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To estimate the upstaging risk of symptomatic ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) to invasive disease and to identify features related to upstaging risk. This retrospective investigation includes symptomatic women with DCIS at core needle biopsy from January 2007 to December 2016 at a large academic institution. Patient characteristics, findings at imaging, core needle biopsy histopathology results, and final surgical histopathology results were retrieved from the medical records. Using standard statistical tests, patient, imaging, and pathology features were compared between DCIS cases that were upstaged to invasive disease at surgery versus cases that were not upstaged. From 2007 to 2016, fewer than 5% (63/1399) of women diagnosed with DCIS presented with symptoms. Therefore, 63 women (mean age, 51; range, 27–88 years) comprised the study cohort. 84.1% (n = 53) presented with an area of clinical concern, and 15.9% (n = 10) presented with pathologic nipple discharge. The most common finding at mammography was calcifications with or without an associated asymmetry or mass (74.1%, 40/54). The upstaging rate of symptomatic DCIS to invasive disease was 34.9% (22/63). Imaging modality used for biopsy was associated with higher upstaging risk, with cases that were biopsied under MRI guidance accounting for 22.7% of upstaged cases versus 4.9% of non-upstaged cases (p = 0.03). Women with DCIS uncommonly present with symptoms, and the upstaging rate of symptomatic DCIS is high at nearly 35%. Biopsy modality type of MRI is associated with higher upstaging risk. • Fewer than 5% of women with ductal carcinoma in situ present with symptoms • Upstaging rate of symptomatic ductal carcinoma in situ is nearly 35%. • Biopsy modality type of MRI is associated with increased upstaging risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives: To compare upgrade rates of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) on digital mammography (DM) versus digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) and identify patient, imaging, and pathological features associated with upgrade risk. Methods: A retrospective review was performed of 318 women (mean 59 years, range 37–89) with screening-detected DCIS from 2007 to 2011 (DM group) and from 2013 to 2016 (DBT group). Comparisons made between DM and DBT groups using the unpaired t test and chi-square test include detection rates of DCIS, upgrade rates to invasive cancer, and pathological features of DCIS and upgraded cases. Patient, imaging, and pathological features associated with upgrade were also determined. P values < 0.05 were considered significant. Results: There was no significant difference in detection rates of DCIS between DM and DBT groups (0.9 versus 1.0 per 1000 examinations, p = 0.45). Upgrade rates of DCIS to invasive cancer in DM and DBT groups were similar (17.3% versus 16.8%, p = 0.90), despite significant differences in pathological features of DCIS between DM and DBT groups (including nuclear grade, comedonecrosis, and progesterone receptor status [p ≤ 0.01]). Among upgraded cases, a higher proportion were high-grade invasive cancers with DBT (36.7% versus 9.5%, p = 0.03). In both groups, ultrasound-guided (versus stereotactic) biopsy was associated with higher upgrade risk (p ≤ 0.03). Conclusions: There was no significant difference in detection rates or upgrade rates of DCIS on DM versus DBT; however, upgraded cases were more likely to be high grade with DBT, suggesting possible differences in tumor biology between cancers with DM and DBT. In both DM and DBT groups, biopsy modality was associated with upgrade risk. Key Points: • Detection rates and upgrade rates of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) on digital mammography (DM) versus digital breast tomosynthesis (DBT) are similar. • A higher proportion of upgraded cases were high-grade invasive cancers with DBT than DM, suggesting possible differences in tumor biology between cancers that are detected with DM and DBT. • With both DM and DBT, ultrasound-guided biopsy (versus stereotactic biopsy) was associated with a higher risk of upgrade. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The rising incidence of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) since the widespread enactment of mammography screening has been well documented. Patterns in DCIS incidence among women of various ages and across different racial and ethnic groups have not been well described.Study Design: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results public-use data set was queried for all women aged 40 years and older diagnosed with DCIS between 1990 and 2014. Annual age-adjusted incidence rates were compared among white, black, Hispanic, and Asian-Pacific Islander women. Additionally, using mammography screening data obtained from the CDC, patterns in mammography screening over time and as they relate to DCIS incidence rates by race and ethnicity were evaluated.Results: We identified 200,400 women aged 40 years or older with DCIS. Between 1998 and 2014, a period that saw flux in national breast screening guidelines, DCIS incidence rates increased in blacks, Hispanics, and Asian-Pacific Islanders, but remained relatively unchanged in whites (increase in number of DCIS diagnoses per 100,000 individuals in the population per year among blacks +0.66/p < 0.01, Hispanics +3.0/p < 0.01, Asian-Pacific Islanders +0.53/p < 0.01, and whites +0.07/p = 0.21). After accounting for age, year of diagnosis, and mammography screening rates, DCIS incidence was found to be similar between white and black women (0.8 fewer diagnoses per 100,000 individuals compared with whites; p = 0.36) but lower for Hispanic women (9.7 fewer diagnoses per 100,000 individuals compared with whites; p < 0.01).Conclusions: The DCIS incidence rates are influenced substantially by breast cancer mammography screening patterns. However, differences exist by race and ethnicity and are not fully explained by screening mammography trends alone. Consideration should be given to including race and ethnicity in determining optimal breast screening guidelines. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: To determine if pre-operative MRI is useful for identifying additional disease that would impact surgical management in women with ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS).Methods: We conducted a retrospective review of consecutive women with calcifications at mammography yielding DCIS at core biopsy from 2007 to 2016 who subsequently underwent MRI examinations. Patient characteristics, imaging findings, and pathology outcomes were collected from the medical records. Standard statistical tests were used to compare the patients who underwent MRI examinations (MRI group) and those who did not (no MRI group).Results: 963 women (age 58 years, range 28-89 years) presented with calcifications that yielded DCIS at biopsy, of whom 236 (24.5 %) underwent MRI examinations. The MRI group was younger, less likely to have a prior breast cancer, and more likely to have dense breasts than the no MRI group (all p < 0.001). 66 women (28.0 %) had 80 MRI findings that were recommended for work-up and/or biopsy. 21 patients had 23 MRI findings that were not pursued pre-operatively, and 45 patients with 57 MRI findings underwent biopsy. The positive predictive value of biopsies performed (PPV3) was 45.6 % (26/57). 26 cancers were detected in 24 women; thus, MRI detected additional sites of cancer in 11.2 % (24/215) of patients. Of the 26 cancers, 13 (50.0 %) were DCIS and 13 (50.0 %) were invasive.Conclusions: MRI in selected women with DCIS identified additional sites of disease in 11.2 % and thus could be considered in the pre-operative evaluation of this specific patient cohort. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To develop machine learning (ML) and multivariable regression models to predict ipsilateral breast event (IBE) risk after ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) treatment. A retrospective investigation was conducted of patients diagnosed with DCIS from 2007 to 2014 who were followed for a minimum of five years after treatment. Data about each patient were extracted from the medical records. Two ML models (penalized logistic regression and random forest) and a multivariable logistic regression model were developed to evaluate recurrence-related variables. 650 women (mean age 56 years, range 27–87 years) underwent treatment for DCIS and were followed for at least five years after treatment (mean 8.0 years). 5.5% (n = 36) experienced an IBE. With multivariable analysis, the variables associated with higher IBE risk were younger age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.96, p = 0.02), dense breasts at mammography (aOR 3.02, p = 0.02), and < 5 years of endocrine therapy (aOR 4.48, p = 0.02). The multivariable regression model to predict IBE risk achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.75 (95% CI 0.67–0.84). The penalized logistic regression and random forest models achieved mean AUCs of 0.52 (95% CI 0.42–0.61) and 0.54 (95% CI 0.43–0.65), respectively. Variables associated with higher IBE risk after DCIS treatment include younger age, dense breasts, and <5 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy. The multivariable logistic regression model attained the highest AUC (0.75), suggesting that regression models have a critical role in risk prediction for patients with DCIS. • Risk factors for ipsilateral recurrence after treatment for ductal carcinoma in situ are young age and dense breast tissue. • Endocrine therapy for five or more years reduces ipsilateral recurrence risk after treatment for ductal carcinoma in situ. • Traditional regression outperformed machine learning for predicting ipsilateral breast cancer recurrence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Patients who have ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) are undergoing bilateral mastectomy at increasing rates. One of the reasons is to minimize contralateral breast cancer (CBC) risk. The purpose of this study is to determine the rate of and risk factors associated with CBC in women treated for DCIS. A retrospective study was performed of women with DCIS at surgery from 2007 to 2014 who had at least five-year follow-up. Patient attributes, imaging findings, histopathology results, and surgical and long-term outcomes were collected. Features associated with a CBC were assessed with multivariable logistic regression models. 613 women (mean 56 years, range 30–87) with DCIS underwent breast-conserving surgery (BCS) (n = 426), unilateral mastectomy (n = 101), or bilateral mastectomy (n = 86), with mean follow-up of 7.9 years. Of the 527 women who had BCS or unilateral mastectomy, 7.4% (n = 39) developed a CBC (DCIS in 12 and invasive cancer in 27). 4.1% (5/122) of women treated with adjuvant endocrine therapy developed a CBC, compared to 8.4% (34/405) who were not treated (p =.11). Features associated with CBC risk were younger age at menarche (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] of 0.76, p =.03) and low nuclear grade of DCIS (aOR of 5.43 for grade 1 versus 3, p =.01). In women treated for DCIS, the overall rate of CBC was low at 7.4%. Younger age at menarche and low nuclear grade of DCIS had significant associations with higher CBC risk. • After ductal carcinoma in situ treatment, the contralateral breast cancer rate is 7%. • Of the contralateral breast cancers, 69% were invasive cancers. • Earlier menarche and low DCIS grade are associated with contralateral breast cancer. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]