1. Land-use change interacts with climate to determine elevational species redistribution
- Author
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Guo, Fengyi, Lenoir, Jonathan, Bonebrake, Timothy C., Ecologie et Dynamique des Systèmes Anthropisés - UMR CNRS 7058 (EDYSAN), Université de Picardie Jules Verne (UPJV)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), and Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Picardie Jules Verne (UPJV)
- Subjects
0106 biological sciences ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Range (biology) ,[SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes ,Science ,Biodiversity ,General Physics and Astronomy ,Climate change ,[SDV.BID]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Biodiversity ,010603 evolutionary biology ,01 natural sciences ,Article ,General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology ,Tropical climate ,Land use, land-use change and forestry ,lcsh:Science ,skin and connective tissue diseases ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,[SDV.EE]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, environment ,Multidisciplinary ,Ecology ,General Chemistry ,Redistribution (cultural anthropology) ,15. Life on land ,Habitat destruction ,Habitat ,13. Climate action ,Environmental science ,lcsh:Q ,sense organs ,[SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology - Abstract
Climate change is driving global species redistribution with profound social and economic impacts. However, species movement is largely constrained by habitat availability and connectivity, of which the interaction effects with climate change remain largely unknown. Here we examine published data on 2798 elevational range shifts from 43 study sites to assess the confounding effect of land-use change on climate-driven species redistribution. We show that baseline forest cover and recent forest cover change are critical predictors in determining the magnitude of elevational range shifts. Forest loss positively interacts with baseline temperature conditions, such that forest loss in warmer regions tends to accelerate species’ upslope movement. Consequently, not only climate but also habitat loss stressors and, importantly, their synergistic effects matter in forecasting species elevational redistribution, especially in the tropics where both stressors will increase the risk of net lowland biotic attrition., Habitat change and warming each contribute to species' elevational range shifts, but their synergistic effects have not been explored. Here, Guo et al. reanalyze published data and show that the interaction between warming and forest change predicts range shifts better than either factor on its own.
- Published
- 2018