301. Detection of Arbitrage in a Market with Multi-Asset Derivatives and Known Risk-Neutral Marginals
- Author
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Bertrand Tavin, emlyon business school, and business school, emlyon
- Subjects
Incomplete market ,Economics and Econometrics ,Arbitrage ,Multivariate distribution ,Computer science ,Copula (linguistics) ,Bivariate analysis ,01 natural sciences ,Copula (probability theory) ,Risk neutral ,Set (abstract data type) ,010104 statistics & probability ,0502 economics and business ,Arbitrage pricing theory ,Economics ,Econometrics ,Asset (economics) ,Multi-asset derivative ,0101 mathematics ,[SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance ,Index arbitrage ,050208 finance ,Actuarial science ,05 social sciences ,Resolution (logic) ,[SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance ,Risk-neutral measure ,[SHS.GESTION]Humanities and Social Sciences/Business administration ,Marginal distribution ,[SHS.GESTION] Humanities and Social Sciences/Business administration ,Finance ,Copula function - Abstract
International audience; In this paper we study the existence of arbitrage opportunities in a multi-asset market when risk-neutral marginal distributions of asset prices are known. We first propose an intuitive characterization of the absence of arbitrage opportunities in terms of copula functions. We then address the problem of detecting the presence of arbitrage by formalizing its resolution in two distinct ways that are both suitable for the use of optimization algorithms. The first method is valid in the general multivariate case and is based on Bernstein copulas that are dense in the set of all copula functions. The second one is easier to work with but is only valid in the bivariate case. It relies on results about improved Fréchet–Hoeffding bounds in presence of additional information. For both methods, details of implementation steps and empirical applications are provided.
- Published
- 2012