1. Long-term Predictions of Incident Coronary Artery Calcium to 85 Years of Age for Asymptomatic Individuals With and Without Type 2 Diabetes.
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Ferket, Bart S., Hunink, M.G. Myriam, Masharani, Umesh, Max, Wendy, Yeboah, Joseph, and Fleischmann, Kirsten E.
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TYPE 2 diabetes , *CORONARY arteries , *COMPUTED tomography , *CARDIOVASCULAR diseases , *CORONARY disease , *RESEARCH , *RESEARCH methodology , *DISEASE incidence , *MEDICAL cooperation , *EVALUATION research , *ATHEROSCLEROSIS , *RISK assessment , *COMPARATIVE studies , *CORONARY artery disease , *CALCINOSIS , *CALCIUM , *DISEASE complications - Abstract
Objective: To examine the utility of repeated computed tomography (CT) coronary artery calcium (CAC) testing, we assessed risks of detectable CAC and its cardiovascular consequences in individuals with and without type 2 diabetes ages 45-85 years.Research Design and Methods: We included 5,836 individuals (618 with type 2 diabetes, 2,972 without baseline CAC) from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. With logistic and Cox regression we evaluated the impact of type 2 diabetes, diabetes treatment duration, and other predictors on prevalent and incident CAC. We used time-dependent Cox modeling of follow-up data (median 15.9 years) for two repeat CT exams and cardiovascular events to assess the association of CAC at follow-up CT with cardiovascular events.Results: For 45 year olds with type 2 diabetes, the likelihood of CAC at baseline was 23% vs. 17% for those without. Median age at incident CAC was 52.2 vs. 62.3 years for those with and without diabetes, respectively. Each 5 years of diabetes treatment increased the odds and hazard rate of CAC by 19% (95% CI 8-33) and 22% (95% CI 6-41). Male sex, White ethnicity/race, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, obesity, and low serum creatinine also increased CAC. CAC at follow-up CT independently increased coronary heart disease rates.Conclusions: We estimated cumulative CAC incidence to age 85 years. Patients with type 2 diabetes develop CAC at a younger age than those without diabetes. Because incident CAC is associated with increased coronary heart disease risk, the value of periodic CAC-based risk assessment in type 2 diabetes should be evaluated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2021
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