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Highlights • Very-high density olive orchards have been expanding rapidly in the Alentejo region (Portugal). • The long-term impact of irrigation practices on soil salinization/sodification was assessed using HYDRUS-1D. • Soil salinization/sodification risks from current monitored practices were found to be low. • Modeled scenarios further considered waters with lower quality, maize as an alternative crop, and climate change. • The variability and uncertainty of model predictions recommend the close monitoring of the problem at the local scale. Abstract Deficit irrigation practices carried out in very high-density olive orchards grown in the Alentejo region of southern Portugal can bring important economic benefits in terms of water savings, yields, and oils. They can also result in serious salinization/sodification problems without proper management of soil and water resources. The main objective of this study was to evaluate the long-term (30 years) impact of those irrigation practices on local soil resources using a multicomponent transport modeling approach embedded in the HYDRUS-1D model. Soil salinization and sodification risks were quantified for 160 soil profiles by considering eight different scenarios: current monitored irrigation practices (S1), using waters of variable quality (S2-S6), planting maize as an alternative crop (S7), and using climate change projections for the region (S8). Despite the large observed variability, simulations that considered current irrigation practices (S1) produced average values of the electrical conductivity of the soil solution (EC sw) at the end of the leaching seasons always below the threshold limit for crops moderately tolerant to soil salinity. In this scenario, the average values of the sodium adsorption ratio (SAR) were also kept within the same magnitude of those determined at the beginning of the simulation period (initial conditions). Irrigations with worse quality waters (S2-S6) led to higher EC sw and SAR values. Although annual rainfall amounts influenced the salinity build-up, the SAR evolution depended mainly on water quality. In maize soil profiles (S7), the simulated EC sw and SAR values were lower than in olive soil profiles, with irrigation practices contributing to salt removal during the seasons. Conversely, the climate change scenario (S8) resulted in slightly higher EC sw and SAR values than those simulated for current conditions, indicating a potentially greater risk of soil degradation in the near future. Although current irrigation practices seem to present relatively low soil salinization/sodification risks, the variability of results and the uncertainty associated with model predictions indicate that close monitoring to prevent further degradation of soil and water resources in the region should be recommended. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Secondary salinization has long been reported in the Roxo irrigation district (RID), southern Portugal, due to the use of saline-prone irrigation water and the existence of poorly structured soils. This study assessed the soil water and salt budgets in nine commercial orchards located in the RID using the multiple ion chemistry module available in the HYDRUS-1D model during the 2019 and 2020 growing seasons. The studied crops were almond, olive, citrus (orange, mandarin, and clementine), and pomegranate. The model successfully simulated soil water contents measured in the different fields but there was a clear underestimation of the electrical conductivity of the soil saturation paste extract (EC e) in some locations, while simulations of the sodium adsorption ratio (SAR) were generally acceptable. Modeling errors were mostly associated with missing information on fertigation events rather than related to the effects of irrigation water quality. The water and salt balances were also computed for the 1979–2020 period. Considering the probability of non-exceedance of salt accumulation during this period, the risk of salinity build-up was high to very high for the very dry years in most fields, except in the citrus sites. The factors influencing the salt accumulation were the irrigation strategy, the seasonal irrigation and rainfall depths, the duration of the crop growth period, the rainfall distribution in the late and non-growing stages, the soil drainage conditions, and the irrigation water quality. For the current climate conditions and irrigation water quality, the risk of soil salinity levels affecting crop development and yields was found to be minor. This means that, despite salts tended to accumulate in the rootzone over a season, under current conditions the salinity stress did not reach harmful levels for plants. Only in two of the study sites, there was a need to promote salt leaching. Hence, this study shows that soil salinization risks in the study area are low but, for given locations during drier seasons, there is a need for tailored irrigation solutions aimed at the conservation of soil and water resources. • Soil salinization risks in nine commercial orchards were assessed with HYDRUS-1D. • The probability of non-exceedance of salt accumulation was computed for 1979–2020. • The risk of salinity build-up was high to very high for the very dry years in most fields. • For current conditions, the risk of soil salinity levels affecting crop development was minor. • Tailored irrigation solutions should be considered in some cases in dry and very-dry years. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]