1. Long-term cardiovascular events, graft failure, and mortality in kidney transplant recipients.
- Author
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Andersson C, Hansen D, Sørensen SS, McGrath M, McCausland FR, Torp-Pedersen C, Schou M, Køber L, and Pfeffer MA
- Subjects
- Female, Humans, Middle Aged, Male, Transplant Recipients, Risk Factors, Kidney Transplantation adverse effects, Cardiovascular Diseases, Kidney Failure, Chronic epidemiology, Kidney Failure, Chronic surgery, Myocardial Infarction complications, Heart Failure epidemiology, Heart Failure complications, Stroke epidemiology, Stroke complications
- Abstract
Background: Kidney transplant recipients are at increased risks of cardiovascular events, but contemporary risk estimates are sparse. Using the Danish nationwide administrative databases, we quantified 1- and 5-year risks of cardiovascular disease and kidney failure among all first-time kidney transplant recipients (2005-2018) and age- and sex-matched controls (1:10 ratio)., Methods: Cumulative 1- and 5-year incidence of cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, stroke, or heart failure), kidney failure (re-transplantation or need for dialysis >30 days post-transplant), and mortality following transplantation were calculated until maximally Dec 31, 2018., Results: A total of 2,565 kidney transplant recipients (median age 50.5 [25-75
th percentile 40.2-60.7] years, 37 % females) and 25,650 controls were included. 1-year cumulative incidence of myocardial infarction, stroke, or heart failure was 2.6 % (95 % confidence interval 1.9 %-3.2 %) among kidney transplant recipients versus 0.5 % (0.4 %-0.5 %) in controls. Cumulative 5-year risk estimates for the same endpoints were 8.3 % (7.1 %-9.5 %) for the transplant patients, and 2.6 % (2.3 %-2.8 %) among controls, respectively. For the kidney transplant cohort, cumulative mortality was 2.2 % (1.7 %-2.8 %) and 10.3 % (9.0 %-11.6 %) at 1- and 5 years, respectively, versus 0.5 % (0.4 %-0.6 %) and 3.0 % (2.7 %-3.2 %) for controls. The cumulative incidence of dialysis and re-transplantation was 6.1 % (5.2 %-7.1 %) at 1 year and 16.3 % (14.7 %-17.9 %) at 5 years, respectively., Conclusions: Despite the benefits of transplantation, kidney transplant recipients continue to have significant long-term cardiovascular disease, end-stage kidney disease, and mortality risks even with contemporary medical management. Better cardiovascular preventive strategies are warranted to improve prognosis in this segment of patients., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest Dr. Køber reports speaker's honorarium from AstraZeneca, Bayer, Boehringer, Novo and Novartis. Dr. McCausland reports consulting fees from GlaxoSmithKline, Advanced Instruments, and Zydus Therapeutics and grants from Fifth Eye, the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, Satellite Healthcare, and Advanced Medical. Dr. Schou reports lecture fee from Novo Nordisk, Novartis, Bohringer Ingelheim and Astra Zeneca. Dr. Torp-Pedersen reports grants from Novo Nordisk and Bayer. Dr. Pfeffer reports research grant support from Novartis and is consultant to AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Eli Lilly Alliance, Corvidia, DalCor, GlaxoSmithKline, Lexicon, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, Peerbridge, and Sanofi, and has equity in DalCor. All outside the present work., (Copyright © 2023. Published by Elsevier B.V.)- Published
- 2024
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