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Taiwan is particularly sensitive to changes in monsoonal precipitation and to typhoon-induced heavy precipitation events, however, rainfall variability in Taiwan on centennial and millennial time scales during the Holocene has not been well understood. This study describes mid-Holocene rainfall features of Taiwan based on pollen, total organic carbon (TOC), total nitrogen (TN), and C/N ratio records of core MD05-2908. The step-wise increase in sedimentation rate, fern spore percentage and concentration, TOC content, and C/N ratio suggests an increasing terrestrial material supply due to the intensified rainfall in Taiwan since 6800 cal. yr BP. This rainfall pattern shows an inverse pattern to the decreasing East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) strength represented by the multi-proxy records from North China. Variation of the East Asian summer circulation and associated moisture transport may account for the long-term rainfall changes in Taiwan. Superimposed on this trend, we interpreted three prominent rainfall changes, which focus on the periods of 6800–6600, 1090–880 and 490–190 cal. yr BP. These centennial time scale rainfall variations in our records are linked to the intensity of El-Nino Southern Oscillations.

•Chennai (India) received the highest rainfall of 490 mm on 1 Dec 2015.•This study looked at NOAA/NESDIS global analysis of SST anomaly (°C).•Revival of 769 km long Buckingham Canal essential for flood mitigation.•Renovating canals, ponds, and lakes crucial for flood prevention.•India needs better strategies to adapt to future extreme weather situations.

article i nfo Wereportontheexistenceandnature of Holocene solar andclimaticvariationson centennialto millennial time- scales. We introduce a new solar activity proxy, based on nitrate (NO3 − ) concentration from the Talos Dome ice core, East Antarctica. We also use a new algorithm for computing multiple-cross wavelet spectra in time-fre- quency space that is generalized for multiple time series (beyond two). Our results provide a new interpretive framework for relating Holocene solaractivity variations on centennial to millennial timescales to co-varying cli- mate proxies drawn from a widespread area around the globe. Climatic proxies used represent variation in the North Atlantic Ocean, Western Pacific Warm Pool, Southern Ocean and the East Asian monsoon regions. Our wavelet analysis identifies fundamental solar modes at 2300-yr (Hallstattzeit), 1000-yr (Eddy), and 500-yr (unnamed) periodicities, leaves open the possibility that the 1500-1800-yr cycle may either be fundamental or derived, and identifies intermediary derived cycles at 700-yr and 300-yr that may mark rectified responses of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation to external solar modulation and pacing. Dating uncertainties suggest that the 1500-yr and 1800-yr cycles described in the literature may represent either the same or two separate cycles, but in either case, and irrespective too of whether it is a fundamental or derived mode in the sense of Dima and Lohmann (2009), the 1500-1800-yr periodicity is widely represented in a large number of paleoclimate proxy records. It is obviously premature to reject possible links between changing solar activity at these multiple scales and the variations that are commonly observed in paleoclimatic records.

Multi-proxy records in two sediment cores (R and Rd) from the subalpine Retreat Lake in NE Taiwan document 5 centennial-scale periods (∼7.3–6.9, 6.35–5.9, 5.8–5.1, 4.5–∼2.1, and 2.0–1.6 ka BP) of relatively reduced summer East Asian monsoon (EAM) precipitation that were superimposed on the long-term decreasing monsoon trend from ∼8 ka BP onwards. The first three intervals of weak summer EAM indicated by low TOC, C/N ratio and water content within the Holocene optimum (∼8.6–4.5 ka BP) correlate with solar activity, revealing that the centennial-scale summer monsoon variations in a warm climate were related to weak solar irradiance. The desiccation of the lake (4.5–∼2.1 ka BP), followed by a weak monsoon event at ∼2.0–1.6 ka BP, may coincide with decreased sea surface temperature in the tropical Pacific. High water content and low dry bulk density in core Rd at ∼7.6, 7.46, 6.8–6.54, 6.1, 5.8, 5.6, and 5.0 ka BP imply a significant increase of summer EAM during these periods, and thus suggest an unstable optimum climate in Taiwan. A possible linkage of weak summer EAM with the tropical Pacific and North Atlantic cooling during these intervals may be driven by coupled ocean–atmosphere interactions, especially reduced heat and moisture transport and enhanced El Nino-Southern Oscillation in the tropical Pacific, as well as solar activity. The centennial-scale reorganizations in the tropical Pacific climate dynamics may have played an important role in the summer EAM instability, particularly during the late Holocene.

The lack of a precisely-dated, unequivocal climate proxy from northern China, where precipitation variability is traditionally considered as an East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) indicator, impedes our understanding of the behaviour and dynamics of the EASM. Here we present a well-dated, pollen-based, ~20-yr-resolution quantitative precipitation reconstruction (derived using a transfer function) from an alpine lake in North China, which provides for the first time a direct record of EASM evolution since 14.7 ka (ka = thousands of years before present, where the “present” is defined as the year AD 1950). Our record reveals a gradually intensifying monsoon from 14.7–7.0 ka, a maximum monsoon (30% higher precipitation than present) from ~7.8–5.3 ka and a rapid decline since ~3.3 ka. These insolation-driven EASM trends were punctuated by two millennial-scale weakening events which occurred synchronously to the cold Younger Dryas and at ~9.5–8.5 ka and by two centennial-scale intervals of enhanced (weakened) monsoon during the Medieval Warm Period (Little Ice Age). Our precipitation reconstruction, consistent with temperature changes but quite different from the prevailing view of EASM evolution, points to strong internal feedback processes driving the EASM and may aid our understanding of future monsoon behaviour under ongoing anthropogenic climate change.

China (973 Program) [2009CB421200]; Program of Introducing Talents of Discipline to Universities [B07034]; Academia Sinica Thematic Program AFOBi, Taiwan [NSC 98-2116-M-001-005]

Sedimentary total organic carbon and carbon-to-nitrogen ratio records from the subalpine Retreat Lake in NE Taiwan reveal four centennial periods (~8–8.3, 5.1–5.7, 4.5–~2.1, and 2–1.6 kyr BP) of relatively reduced summer East Asian monsoon (EAM) precipitation that were superimposed on the insolation-dependent, long-term decreasing monsoon trend during the middle and late Holocene while early Holocene monsoon strength was controlled by glacial boundary conditions. Strikingly, all weak monsoon events correlate with the timings of low sea surface temperature in the tropical Pacific, maxima of hematite stained-grains in the sediments of North Atlantic, reduced formation of North Atlantic Deep Water, and low concentrations of atmospheric methane over Greenland, suggesting a globally well-connected postglacial climate (from ca. 8.6 kyr BP onwards). Persistent linkage of weak summer EAM-tropical Pacific and North Atlantic cooling-reduced global wetland extent during these intervals is believed to be driven by coupled ocean-atmosphere interactions, especially reduced heat and moisture transport and enhanced El Niño-Southern Oscillation in the tropical Pacific, as well as solar activity. Overall similarity of summer EAM with diverse proxy records and their coincidence to abrupt changes witnessed in other paleorecords across the world imply that the centennial-scale reorganizations in the tropical Pacific climate dynamics may have been playing an important role, of course closely in phase with solar variations and North Atlantic climate, in the Holocene summer EAM and, by extension, low-latitude's monsoon instability.

[1] Sedimentary geochemical records from subalpine Retreat Lake, subtropical Taiwan, document the unstable East Asian monsoon (EAM) climate over the past ∼10,300 years, with a weak EAM between ∼10.3 and 8.6 ky B.P., EAM intensity peaks between 8.6 and 7.7 ky B.P., and then gradually decrease in response to summer insolation, heat and moisture transport. Our proxy record reveals several weak monsoon intervals that correlate to low sea surface temperatures in the western tropical Pacific and cold events in the North Atlantic, linking the tropical Pacific, North Atlantic, and Polar climates because weak EAM events at ∼8.2, 5.4 and 4.5–2.1 ky B.P. also correspond to low values of atmospheric methane and periods of reduced North Atlantic Deep Water formation. We therefore suggest that centennial to millennial scale monsoon variability during the Holocene in the northern subtropics is globally-mediated via a sun-ocean-monsoon-North Atlantic linkage.