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The SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant harbours many mutations in its spike protein compared to the original SARS-CoV-2 strain, which may alter its ability to enter cells, cell tropism, and response to interventions blocking virus entry. To elucidate these effects, we developed a mathematical model of SARS-CoV-2 entry into target cells and applied it to analyse recent in vitro data. SARS-CoV-2 can enter cells via two pathways, one using the host proteases Cathepsin B/L and the other using the host protease TMPRSS2. We found enhanced entry efficiency of the Omicron variant in cells where the original strain preferentially used Cathepsin B/L and reduced efficiency where it used TMPRSS2. The Omicron variant thus appears to have evolved to use the Cathepsin B/L pathway better but at the expense of its ability to use the TMPRSS2 pathway compared to the original strain. We estimated >4-fold enhanced efficiency of the Omicron variant in entry via the Cathepsin B/L pathway and >3-fold reduced efficiency via the TMPRSS2 pathway compared to the original or other strains in a cell type-dependent manner. Our model predicted that Cathepsin B/L inhibitors would be more efficacious and TMPRSS2 inhibitors less efficacious in blocking Omicron variant entry into cells than the original strain. Furthermore, model predictions suggested that drugs simultaneously targeting the two pathways would exhibit synergy. The maximum synergy and drug concentrations yielding it would differ for the Omicron variant compared to the original strain. Our findings provide insights into the cell entry mechanisms of the Omicron variant and have implications for intervention targeting these mechanisms., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

BACKGROUND Cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) is a post-orthotopic heart transplant (OHT) complication driven by intimal smooth muscle proliferation and immune hyperactivity to donor heart tissue. Accelerated CAV leads to allograft failure within 1 year after receiving a normal angiogram result. Viruses can contribute to CAV development, but CAV after SARS-CoV-2 infection has not been reported to date. CASE REPORT A 48-year-old man, 5 years after OHT for non-ischemic cardiomyopathy, was admitted to the Cardiac Care Unit with 3 days of abdominal pain, dyspnea, and palpitations. His medical history included hyperlipidemia and insulin-dependent diabetes. He was compliant with all medications. Two months prior, he had a mild COVID-19 case. An echocardiogram and coronary angiogram 6 and 9 months prior, respectively, were unremarkable. Right and left heart catheterization demonstrated increased filling pressures, a cardiac index of 1.7 L/ml/m², and diffuse vasculopathy most severe in the LAD artery. Flow could not be restored despite repeated ballooning and intra-catheter adenosine. Empiric ionotropic support, daily high-dose methylprednisolone, and plasmapheresis were started. A few days later, the patient had cardiac arrest requiring venoarterial extracorporeal membranous oxygenation. Given CAV's irreversibility, re-transplantation was considered, but the patient had an episode of large-volume hemoptysis and remained clinically unstable for transplant. The patient died while on palliative care. CONCLUSIONS Our patient developed accelerated CAV 2 months after having COVID-19. While CAV has known associations with certain viruses, its incidence after SARS-CoV-2 infection is unknown. Further research is needed to determine if prior SARS-CoV-2 infection is a risk factor for development of CAV in OHT recipients.

Antibodies form an important component of our immune response to pathogens. A robust antibody response can lead to the swift clearance of infection. The protection offered by COVID-19 vaccines has been attributed in large measure to the antibodies they elicit (Padmanabhan et al. 2022). Yet, with other pathogens like HIV-1, vaccines that elicit potent antibodies have remained elusive despite intense efforts over decades (Burton 2019). It is important, therefore, to understand how our body mounts a robust antibody response specific to an invading pathogen or vaccine. A remarkable manifestation of Darwinian evolution happens to be at the heart of such a response.

SARS-CoV-2 infection results in highly heterogeneous outcomes, from cure without symptoms to acute respiratory distress and death. Empirical evidence points to the prominent roles of innate immune and CD8 T-cell responses in determining the outcomes. However, how these immune arms act in concert to elicit the outcomes remains unclear. Here, we developed a mathematical model of within-host SARS-CoV-2 infection that incorporates the essential features of the innate immune and CD8 T-cell responses. Remarkably, by varying the strengths and timings of the two immune arms, the model recapitulated the entire spectrum of outcomes realized. Furthermore, model predictions offered plausible explanations of several confounding clinical observations, including the occurrence of multiple peaks in viral load, viral recrudescence after symptom loss, and prolonged viral positivity. We applied the model to analyze published datasets of longitudinal viral load measurements from patients exhibiting diverse outcomes. The model provided excellent fits to the data. The best-fit parameter estimates indicated a nearly 80-fold stronger innate immune response and an over 200-fold more sensitive CD8 T-cell response in patients with mild compared to severe infection. These estimates provide quantitative insights into the likely origins of the dramatic inter-patient variability in the outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection. The insights have implications for interventions aimed at preventing severe disease and for understanding the differences between viral variants., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

The efficacy of COVID-19 vaccines appears to depend in complex ways on the vaccine dosage and the interval between the prime and boost doses. Unexpectedly, lower dose prime and longer prime-boost intervals have yielded higher efficacies in clinical trials. To elucidate the origins of these effects, we developed a stochastic simulation model of the germinal center (GC) reaction and predicted the antibody responses elicited by different vaccination protocols. The simulations predicted that a lower dose prime could increase the selection stringency in GCs due to reduced antigen availability, resulting in the selection of GC B cells with higher affinities for the target antigen. The boost could relax this selection stringency and allow the expansion of the higher affinity GC B cells selected, improving the overall response. With a longer dosing interval, the decay in the antigen with time following the prime could further increase the selection stringency, amplifying this effect. The effect remained in our simulations even when new GCs following the boost had to be seeded by memory B cells formed following the prime. These predictions offer a plausible explanation of the observed paradoxical effects of dosage and dosing interval on vaccine efficacy. Tuning the selection stringency in the GCs using prime-boost dosages and dosing intervals as handles may help improve vaccine efficacies., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2021 Garg, Mittal, Padmanabhan, Desikan and Dixit.)