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Wheat vegetative growth, defined as the stage from green-up date to heading date (STAGE), is a crucial phrase, which largely affects crop yield. Previous some studies mainly focused on site-based changes of STAGE. However, there are few studies concerning large-scale changes of STAGE, which limits our understanding of regional changes of STAGE in response to climate change. Here, we introduced robust satellite-based phenological algorithms as well as third-generation global inventory modeling and mapping studies normalized difference vegetation index for the period of 1982–2015 to spatially derive winter wheat green-up date, heading date, and STAGE over croplands of the North China Plain (NCP). Changes of STAGE and their response to climate change were then investigated. Results showed that a strong predicted ability of introduced heading date algorithm was observed with r of 0.88 ( p R 2 = 0.11, p = 0.06). Stage of 23.4% cropland pixels performed significantly lengthened trends ( p r = 0.59, p < 0.01). This study highlights important roles of remote sensing data and satellite-based phenological algorithms for regional crop growth monitoring and management.

Studying the shifts of vegetation phenology and the response of vegetation phenology to climate change helps to understand the dynamics of future ecosystems. However, since previous studies mostly focused on temperate ecosystems, much less is known about the biogeographic phenological shifts in sub-tropical regions, which have abundant biodiversity. The Yangtze River Basin (YRB) is located in the subtropical region of China and has abundant natural resources, a large population, and rapid economic development. Studying the variation characteristics of phenology and its responses to recent climate changes in YRB are important for understanding the impact of regional climate on subtropical ecosystems. In this study, we extracted the phenological parameters using Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) data to investigate the spatial and temporal variations of vegetation phenology across YRB during 1982–2015 and to examine how vegetation phenology responds to climate within different ecological zones. The results revealed that the start of growing season (SOS) was significantly advanced by 0.2 days/year (p

Climate warming and its corresponding impacts on agriculture system increasingly attach great attentions. Earlier studies more concerned the impacts of the cultivated area expansion under climate change. Yet limited knowledge is about the impacts of climate warming on the cropping index change with the shifts of cropping system border. In this study, we used climatic data (1961-2015) to firstly investigate impacts of warming temperature on potential cropping system border expansion of China, and further used agricultural statistical data and satellite-based land use data to analyze the response of current land system to potential cropping system border expansion. Results of this study indicated that obviously advanced SDT10 and prolonged EDT10 contributed to the 88.4% regions of increased AAT10 at the past half century. Moreover, the northward expansion of the suitable cultivated areas in different cropping systems provided advantages for potential multiple cropping index (PMCI) improvement. Unfortunately, this study found that a significantly declined multiple cropping index (MCI) was observed in the peri-urban regions and the provinces with large out-migration of agriculture labor. The evidently increased MCI was only greatly observed in Xinjiang province. Besides, the potential increment of multiple cropping index (PIMCI) for different cropping system border expansion regions presented a rising trend and reached 53.6% in 2015 due to warming climate. Particularly, the significantly increased PIMCI was observed in the Loess Plateau, the Inner Mongolia, the Middle-lower Yangtze Plain, Northeast China Plain, Southern China and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Metropolitan Region. However, the response of current land system to the changes of PMCI and PIMCI was not timely. Based on the findings of our study, some potential agriculture development strategies were suggested by comprehensively considering regional natural conditions, agricultural production conditions and socioeconomic conditions. We hope these findings of this study could provide some valuable information for agricultural development policy decision-making.

Alpine vegetation plays a crucial role in global carbon cycle. Snow cover is an essential component of alpine land cover and shows high sensitivity to climate change. The Tibetan Plateau (TP) has a typical alpine vegetation ecosystem and is rich of snow resources. With global warming, the snow of the TP has undergone significant changes that will inevitably affect the growth of alpine vegetation, but observed evidence of such interaction is limited. In particular, a comprehensive understanding of the responses of alpine vegetation growth to snow cover variability is still not well characterized on TP region. To investigate this, we calculated three indicators, the start (SOS) and length (LOS) of growing season, and the maximum of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVImax) as proxies of vegetation growth dynamics from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data for 2000–2015. Snow cover duration (SCD) and melt (SCM) dates were also extracted during the same time frame from the combination of MODIS and the Interactive Multi-sensor Snow and Ice Mapping System (IMS) data. We found that the snow cover phenology had a strong control on alpine vegetation growth dynamics. Furthermore, the responses of SOS, LOS and NDVImax to snow cover phenology varied among different biomes, eco-geographical zones, and temperature and precipitation gradients. The alpine steppes showed a much stronger negative correlation between SOS and SCD, and also a more evidently positive relationship between LOS and SCD than other types, indicating a longer SCD would lead to an earlier SOS and longer LOS. Most areas showed positive correlation between SOS and SCM, while a contrary response was also found in the warm but drier areas. Both SCD and SCM showed positive correlations with NDVImax, but the relationship became weaker with the increase of precipitation. Our findings provided strong evidence between vegetation growth and snow cover phenology, and changes in snow cover should be also considered when analyzing alpine vegetation growth dynamics in future.

Advances in the timing of spring green-up date are a typical response of vegetation global change. Long-term observations of plant phenology have been used to track vegetation response to climate change. Normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and enhanced vegetation index (EVI) have been the most commonly used indicators in reconstructing spring green-up dates from remote sensing over the past several decades. The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) based phenology time series from NDVI and EVI with an enhanced TIMESAT algorithm are the two operational phenology products developed recently with sun-sensor geometry corrected reflectance. However, a comprehensive intercomparison and evaluation of these two spring green-up datasets using intensive ground observations have not been conducted, limiting their applications in regional interpretation of land surface phenology. Therefore, we used 455 ground observations from USA National Phenology Network (NPN) and 106 observations from 21 AmeriFlux sites to assess and validate the spring green-up dates for United States for 2000–2013. Our results indicate that the spring green-up dates from NDVI and EVI showed a good agreement in eastern United States, while substantial differences (70 days) were found in western and southern areas. Ground observations generally had a significant correlation (p < 0.01) with the two MODIS spring green-up dates, especially for deciduous broadleaf forests with root mean square error (RMSE) of 12 days and 16 days when compared with USA-NPN and AmeriFlux observations, respectively. Spring green-up dates from EVI overall showed a better relationship and a lower RMSE in reference to both USA-NPN and AmeriFlux observations than NDVI-based spring green-up dates. Our results highlight the importance of a rigorous validation of remote sensing products to better understand their limitations in operational applications.

Land greening in China is regarded as contributing a great deal to greening of the Earth. The phenomenon is mainly attributed to climate change, arising atmospheric CO2 and ‘Grain for Green’ (GFG) land management policies. However, limited knowledge is known how much land greening is from contributions of the GFG practice. Therefore, the study took the typical region of the GFG practice, the Loess Plateau, as the study area, and used 1982–2015 satellite-observed GIMMS3g normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) data, ERA-Interim climatic variables (precipitation, temperature and solar radiation) and atmospheric CO2 concentration data with the help of a developed TPRC-based NDVI model to derive GFG-induced NDVI after 1999. Furthermore, this study tracked the spatial-temporal dynamics of GFG-induced NDVI and assessed contributions of the GFG practice to regional vegetation changes. Results showed that satellite-observed NDVI and TPRC-based NDVI both exhibited an increasing spatial pattern from the northwestern to southeastern Loess Plateau, but their greening trends were separately 0.0022 and 0.0009 per year in 1982–2015 (p

Climate conditions are the major driving factors of vegetation phenology. However, there is limited effort to monitor dynamics of vegetation phenology and its responses to climate change and urbanization. Using NDVI data from 1982 to 2015, this study investigated the spatiotemporal change of spring green-up date (GUD) across the Yellow River Basin (YRB) and estimated the possible effects of different climatic factors on it. Additionally, the urban-rural differences in GUD and its linkage to spring land surface temperature (LST) for YRB’s major cities over 2001–2015 were investigated. The results showed that the GUD significantly advanced at a rate of 0.42 days yr−1 and delayed spatially from southeast to northwest. The interannual variations in regionally averaged GUD were driven mainly by preseason min-temperature (Tmin). Spatially, the effect of preseason Tmin was strongest in the central and western region. The confounding effects of preseason maximum temperature (Tmax) and precipitation jointly affected the GUD, while insolation had a weak impact on GUD. Moreover, the sensitivity of GUD to preseason Tmin and precipitation weakened with an increasing mean annual preseason precipitation gradient, but the sensitivity to preseason Tmax was gradually enhanced. Furthermore, the difference in the GUD between urban and rural areas presented a significant logarithmic relationship with the distance away from the urban center, and it was strongly related to the regional LST. Our findings confirmed the importance of Tmin and urbanization in regulating changes in GUD and further suggested that LST should be considered to develop an improved model of GUD under future climate change and urban development.

Accurate quantification of gross primary production (GPP) at regional and global scales is essential for carbon budgets and climate change studies. Five models, the vegetation photosynthesis model (VPM), the temperature and greenness model (TG), the alpine vegetation model (AVM), the greenness and radiation model (GR), and the MOD17 algorithm, were tested and calibrated at eight sites in China during 2003–2005. Results indicate that the first four models provide more reliable GPP estimation than MOD17 products/algorithm, although MODIS GPP products show better performance in grasslands, croplands, and mixed forest (MF). VPM and AVM produce better estimates in forest sites (R2 = 0.68 and 0.67, respectively); AVM and TG models show satisfactory GPP estimates for grasslands (R2 = 0.91 and 0.9, respectively). In general, the VPM model is the most suitable model for GPP estimation for all kinds of land cover types in China, with R2 higher than 0.34 and root mean square error (RMSE) lower than 48.79%. The relationships between eddy CO2 flux and model parameters (Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), photosynthetically active radiation (PAR), land surface temperature (LST), air temperature, and Land Surface Water Index (LSWI)) are further analyzed to investigate the model’s application to various land cover types, which will be of great importance for studying the effects of climatic factors on ecosystem performances.

The biophysical effect of land use conversion plays a significant role in regulating climate change. Owing to albedo and evapotranspiration (ET) change, the effect of energy budget difference on land surface temperature (LST) is important but unclear among contrasting land use types, especially in temperate semi-arid regions. Based on moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) data, we compared the differences in albedo, ET, and LST between cropland and grassland (CR-GR), and between planted forest and grassland (PF-GR) in the Horqin Sandy Land of Inner Mongolia, an agro-pastoral ecotone of northern China. Our main objective was to explore the magnitude and direction of albedo and ET change during the growing season and, subsequently, to estimate the biophysical effects on LST as a result of land use and land cover change. Our results indicate no significant difference in mean monthly albedo for CR-GR and PF-GR. Cropland lost more water through ET and significantly decreased daytime LST compared with grassland from July to September, but no significant differences in ET and LST were observed for PF-GR in any month. The biophysical climate effects were more pronounced for CR-GR compared with PF-GR. The response of LST to the changes in energy budget confirmed that ET was the critical driving factor relative to albedo. Compared with grassland, cropland and planted forest tended to cool the land surface by 5.15°C and 1.51°C during the growing season, respectively, because of the biophysical effects. Our findings suggest the significance of local-scale biophysical effect on climate variation after land use conversion in semi-arid regions.