1. Modified Early Warning Score as a predictor of intensive care unit readmission within 48 hours: a retrospective observational study.
- Author
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Balshi AN, Huwait BM, Noor ASN, Alharthy AM, Madi AF, Ramadan OE, Balahmar A, Mhawish HA, Marasigan BR, Alcazar AM, Rana MA, and Aletreby WT
- Subjects
- Adult, Female, Humans, Length of Stay, Male, Middle Aged, Patient Discharge, Prognosis, ROC Curve, Retrospective Studies, Sensitivity and Specificity, Severity of Illness Index, Tracheostomy statistics & numerical data, Critical Illness, Early Warning Score, Intensive Care Units statistics & numerical data, Patient Readmission statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Objective: To evaluate the hypothesis that the Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) at the time of intensive care unit discharge is associated with readmission and to identify the MEWS that most reliably predicts intensive care unit readmission within 48 hours of discharge., Methods: This was a retrospective observational study of the MEWSs of discharged patients from the intensive care unit. We compared the demographics, severity scores, critical illness characteristics, and MEWSs of readmitted and non-readmitted patients, identified factors associated with readmission in a logistic regression model, constructed a Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve of the MEWS in predicting the probability of readmission, and presented the optimum criterion with the highest sensitivity and specificity., Results: The readmission rate was 2.6%, and the MEWS was a significant predictor of readmission, along with intensive care unit length of stay > 10 days and tracheostomy. The ROC curve of the MEWS in predicting the readmission probability had an AUC of 0.82, and a MEWS > 6 carried a sensitivity of 0.78 (95%CI 0.66 - 0.9) and specificity of 0.9 (95%CI 0.87 - 0.93)., Conclusion: The MEWS is associated with intensive care unit readmission, and a score > 6 has excellent accuracy as a prognostic predictor.
- Published
- 2020
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