 34 of these subjects developed a first cerebrovascular event (stroke in 21, transient ischemic attack in 13). Event rate (× 100 patients per year) was 0.25 among the subjects who never developed echocardiographic LVH or with regression of LVH, versus 1.16 among the subjects with lack of regression or new development of LVH (log-rank test: P = .00001). Serial electrocardiogram (ECG) changes failed to define groups at different risk. In a Cox analysis, the risk of cerebrovascular events was 2.8 times higher (95% CI: 1.18–6.69) in the subset with lack of regression or new development of LVH than in that with LVH regression or persistently normal LV mass. Such effect was independent of age (P = .001) and 24-h systolic BP (P = .003). Conclusions In a mixed hypertensive population with and without LVH at entry, serial changes in the echocardiographic indexes of LVH predict subsequent cerebrovascular events independently of office and ambulatory BP and other individual risk factors.

OBJECTIVE We investigated the prognostic impact of 24-h blood pressure control in treated hypertensive subjects. BACKGROUND There is growing evidence that ambulatory blood pressure improves risk stratification in untreated subjects with essential hypertension. Surprisingly, little is known on the prognostic value of this procedure in treated subjects. METHODS Diagnostic procedures including 24-h noninvasive ambulatory blood pressure monitoring were undertaken in 790 subjects with essential hypertension (mean age 48 years) before therapy and after an average follow-up of 3.7 years (2,891 patient-years). RESULTS At the follow-up visit, 26.6% of subjects achieved adequate office blood pressure control (

We followed 1,778 subjects (up to 12 years) with essential hypertension who underwent echocardiography at the time of their initial diagnostic workup. There were 166 major cardiovascular events during follow-up and the prognostic value of the midwall shortening fraction did not remain significant after controlling for left ventricular mass.

The relation between blood pressure (BP) and left ventricular (LV) systolic function in systemic hypertension is controversial. We assessed the relation of LV midwall fractional shortening (FS) to 24-hour BP in 1,702 never-treated hypertensive subjects (age 48 +/- 12 years), who underwent 24-hour BP monitoring and echocardiography. Stress-corrected endocardial and midwall FS (the latter calculated taking into account the epicardial migration of midwall during systole) were predicted in hypertensives on the basis of the values observed in 130 healthy normotensives (age 43 +/- 13 years, office BP 126/78 mm Hg). Subjects below the fifth percentile of observed-to-predicted FS had depressed LV function. The use of midwall FS resulted in an increase from 3.5% to 17.5% in the proportion of patients with depressed chamber function. Compared with the group with normal function, subjects with low midwall LV function had similar office systolic BP (155 +/- 21 vs 154 +/- 17 mm Hg), but increased 24-hour systolic BP (140 +/- 17 vs 133 +/- 12 mm Hg, p0.001). Midwall FS had a closer negative relation to 24-hour systolic BP than to office systolic BP (r = -0.27 vs -0.08, p0.001), whereas this difference was not apparent for diastolic BP (r = -0.23 vs -0.20). Compared with endocardial FS, midwall FS had a stronger inverse association to LV mass (r = -0.45 vs -0.16, p0.001). Thus, an increased 24-hour BP load may chronically lead to depressed myocardial function in systemic hypertension in the absence of clinically overt heart disease.

Abstract —A wide pulse pressure (PP) is a marker of increased artery stiffness and high cardiovascular (CV) risk. To investigate the prognostic value of ambulatory PP, which is currently unknown, we studied 2010 initially untreated subjects with uncomplicated essential hypertension (mean age, 51.7 years; 52% men). All subjects underwent baseline procedures including 24-hour noninvasive ambulatory blood pressure (BP) monitoring. The mean duration of follow-up was 3.8 years (range, 0 to 11 years), and CV morbidity and mortality were the outcome measures. There were 200 major CV events (2.61 per 100 person-years), 36 of which were fatal (0.47 per 100 person-years). In the 3 tertiles of the distribution of office PP, the rate of total CV events (per 100 persons per year) was 1.38, 2.12, and 4.34, respectively, and that of fatal events was 0.12, 0.30, and 1.07 (log-rank test, both P P P P P

Previous studies revealed a direct association between resting heart rate and risk of mortality in essential hypertension. However, resting heart rate is a highly variable measure since it is affected by the alerting reaction to the visit.To investigate whether the heart rate values recorded during the 24 h of ambulatory blood pressure monitoring are independent predictors of survival of uncomplicated subjects with essential hypertension.We followed up 1942 initially untreated and uncomplicated subjects with essential hypertension (mean age 51.7 years, 52% men) for an average of 3.6 years (range 0-10 years). All subjects underwent baseline procedures including 24 h non-invasive blood pressure monitoring with simultaneous assessment of heart rate, one reading every 15 min for 24 h.All-cause mortality and cardiovascular morbidity.During follow-up there were 74 deaths from all causes (1.06 per 100 person-years) and 182 total (fatal plus non-fatal) cardiovascular morbid events (2.66 per 100 person-years). Clinic, average 24 h, daytime and night-time heart rates exhibited no association with total mortality. However, the subjects who subsequently died had had a blunted reduction of heart rate on going from day to night during the baseline examination. After adjustment for age (P0.001), diabetes (P0.001) and average 24 h systolic blood pressure (SBP, P= 0.002) in a Cox model, for each 10% less reduction in the heart rate from day to night the relative risk of mortality was 1.30 (95% confidence interval 1.02-1.65, P = 0.04). Rates of death were 0.38, 0.71, 0.94 and 2.0 per 100 person-years among subjects in the four quartiles of the distribution of the percentage reduction in heart rate from day to night The baseline day-night changes in the heart rate exhibited an inverse correlation to age and to clinic and ambulatory SBP and a direct association with the day-night changes in blood pressure. The degree of reduction of heart rate from day to night also had an independent inverse association with total cardiovascular morbidity after adjustment for age, diabetes and left ventricular hypertrophy, but this association did not remain significant when average 24 h SBP and the degree of day-night reduction in SBP were entered into the equation.A flattened diurnal rhythm of heart rate in uncomplicated subjects with essential hypertension is a marker of risk for subsequent all-cause mortality and this association persists after adjustment for several risk factors. For assessing these subjects, a limited and uniformly distributed period of ambulatory heart rate recording during the 24 h is clinically valuable.