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The Lancet Countdown: tracking progress on health and climate change is an international, multidisciplinary research collaboration between academic institutions and practitioners across the world. It follows on from the work of the 2015 Lancet Commission, which concluded that the response to climate change could be "the greatest global health opportunity of the 21st century". The Lancet Countdown aims to track the health impacts of climate hazards; health resilience and adaptation; health co-benefits of climate change mitigation; economics and finance; and political and broader engagement. These focus areas form the five thematic working groups of the Lancet Countdown and represent different aspects of the complex association between health and climate change. These thematic groups will provide indicators for a global overview of health and climate change; national case studies highlighting countries leading the way or going against the trend; and engagement with a range of stakeholders. The Lancet Countdown ultimately aims to report annually on a series of indicators across these five working groups. This paper outlines the potential indicators and indicator domains to be tracked by the collaboration, with suggestions on the methodologies and datasets available to achieve this end. The proposed indicator domains require further refinement, and mark the beginning of an ongoing consultation process-from November, 2016 to early 2017-to develop these domains, identify key areas not currently covered, and change indicators where necessary. This collaboration will actively seek to engage with existing monitoring processes, such as the UN Sustainable Development Goals and WHO's climate and health country profiles. The indicators will also evolve over time through ongoing collaboration with experts and a range of stakeholders, and be dependent on the emergence of new evidence and knowledge. During the course of its work, the Lancet Countdown will adopt a collaborative and iterative process, which aims to complement existing initiatives, welcome engagement with new partners, and be open to developing new research projects on health and climate change., (Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Long-term time series of spatially explicit cropland maps are essential for global crop modelling and climate change studies. The spatial resolution and temporal continuity of global cropland maps have been improving and several global data sets are released recently. Here, we calculated country-level cropland areas from the annual land-cover (LC) maps produced by the European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative (ESA-CCI) project and from the Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations statistical data (FAOSTAT) from 1992 to 2014. Because these two data sets used different approaches for generating the cropland data, we further quantified the consistency/difference in cropland areas and temporal changes between both products. Using log-transformed the time-averaged country-level cropland areas, a good linear relationship was found between these two products across different countries. However, only 8% of countries (mostly Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development countries) showed cropland area difference smaller than 1% between ESA-CCI and FAOSTAT. The cropland areas (without mosaic cropland types) from ESA-CCI are lower than the areas from FAOSTAT in 26% of countries but higher in 66% of countries. The magnitude of the latter difference (i.e. higher estimates of ESA-CCI than FAOSTAT) would be further amplified if crop intensity was taken into account. In addition, opposite temporal trends of cropland areas were found between these two data sets in 41% of countries. Although there are uncertainties in ESA-CCI LC maps, resulting from remote-sensing techniques such as mixed pixels, spectral similar objects, and same subject with different spectrum, the long time series and relatively high resolution of this product help us to understand the differences between satellite-based and inventory-based data sets and thus identify the possible strategies to improve the accuracy of satellite-based LC products. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: Agricultural food production in China is deeply vulnerable to extreme droughts. Although there are many studies to evaluate this issue from different aspects, comprehensive assessments with full consideration of climate change, crop rotations, irrigation effects, and socioeconomic factors in broad scales have not been well addressed. Considering both the probability of drought occurrence and the consequential yield losses, here we propose an integrated approach for assessing past and future agricultural drought risks that relies on multimodel ensemble simulations calibrated for rice, maize, and wheat (RMW) in China. Our results show that irrigation has reduced drought‐related yield losses by 31 ± 2%; the largest reductions in food production were primarily attributable to socioeconomic factors rather than droughts during 1955–2014. Unsustainable water management, especially groundwater management, could potentially cause disastrous consequences in both food production and water supply in extreme events. Our simulations project a rise of 2.5~3.3% in average rice, maize, and wheat productivity before 2050 but decrease thereafter if climate warming continues. The frequency of extreme agricultural droughts in China is projected to increase under all examined Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP). A current 100‐year drought is projected to occur once every 30 years under RCP 2.6, once every 13 years under RCP 4.5, and once every 5 years under RCP 8.5. This increased occurrence of severe droughts would double the rate of drought‐induced yield losses in the largest warming scenario. Policies for future food security should prioritize sustainable intensification and conservation of groundwater, as well as geographically balanced water resource and food production. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]