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Importance: Neonatal mortality is a major public health concern that was potentially impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. To prepare for future health crises, it is important to investigate whether COVID-19 pandemic-related interventions were associated with changes in neonatal mortality., Objective: To investigate whether social distancing during the pandemic was associated with a higher neonatal mortality rate., Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study examined maternal-linked birth and infant death records from the National Center for Health Statistics, a population-level US database, from 2016 through 2020. The mortality rates were correlated using machine learning-based autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models with the social distancing index (SDI). The reference period was January 2016 through February 2020, and the pandemic period was March through December 2020. Statistical analysis was performed from March 2023 to May 2024., Exposures: SDI, computed from 6 mobility metrics., Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was neonatal mortality rate, defined as death at age less than 28 days., Results: The study included 18 011 173 births, of which 15 136 596 were from the reference period (7 753 555 [51.22%] male; 11 643 094 [76.92%] with maternal age of 20 to 34 years) and 2 874 577 were from the pandemic period (1 472 539 [51.23%] male; 2 190 158 [76.19%] with maternal age of 20 to 34 years). Through ARIMA-adjusted analyses, accounting for the declining mortality trend in the reference period, the mortality rates during the pandemic period did not significantly differ from the expected rates. SDI did not exhibit significant correlations with neonatal mortality (unadjusted: correlation coefficient [CC], 0.14 [95% CI, -0.53 to 0.70]; ARIMA adjusted: CC, 0.29 [95% CI, -0.41 to 0.77]), early neonatal mortality (unadjusted: CC, 0.33 [95% CI, -0.37 to 0.79]; ARIMA adjusted: CC, 0.45 [95% CI, -0.24 to 0.84]), and infant mortality (unadjusted: CC, -0.09 [95% CI, -0.68 to 0.57]; ARIMA adjusted: CC, 0.35 [95% CI, -0.35 to 0.80]). However, lag analyses found that SDI was associated with higher neonatal and early neonatal mortality rates with a 2-month lag period, but not with infant mortality rate. SDI was also associated with increases in 22-to-27 weeks' and 28-to-32 weeks' preterm delivery with a 1-month lag period., Conclusions and Relevance: In this population-level study of National Center for Health Statistics databases, neonatal, early neonatal, and infant mortality rates did not increase during the initial COVID-19 pandemic period. However, associations were observed between the pandemic period social distancing measures and higher rates of neonatal and early neonatal mortality, as well as preterm birth rate with a lag period, suggesting the importance of monitoring infant health outcomes following pandemic-related population behavior changes.

Hypothesis: Increased social distancing was associated with a lower incidence of extremely preterm live births (EPLB) during the initial COVID-19 pandemic period., Study Design: Prospective study at the NICHD Neonatal Research Network sites comparing EPLB (22 0/7 -28 6/7 weeks) and extremely preterm intrapartum stillbirths (EPIS) rates during the pandemic period (March-July, weeks 9-30 of 2020) with the reference period (same weeks in 2018 and 2019), correlating with state-specific social distancing index (SDI)., Results: EPLB and EPIS percentages did not significantly decrease (1.58-1.45%, p = 0.07, and 0.08-0.06%, p = 0.14, respectively). SDI was not significantly correlated with percent change of EPLB (CC = 0.29, 95% CI = -0.12, 0.71) or EPIS (CC = -0.23, 95% CI = -0.65, 0.18). Percent change in mean gestational age was positively correlated with SDI (CC = 0.49, 95% CI = 0.07, 0.91)., Conclusions: Increased social distancing was not associated with change in incidence of EPLB but was associated with a higher gestational age of extremely preterm births., Gov Id: Generic Database: NCT00063063., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Background: The current study evaluated the hypothesis that the COVID-19 pandemic is associated with higher stillbirth but lower neonatal mortality rates., Methods: We compared three epochs: baseline (2016-2019, January-December, weeks 1-52, and 2020, January-February, weeks 1-8), initial pandemic (2020, March-December, weeks 9-52, and 2021, January-June, weeks 1-26), and delta pandemic (2021, July-September, weeks 27-39) periods, using Alabama Department of Public Health database including deliveries with stillbirths ≥20 weeks or live births ≥22 weeks gestation. The primary outcomes were stillbirth and neonatal mortality rates., Results: A total of 325,036 deliveries were included (236,481 from baseline, 74,076 from initial pandemic, and 14,479 from delta pandemic period). The neonatal mortality rate was lower in the pandemic periods (4.4 to 3.5 and 3.6/1000 live births, in the baseline, initial, and delta pandemic periods, respectively, p < 0.01), but the stillbirth rate did not differ (9 to 8.5 and 8.6/1000 births, p = 0.41). On interrupted time-series analyses, there were no significant changes in either stillbirth (p = 0.11 for baseline vs. initial pandemic period, and p = 0.67 for baseline vs. delta pandemic period) or neonatal mortality rates (p = 0.28 and 0.89, respectively)., Conclusions: The COVID-19 pandemic periods were not associated with a significant change in stillbirth and neonatal mortality rates compared to the baseline period., Impact: The COVID-19 pandemic could have resulted in changes in fetal and neonatal outcomes. However, only a few population-based studies have compared the risk of fetal and neonatal mortality in the pandemic period to the baseline period. This population-based study identifies the changes in fetal and neonatal outcomes during the initial and delta COVID-19 pandemic period as compared to the baseline period. The current study shows that stillbirth and neonatal mortality rates were not significantly different in the initial and delta COVID-19 pandemic periods as compared to the baseline period., (© 2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to the International Pediatric Research Foundation, Inc.)