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Background: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic had adversely impacted cancer screening, diagnosis, and treatment. We investigated the change in medical resource, such as the intensive care unit use, and short-term outcomes after esophagectomy during the pandemic., Methods: Data of patients who underwent esophagectomy for esophageal cancer registered in the National Clinical Database (NCD) in Japan from January 2018 to December 2021 were analyzed. The time series change in the number of surgical cases; usage of intensive care unit; incidence of morbidity and mortality; standardized mortality and morbidity ratio (SMR) for 30-days mortality; surgical mortality; and morbidities for pneumonia, sepsis, unplanned intubation, and anastomotic leakage were evaluated., Results: The annual number of patients undergoing esophagectomy remained similar from 2018 to 2021. The negative impact of the pandemic on medical resources was strongly identified in the patients from an epidemic area where there is a higher cumulative number of infections per population as compared to all prefectures. The proportions of patients admitted to the intensive care unit were 91.4%, 93.0%, 91.6%, and 90.5% in 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021, respectively. Moreover, 93.3%, 94.0%, 92.0%, and 90.9% patients who underwent surgery in an epidemic area were admitted to the intensive care unit in 2018, 2019, 2020, and 2021, respectively. However, the morbidity and mortality rates during the pandemic did not worsen according to the SMR values., Conclusions: Esophagectomy was performed during the pandemic despite limited medical resources by a systematic endeavor of the entire surgical department in Japan, without increasing the incidence rate of worse outcome., (© 2023. The Author(s) under exclusive licence to The Japan Esophageal Society.)

Introduction: Little information is available on the temporal trends in the clinical epidemiology and in-hospital mortality of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Japan for waves 1, 2, and 3., Methods: A national claims database was used to analyze the time trends in admission, medical procedure, and in-hospital mortality characteristics among patients with COVID-19. Patients who were ≥18 years and discharged from January 1, 2020 to February 28, 2021 were included., Results: A multilevel logistic regression analysis of 51,252 patients revealed a decline in mortality in waves 2 and 3 (risk-adjusted mortality range = 2.17-4.07%; relative risk reduction = 23-59%; reference month of April 2020 = 5.32%). In the subgroup analysis, a decline in mortality was also observed in patients requiring oxygen support but not mechanical ventilation (risk-adjusted mortality range = 5.98-11.68%; relative risk reduction = 22-60%; reference month of April 2020 = 15.06%). Further adjustments for medical procedure changes in the entire study population revealed a decrease in mortality in waves 2 and 3 (risk-adjusted mortality range = 2.66-4.05%; relative risk reduction = 24-50%)., Conclusions: A decline in in-hospital mortality was observed in waves 2 and 3 after adjusting for patient/hospital-level characteristics and medical treatments. The reasons for this decline warrant further research to improve the outcomes of hospitalized patients., (Copyright © 2022 Japanese Society of Chemotherapy and The Japanese Association for Infectious Diseases. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Aim: To examine the potential negative effects of the COVID‐19 pandemic on short‐term postoperative outcomes of emergency surgery for gastroduodenal perforation in Japan. Methods: A total of 7973 cases of gastroduodenal perforation from 2019 to 2021 were retrieved from the National Clinical Database (NCD), which includes >95% of surgical cases in Japan. Data were analyzed nationally and in subgroups for subjects in areas with high infection levels (HILs). Postoperative 30‐d mortality, surgical mortality, and complications (Clavien–Dindo (CD) grade ≥3) were examined. Months were considered to have significantly high or low mortality or complication rates, if the 95% confidence interval (CI) of the standardized mortality (morbidity) ratio (SMR) does not contain 1. Results: Nationally, data from 2019 vs 2020 and 2021 showed 30‐d mortality of 175 (6.7%) vs 398 (7.4%), surgical mortality of 250 (9.5%) vs 537 (10.1%), and complications (CD ≥3) of 558 (21.2%) vs 1163 (21.8%). Among these data, the only significantly high SMR was found for complications in July 2020 (1.36 [95% CI: 1.001–1.80]). In areas with HILs, data from 2019 vs 2020 and 2021 indicated 30‐d mortality of 91 (6.3%) vs 215 (7.3%), surgical mortality of 135 (9.4%) vs 294 (10.0%), and complications (CD ≥3) of 304 (21.1%) vs (23.1%). In these data, no month had a significantly high SMR. Conclusion: The COVID‐19 pandemic had few negative effects on outcomes after surgery for gastroduodenal perforation. These findings suggest that the emergency system for gastroduodenal perforation in Japan was generally maintained during the pandemic. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) pandemic greatly impacted medical resources such as cancer screening, diagnosis, and treatment given to people for various diseases. We surveyed the impacts of the pandemic on the incidence of complications and mortality following pancreaticoduodenectomy for pancreatic cancer in Japan. Methods: Data on patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy for pancreatic cancer were extracted from the Japanese National Clinical Database (NCD) between 2018 and 2021. The number of the pancreaticoduodenectomy for pancreatic cancer were obtained and then the morbidity and mortality rates were evaluated using a standardized morbidity/mortality ratio (SMR), which is the ratio of the observed number of incidences to the expected number of incidences calculated by the risk calculator previously developed by the NCD. Results: This study included 22 255 cases. The number of pancreaticoduodenectomies exhibited an increasing trend even during the COVID‐19 pandemic. The mean observed incidence rates of Grade C pancreatic fistula and Clavien–Dindo grade ≥4 complications, and the 30‐day mortality and surgical mortality rates were 0.8%, 1.8%, 0.8% and 0.9%, respectively. The standardized morbidity ratios did not increase during the COVID‐19 pandemic. The standardized mortality ratios remained within the range of variations observed before the COVID‐19 pandemic. Conclusion: The increasing trend in the number of pancreaticoduodenectomies and favorable short‐term outcomes even in the COVID‐19 pandemic suggest the medical care for pancreatic cancer in Japan functioned well during the pandemic. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) pandemic has significantly impacted the allocation of medical resources, including cancer screening, diagnosis, and treatment. We aimed to investigate the effects of the pandemic on morbidity and mortality following hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods: We identified patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC between 2018 and 2021 from the Japanese National Clinical Database (NCD). The number of surgical cases, the use of intensive care units, and the incidence of morbidity were assessed. The standardized morbidity / mortality ratio (SMR) was used to evaluate the rates of morbidity (bile leakage and pneumonia) and mortality in each month, which compares the observed incidence to the expected incidence calculated by the NCD's risk calculator. Results: The study included a total of 10 647 cases. The number of patients undergoing hepatectomy for HCC gradually decreased. The proportion of patients aged 80 years or older increased and that of cases with T1 stage decreased. The proportion of patients who were admitted to the intensive care unit did not change between the pre‐ and postpandemic period. The mean actual incidence rates of bile leakage, pneumonia, 30‐day mortality, and surgical mortality were 9.2%, 2.3%, 1.4%, and 2.1%, respectively. The SMR for the mortalities and morbidities in each month did not increase mostly throughout the COVID‐19 pandemic. Conclusions: The present study showed the decreasing number of resected cases for HCC, while the surgical safety for hepatectomy was enough to be maintained by managing medical resources in Japan. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The COVID‐19 outbreak made conventional medical care impossible, forcing changes in both healthcare providers and patients. In Japan, COVID‐19 infection began spreading in earnest in 2020 and exploded in 2021. There was concern that the medical impact of COVID‐19 in 2021 would differ from that in 2020. We aimed to clarify the impact of COVID‐19 on mortality and anastomotic leakage in laparoscopic surgery for gastric cancer and rectal cancer in Japan using the National Clinical Database (NCD). Methods: We collected data from patients who underwent laparoscopic distal gastrectomy (LDG) and laparoscopic low anterior resection (LLAR) from January 2018 to December 2021 from the NCD, a web‐based surgical registration system in Japan. The number of surgical cases, monthly incidence of mortality and morbidity (anastomotic leakage), standardized mortality ratio (SMR), and standardized morbidity‐leakage ratio (SMLR [ratio of observed patients to expected patients calculated using the risk calculator established in the NCD]) were evaluated. Results: The numbers of LDG and LLAR cases continued to decline in the first year of the pandemic in 2020 and were as low in 2021 as in 2020. Although the numbers of robot‐assisted LDG and LLAR cases increased, the growth rate was lower than the rate of increase prior to the pandemic. Mortality and anastomotic leakage, two of the most important complications, as assessed by SMR and SMLR, did not worsen during the pandemic in comparison to the pre‐pandemic period. Conclusions: Laparoscopic surgeries were performed safely in Japan and were not affected by the COVID‐19 pandemic. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: Possible negative effects of the COVID‐19 pandemic on short‐term postoperative outcomes for colorectal perforation in Japan were examined in this study. Methods: The National Clinical Database (NCD) is a large‐scale database including more than 95% of surgical cases in Japan. We analyzed 13 107 cases of colorectal perforation from 2019 to 2021. National data were analyzed, and subgroup analyses were conducted for subjects in prefectures with high infection levels (HILs) and metropolitan areas (Tokyo Met. and Osaka Pref.). Postoperative 30‐day mortality, surgical mortality, and postoperative complications (Clavien–Dindo grade ≥3) were examined. Months were considered to have significantly high or low mortality or complication rates, if the 95% confidence interval (CI) of the standardized mortality (morbidity) ratio (SMR) does not contain 1. Results: In the NCD, postoperative 30‐day mortality occurred in 1371 subjects (10.5%), surgical mortality in 1805 (13.8%), and postoperative complications in 3950 (30.1%). Significantly higher SMRs were found for 30‐day mortality in November 2020 (14.6%, 1.39 [95% CI: 1.04–1.83]) and February 2021 (14.6%, 1.48 [95% CI: 1.10–1.96]), and for postoperative complications in June 2020 (37.3%, 1.28 [95% CI: 1.08–1.52]) and November 2020 (36.4%, 1.21 [95% CI: 1.01–1.44]). The SMRs for surgical mortality were not significantly high in any month. In prefectures with HILs and large metropolitan areas, there were few months with significantly higher SMRs. Conclusions: The COVID‐19 pandemic had limited negative effects on postoperative outcomes in patients with colorectal perforation. These findings suggest that the emergency system for colorectal perforation in Japan was generally maintained during the pandemic. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID‐19) pandemic affected the allocation of various medical resources to several areas, including intensive care units (ICUs). However, currently, its impact on the short‐term postoperative outcomes of gastrointestinal cancer surgeries remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate the impact of the pandemic on the incidence of complications occurring after low anterior resection in patients with rectal cancer in Japan. Methods: Data from the Japanese National Clinical Database between 2018 and 2021 were retrospectively examined. The primary outcome of the study was the postoperative morbidity and mortality rates before and after COVID‐19 pandemic. Moreover, the postoperative ICU admission rate was assessed. Morbidity and mortality rates were also assessed using a standardized morbidity/mortality ratio (SMR, the ratio of the actual number of incidences to the expected number of incidences calculated by the risk calculator). Results: This study included 74 181 patients, including 43 663 (58.9%) from COVID‐19 epidemic areas. The mean actual incidences of anastomotic leakage (AL) and pneumonia during the study period were 9.2% and 0.9%, respectively. The SMRs of these complications did not increase during the pandemic but those of AL declined gradually. The mean 30‐day mortality and operative mortality rates were 0.3% and 0.5%, respectively. Moreover, SMRs did not change significantly in the pandemic or regional epidemic status. The ICU admission rate temporarily decreased, especially in the epidemic areas. Conclusion: Although the pandemic temporarily decreased the ICU admission rate, its impact on short‐term outcomes following low anterior resection in patients with rectal cancer was insignificant in Japan. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) pandemic had resulted in either failure to provide required medical resources or delayed treatment for gastric cancer patients. This study aimed to investigate the impact of COVID‐19 on the incidence of postoperative complications using a nationwide Japanese database of patients undergoing distal gastrectomy for gastric cancer. Methods: We collected the data of patients who underwent distal gastrectomy from January 2018 to December 2021 from the National Clinical Database (NCD), a web‐based surgical registration system in Japan. The number of surgical cases, the use of intensive care units, and the incidence of morbidity per month were analyzed. We also calculated the standardized mortality ratio (SMR), defined as the ratio of the number of observed patients to the expected number of patients calculated using the risk calculator established in the NCD, for several morbidities, including pneumonia, sepsis, 30‐day mortality, and surgical mortality. Results: A decrease of 568 gastrectomies was observed from April 2020 to May 2020. Although the absolute number of patients admitted to intensive care units had declined since 2020, the proportion of patients admitted to the ICU did not change before and after the pandemic. Mortality and critical morbidity (such as pneumonia and sepsis) rates were not worse during the pandemic compared to pre‐pandemic periods per the SMR. Conclusions: Surgical management was conducted adequately through the organized efforts of the entire surgery department in our country even in a pandemic during which medical resources and staff may have been limited. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: This study aimed to evaluate the impact of the coronavirus disease (COVID‐19) pandemic on elective endoscopic surgeries in Japan using the National Clinical Database. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the clinicopathological factors and surgical outcomes of laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC), laparoscopic distal gastrectomy (LDG), and laparoscopic low anterior resection (LLAR) and compared the monthly numbers of each procedure performed in 2020 with those in 2018 and 2019. The degree of infection in prefectures was classified into low and high groups. Results: In 2020, the number of LCs (except for acute cholecystitis) was 76 079 (93.0% of that in 2019), the number of LDGs was 14 271 (85.9% of that in 2019), and the number of LLARs was 19 570 (88.1% of that in 2019). Although the number of robot‐assisted LDG and LLAR cases increased in 2020, the growth rate was mild compared with that in 2019. There was little difference in the number of cases in the degree of infection in the prefectures. The numbers of LC, LDG, and LLAR cases decreased from May to June and recovered gradually. In late 2020, the proportion of T4 and N2 cases of gastric cancer and the number of T4 cases of rectal cancer increased compared with those in 2019. There was little difference between the proportions of postoperative complications and mortality in the three procedures between 2019 and 2020. Conclusion: The number of endoscopic surgeries decreased in 2020 as a result of the COVID‐19 pandemic. However, the procedures were performed safely in Japan. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: This study aimed to investigate the effect of the coronavirus disease pandemic on the number of surgeries for gastroenterological cancer cases in Japan. Methods: The data recorded in the National Clinical Database of Japan between 2018 and 2020 were utilized for this study. Five specific surgeries for primary cancers and surgery for acute diffuse peritonitis were considered the primary endpoints. We divided the study period into the prepandemic and postpandemic (after April 2020) periods and examined the number of surgeries in relation to clinical factors. Results: Overall, 228 860 surgeries were analyzed. Among the five primary cancer surgeries, the number of distal gastrectomies for gastric cancer decreased the most (to 81.0% of the monthly number in the prepandemic period), followed by that of low anterior resections for rectal cancer (91.4%). In contrast, the number of pancreaticoduodenectomies for pancreatic cancer increased by 7.1%, while that of surgeries for peritonitis remained stable. This trend was observed nationwide. We also noted a marked reduction in the number of distal gastrectomy (to 72.5%), low anterior resection (84.0%), and esophagectomy (88.8%) procedures for T1 tumors. The noncurative resection rate and mortalities were low despite the increased proportion of T4 tumors and older patients. Conclusion: A marked reduction in surgeries for gastric and rectal cancers with early T factors may reflect prioritization of surgeries and reduction in cancer screenings. Although the quality of the surgery was maintained in terms of reduced mortalities and morbidities, the long‐term effects of this pandemic should be monitored. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Prolonged ICU stays are associated with high costs and increased mortality. Thus, early prediction of such stays would help clinicians to plan initial interventions, which could lead to efficient utilization of ICU resources. The aim of this study was to develop models for predicting prolonged stays in Japanese ICUs using APACHE II, APACHE III and SAPS II scores. In this multicenter retrospective cohort study, we analyzed the cases of 85,558 patients registered in the Japanese Intensive care Patient Database between 2015 and 2019. Prolonged ICU stay was defined as an ICU stay of >14 days. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to develop three predictive models for prolonged ICU stay using APACHE II, APACHE III and SAPS II scores, respectively. After exclusions, 79,620 patients were analyzed, 2,364 of whom (2.97%) experienced prolonged ICU stays. Multivariable logistic regression analyses showed that severity scores, BMI, MET/RRT, postresuscitation, readmission, length of stay before ICU admission, and diagnosis at ICU admission were significantly associated with higher risk of prolonged ICU stay in all models. The present study developed predictive models for prolonged ICU stay using severity scores. These models may be helpful for efficient utilization of ICU resources. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Since the start of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, it has remained unknown whether conventional risk prediction tools used in intensive care units are applicable to patients with COVID-19. Therefore, we assessed the performance of established risk prediction models using the Japanese Intensive Care database. Discrimination and calibration of the models were poor. Revised risk prediction models are needed to assess the clinical severity of COVID-19 patients and monitor healthcare quality in ICUs overwhelmed by patients with COVID-19. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]