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Forty Caspian seals were surveyed seroepidemiologically between 1993 and 1998 around the times of mass mortality that occurred in 1997 in the Caspian Sea and seven Baikal seals were also surveyed in 1998. Virus neutralizing tests and ELISA clearly suggested that distemper virus epidemic was caused in Caspian seals before the spring of 1997 and that CDV infection continued to occur in Lake Baikal in recent years.

Data presented in earlier publications on the 1988 epizootic among seals in North West Europe show a pattern that is somewhat inconsistent with the predictions of the standard mathematical model of epidemics. We argue that for animals living in herds or colonies, such as seals, the mutual contact behaviour is such that models for the transmission of infectious diseases should be applied with special care for the distinction between numbers and densities. This is demonstrated by using a mechanistic description of the contacts among seals, which leads to a slightly different formulation of the model. Results of the analysis of this formulation are more in line with the data. The model introduced here can be applied to epidemics among all kinds of animals living in herds and in fact to any species with constant local density, independent of the total population size (i.e., occupying a variable area). Application of the traditional formulation, using different parameters for herds of different sizes, will give equally good results for non-lethal diseases. However, especially for diseases with a low R0 and high death rates, such as the phocine distemper virus (PDV) disease, the two model formulations give quite different results. Further analysis of the model is performed to determine the most important factors influencing such an epidemic. The survival of infected animals turns out to have a disproportionately great influence on the intensity of the epidemic. Therefore in the case of the PDV epizootic we conclude that marine pollution may not only have contributed to the high death rates, but, if so, it has intensified the epizootic as well.

This paper considers the time to extinction for a stochastic epidemic model of SEIR form without replacement of susceptibles. It first shows how previous rigorous results can be heuristically explained in terms of the more transparent dynamics of an approximating deterministic system. The model is then extended to include a host population structured into patches, with weak nearest-neighbour mixing of infection. It is shown, by considering the approximating deterministic system, that the expected time to extinction in a population of n + 1 patches each of size N is of the form a log N + bn, provided that N > Nc where Nc is a critical patch size below which transits are unlikely to occur. This corresponds to the simple decomposition of the time of an epidemic into the time it takes to spread through one patch plus the time it takes to transit to each of n successive patches. Expressions for this threshold and the coefficients of the time to extinction are given in terms of the transmission parameters of infection and the coupling strength between patches. These expressions are compared with numerical results using parameters relevant to a study of phocine distemper virus in North Sea seals, and the agreement is found to be good for large and small N. In the region when N approximately Nc, where transits may or may not occur, interesting transitional behaviour is seen, leading to a non-monotonicity of the extinction time as a function of N.

Using a virus neutralization technique, we found phocine distemper virus (PDV) antibody in 130 (83% of 157) harp seals (Phoca groenlandica) from the western North Atlantic sampled between 1988 and 1993 inclusive. In contrast, only 44 (24% of 185) hooded seals (Cystophora cristata) had antibodies against PDV even though they were sympatric with harp seals and were sampled over a similar period, from 1989 to 1994 inclusive. Antibodies occurred in 106 (41%) of 259 ringed seals (Phoca hispida); this prevalence was higher than expected given the solitary behavior and territoriality characteristic of this species. Seropositive ringed seals were found at each of seven locations across Arctic Canada from Baffin Bay to Amundsen Gulf at which samples were collected between 1992 and 1994. However, the prevalence of infection was highest where ringed seals are sympatric with harp seals in the eastern Canadian Arctic.

A longitudinal study of morbillivirus infection among harbor (Phoca vitulina) and gray (Halichoerus grypus) seals on the Atlantic coast of North America was carried out between 1980 and 1994. Serology also was carried out on harbor seals from the Pacific northwest coast collected in 1992 and 1993. The prevalence of morbillivirus neutralizing antibodies was significantly (P < 0.0001) higher in gray (73%, n = 296) than in harbor seals (37%, n = 387) from the Atlantic. Titers were significantly (P < 0.0001) higher against phocine distemper (PDV) compared to any other morbillivirus. Antibodies were not detected in serum from Pacific harbor seals. During the winter of 1991 to 1992 an epizootic occurred among harbor seals on the northeast coast of the United States. The event was characterized by an increase in strandings and by a significant (P = 0.001) increase in PDV antibody prevalence to 83% (n = 36) in seals stranded that winter. Morbillivirus lesions and antigen were observed in six animals found stranded from southern Maine to Long Island, New York (USA), between November 1991 and April 1992. In addition, morbillivirus encephalitis was detected in tissues from a harbor seal that stranded in 1988. Enzootic infection appeared to be present in both seal species, although with a different prevalence of disease. We propose that enzootic infection among gray seals is facilitated by population size, high annual recruitment and innate resistance to clinical disease. Infection may be maintained in the smaller harbor seal population through casual contact with gray seals.

Sequence analysis of the haemagglutinin protein (H) gene of the morbillivirus (PDV-2) isolated from a Siberian seal (Phoca sibirica) during the 1987/1988 epizootic in Lake Baikal revealed that it was most closely related to two recent isolates of canine distemper virus (CDV) from Germany and different from CDV vaccines currently in use in that region. The virus continued to circulate in seals in Lake Baikal after the 1987/1988 epizootic since sera collected from culled seals in the spring of 1992 were positive in morbillivirus ELISA tests, reacting most strongly with the CDV antigen.

The first evidence of phocine distemper virus (PDV) infection in Atlantic walruses (Odobenus rosmarus rosmarus) from Nottingham Island, Northwest Territories, Canada, is reported. Blood samples were collected from three male walruses killed by Inuit hunters in the fall of 1990. Differential virus neutralization test for each animal yielded higher titers against PDV than against other members of the Morbillivirus genus including canine distemper, peste des petits ruminants, rinderpest and measles viruses. Thus, PDV infection may be enzootic in walruses of the eastern Canadian Arctic.

Morbilliviruses constitute a major threat to the health of animal and man. To date the Morbillivirus genus in the Paramyxoviridae family comprises five established members, namely canine distemper virus (CDV), phocine distemper virus (PDV), measles virus (MV), rinderpest virus (RPV), and peste-des-petits-ruminants virus (PPRV). In addition, morbillivirus candidates infecting aquatic mammals were recently discovered. The present review on the biology of morbilliviruses focuses on knowledge gained by our group in studies on PDV and CDV. The aims of these studies were: i) to investigate the biological properties of the recently recognized PDV, which was found to be the primary etiology of epidemics with high mortality in seals in Western Europe, ii) to extend our knowledge of the biological properties of CDV. The morbillivirus particle is enveloped. The helical nucleocapsid core contains a single-stranded, non-segmented RNA genome of negative sense of 15 to 16 kilobases in length. The genome is organized in six transcriptional units or genes. Overall, the studies of the genome of PDV revealed a genetic map principally fitting with that determined for other morbilliviruses. The nucleotide and deduced amino acid sequences have been determined for five PDV genes named in analogy with the encoded structural proteins of other morbilliviruses in the order: 3'N(1683)-P(1644)-M(1443)-F(2206)-H(1952)-L5' (The figures in brackets denote nucleotide lengths of the genes of the Danish PDV isolate). The L gene (covering approximately 8900 nucleotides) remains to be sequenced. The six genes are likely to code for at least eight distinct proteins. The nucleocapsid (N) protein was found to consist of 523 amino acids in PDV. The following gene of the transcription map encoded the P protein of 507 amino acid residues. Similar to other morbilliviruses, the P gene of PDV was shown to have additional coding capacity for two distinct proteins V (299 amino acids) and C (174 amino acids). The results presented provide evidence for editing at transcript of the PDV P gene by insertion of nontemplated G residues at a specific site. The edited version of the mRNA was found to encode the cystein-rich V protein. The three envelope-associated proteins of PDV were predicted to consist of 335 (M), 537 (F0) and 607 (H) amino acid residues. The nucleotide and deduced amino acid sequences of the N, P, M, F, and H genes of PDV were aligned with corresponding sequences of other established members of the genus Morbillivirus.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)