23 results on '"BRESSER-PEREIRA, LUIZ CARLOS"'
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2. From the National-Bourgeoisie to the Dependency Interpretation of Latin America
- Author
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Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos
- Published
- 2011
3. The case for reindustrialisation in developing countries: towards the connection between the macroeconomic regime and the industrial policy in Brazil.
- Author
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Nassif, André, Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos, and Feijo, Carmem
- Subjects
INDUSTRIAL policy ,MACROECONOMICS ,ECONOMIC development ,FOREIGN exchange rates ,LABOR productivity - Abstract
The majority of economic literature tends to discuss economic development issues by analysing the industrial policy and other long-term development policies separate from short-term macroeconomic policy. However, development strategies require a close coordination of the macroeconomic regime with the industrial policy. In addition to Brazil, our analytical discussion and normative implications can be addressed to other developing countries also facing premature deindustrialisation. We propose an analytical discussion of the phenomena of industrialisation, deindustrialisation and reindustrialisation, including a discussion on the connection between the macroeconomic regime and industrial policy, both oriented to reindustrialisation and catching up. The main point is that both policy regimes must be closely coordinated with each other. Concerning the macroeconomic regime, we argue that consistent monetary, fiscal, wage and exchange rate policies are those which are able to not only keep price stabilisation, but also provide average real interest rates below the average real return rates on capital, a competitive real exchange rate and real wage rates increasing in accordance with labour productivity growth. As for industrial policy, theoretical and empirical evidence suggest strategies aimed at the diversification of production, processes and products, especially within the manufacturing sector and within tradable segments of the service sector. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. Growth and distribution: a revised classical model.
- Author
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BRESSER-PEREIRA, LUIZ CARLOS
- Subjects
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INCOME inequality , *CAPITALISM , *ECONOMIC development , *SUSTAINABLE development , *CORPORATE profits - Abstract
This paper discusses distribution and the historical phases of capitalism. It assumes that technical progress and growth are taking place, and, given that, its question is on the functional distribution of income between labor and capital, having as reference classical theory of distribution and Marx's falling tendency of the rate of profit. Based on the historical experience, it, first, inverts the model, making the rate of profit as the constant variable in the long run and the wage rate, as the residuum; second, it distinguishes three types of technical progress (capital-saving, neutral and capital-using) and applies it to thehistory of capitalism, having the UK and France as reference. Given these three types of technical progress, it distinguishes five phases of capitalist growth, where only the second is consistent with Marx prediction. In the final phase, corresponding to financier-rentier capitalism and neoliberalism, the profit rate recovered from the fall of the 1970s, while wages have been growing below the growth of productivity [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
5. Democracy and capitalist revolution
- Author
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Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos and Escolas::EESP
- Subjects
Democracia ,Economic development ,Capitalist revolution ,Capitalismo ,Democratic consolidation ,Democratic transition ,Economia ,Democracy - Abstract
Democracy became the preferred and consolidated form of government only in the twentieth century. It is not sufficient to explain this change solely by reference to rational motives, nor by detecting processes and leadership. A historical approach is required. The new historical fact that led to the change of preference from aristocratic rule to democracy is the capitalist revolution, which changed the manner of appropriating the economic surplus from violence to the market. This is the first necessary condition for democracy. The disappearance of the fear of expropriation, the rise of middle classes and the pressures of the poor or of the workers are the second, third and fourth new historical facts that opened the way for the transition from the liberal to the liberal-democratic regime. After these four conditions were fulfilled, the elites ceased to fear that they would be expropriated if universal suffrage was granted. Eventually, after the transition, the democratic regime became the rational choice for all classes. The theory presented here does not predict transitions, since countries often turn democratic without fully realized historical conditions, but it predicts democratic consolidation, since no country that has completed its capitalist revolution falls back into authoritarianism.
- Published
- 2011
6. Democracy and growth in pre-industrial countries.
- Author
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BRESSER-PEREIRA, LUIZ CARLOS
- Subjects
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INDUSTRIALIZATION , *DEMOCRACY , *ECONOMIC development , *CAPITALISM , *INCOME inequality - Abstract
This paper distinguishes three types of countries (rich, middle-income, and preindustrial) and focus on the latter, which, in contrast to the other two, didn't complete their industrial and capitalist revolutions. Can pre-industrial countries be governed well and under democracy? Today democracy is a universal value, and, so, these countries are under pressure from the West and from its own society to be democratic, even though they do not dispose of mature enough societies in which the economic surplus is appropriated through the market. In fact, no country completed its industrial and capitalist revolution within the framework of even a minimal democracy. Additionally, pre-industrial countries are extremely difficult to govern because they usually don't have a strong nation and capable states. This double pressure represents a major obstacle to their development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
7. Democracy and self-sustained growth
- Author
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Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos and Escolas::EAESP
- Subjects
Estruturalismo ,Distribuição de renda ,Economic development ,Administração de empresas ,Brasil ,Desenvolvimento econômico ,Struturalism - Abstract
This work is divided in two major parts: firstly, there is a theorical study that emphasizes structuralism in Latin America, its crisis in the 80 s and a list of overlapping consensuses that deals with self-sustained economic development. The author draws, then, a development alternative. Secondly, the focus of this study is centered in Brazil. The main obstacle the Brazilian economy faces to recover development is the country s inconsistent income distribution. This scenario has been worsened during the 70 s. Since then all efforts to recover development have failed. How can we extinguish distributive disparity in an effective and consistent way? Duas partes compõem este estudo sobre desenvolvimento auto-sustentado: a primeira parte enfoca um estudo teórico abrangente, que trata do estruturalismo latino-americano, sua crise na década de 80, e lista os consensos sobrepostos que existem atualmente a respeito do desenvolvimento econômico. O autor termina por delinear uma alternativa de desenvolvimento A segunda parte do trabalho analisa o Brasil. O principal obstáculo para a retomada do desenvolvimento brasileiro é a inconsistência distributiva no país, que se acentuou particularmente durante os anos 70. Desde então, todas as tentativas de alcançar o desenvolvimento foram frustradas. Como extinguir a disparidade distributiva de maneira consistente e eficaz?
- Published
- 2002
8. A origem política dos problemas econômicos
- Author
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BRESSER-PEREIRA, LUIZ CARLOS and NAKANO, YOSHIAKI
- Subjects
Economia política ,Sociology and Political Science ,Political economy ,Political Science and International Relations ,economic methodology ,desenvolvimento econômico ,history of economic thought ,história do pensamento econômico ,economic development ,General Economics, Econometrics and Finance ,metodologia da economia - Abstract
RESUMO Este artigo apresenta uma ideia tão veiculada hoje em dia, que os problemas econômicos têm uma origem política ou que os problemas econômicos não foram resolvidos por falta de apoio político. Mostramos como a aceitação dessas ideias está relacionada ao surgimento da Escola de Escolha Pública, ou Escola de Escolha Nacional - uma análise de caráter neoliberal - e a chamada macroeconomia política. Discutimos como essas abordagens levam à proposição de adoção de políticas sociais compensatórias que possam garantir a legitimidade do governo. ABSTRACT This paper presents so conveyed idea nowadays that the economic problems have a political origin, or that the economic problems have not been solved because of lack of political support. We show how the acceptation of these ideas is related to the appearance of the School of Public Choice, or School of National Choice - an analysis of a neoliberal character - and the called political macroeconomics. We discuss how these approaches lead to the proposition of adopting compensatory social policies which may guarantee the government legitimacy.
- Published
- 1995
9. The theory of economic development and the World Bank’s identity crisis
- Author
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BRESSER-PEREIRA, LUIZ CARLOS
- Subjects
new-developmentalism ,Sociology and Political Science ,Political Science and International Relations ,World Bank ,novo-desenvolvimentismo ,desenvolvimento econômico ,economic development ,General Economics, Econometrics and Finance ,Banco Mundial - Abstract
RESUMO Este artigo discute a identidade do Banco Mundial enquanto pesquisa a economia do desenvolvimento. Três crises são identificadas: (1) o Banco foi criado para financiar projetos de infraestrutura do Estado de acordo com a relevância da economia do desenvolvimento atribuída às externalidades, mas desde que a onda neoliberal dominou Washington, sua missão perdeu a clareza; (2) o Banco, que deveria financiar o desenvolvimento, parou de ter um fluxo de caixa positivo com muitos países em desenvolvimento; e (3) presume-se que o Banco apoie o crescimento dos países em desenvolvimento, mas na crise da dívida está claramente alinhado com seus principais acionistas. No entanto, o Banco mantém um papel importante no mundo, à medida que se transforma cada vez mais em uma instituição de serviço que conta com economistas altamente competentes, pois apoia as reformas orientadas para o mercado muito necessárias e promove investimentos em capital humano. ABSTRACT This paper discusses World Bank’s identity while surveys development economics. Three crises are identified: (1) the Bank was created to finance state infrastructure projects according to the development economics relevance given to externalities, but since the neoliberal wave dominated Washington, its mission lost clarity; (2) the Bank, that is supposed to finance development, stoped to have a positive cash flow with many developing countries; and (3) the Bank is assumed to support growth of the developing countries, but in the debt crisis it clearly aligned with its major shareholders. Yet, the Bank keeps a major role in the world, as it is increasingly turning into a service institution that counts with highly competent economists, as it supports much needed market-oriented reforms, and as it promotes investments in human capital.
- Published
- 1995
10. STATE-SOCIETY CYCLES AND POLITICAL PACTS IN A NATIONAL-DEPENDENT SOCIETY.
- Author
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Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos
- Subjects
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ECONOMIC development , *SOCIAL conditions in Brazil , *DEMOCRACY , *SOCIAL justice , *ELITE (Social sciences) , *HISTORY , *SOCIAL history ,BRAZILIAN politics & government ,ECONOMIC conditions in Brazil ,BRAZILIAN history - Abstract
The history of independent Brazil may be divided into three major state-society cycles, and, after 1930, five political pacts or class coalitions can be identified. These pacts were nationalist; only in the 1990s did the Brazilian elites surrender to neoliberal hegemony. Yet since early in the twenty-first century they have been rediscovering the idea of the nation. The main claim of this essay is that Brazilian elites and Brazilian society are "national-dependent," that is, they are ambivalent and contradictory, requiring an oxymoron to define them. They are dependent because they often consider themselves "Europeans" and the mass of the people as inferior. But Brazil is big enough, and there are many common interests around its domestic market, to make the Brazilian nation less ambivalent. Today the country is seeking a synthesis between the last two political cycles--between social justice and economic development in the framework of democracy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
11. DESENVOLVIMENTO, PROGRESSO E CRESCIMENTO ECONÔMICO.
- Author
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Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos
- Abstract
Copyright of Lua Nova is the property of CEDEC and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
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12. EMPRESÁRIOS, O GOVERNO DO PT E O DESENVOLVIMENTISMO.
- Author
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Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos
- Subjects
ECONOMIC development ,BRAZILIAN politics & government, 2003- ,ECONOMIC development policy ,BUSINESSPEOPLE -- Social aspects ,CIVIL society ,LIBERALISM ,CAPITALISM ,ECONOMICS - Abstract
Copyright of Revista de Sociologia e Política is the property of Revista de Sociologia e Politica and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
13. Ignacy Sachs e a nave espacial Terra.
- Author
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BRESSER-PEREIRA, LUIZ CARLOS
- Subjects
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ECONOMISTS , *ENVIRONMENTAL economics , *ECONOMIC development , *SOCIOECONOMICS - Abstract
This paper is a short survey of the work of Ignacy Sachs - one of the pioneers of structuralist development economics and an outstanding economist dedicated to environmental economics. Sachs is PoHsh and a disciple of Michael Kalecki, but he is aiso a Brazilian and a French, given his strong ties with these rwo countries. He knows the importance of markets in the coordination of the economy, but, as a de-velopmental economist, he atttibutes a key role to economic planning, Only through the dehberate action of the state it will be possible to achieve economic growth, reduction of inequalities, and protection of the environmsnts - only through de-liberate action way men and women will be able to conduct the Spaceship Earth to economic, social and environmental development and assure a decent work to ali. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
14. BRASIL, SOCIEDADE NACIONAL-DEPENDENTE.
- Author
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BRESSER-PEREIRA, LUIZ CARLOS
- Subjects
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NATIONALISM , *SOCIETIES , *ECONOMIC development , *NEOLIBERALISM , *POLITICAL participation ,BRAZILIAN history, 1930-1945 - Abstract
The history of independent Brazil may be divided in three major political cycles, and, since 1930, we can distinguish five political pacts or class coalitions. Since 1930 these pacts have been nationalist. Only in the 1990s the Brazilian elites surrendered to the neoliberal hegemony. Yet, since the mid 2000s, they are recovering their idea of nation. In fact, the main claim of the essay is that Brazilian elites and the Brazilian society are "national-dependent", i.e., they are ambiguous and contradictory, requiring an oxymoron to define them. Today, it searches for a synthesis between the two last political cycles -- between social justice and economic development in the framework of democracy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
15. Structuralist Macroeconomics and the New Developmentalism.
- Author
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Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos
- Subjects
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DEVELOPMENT economics , *DEVELOPMENTALISM (Economics) , *ECONOMIC structure , *FOREIGN exchange rates , *ECONOMIC development , *MATHEMATICAL models ,MATHEMATICAL models of macroeconomics - Abstract
This paper first presents some basic ideas and models of a structuralist development macroeconomics that complements and actualizes the ideas of the structuralist development economics that was dominant between the 1940s and the 1960s. A system of three models focusing on the exchange rate (the tendency to the cyclical overvaluation of the exchange rate, a critique of growth with foreign savings, and new a model of the Dutch disease) shows that it is not just volatile but chronically overvalued, and for that reason it is not just a macroeconomic problem; as a long term disequilibrium, it is in the core of development economics. Second, it summarizes "new developmentalism" - a sum of growth policies based on these models and on the experience of fast-growing Asian countries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2012
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16. An account of new developmentalism and its structuralist macroeconomics.
- Author
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BRESSER-PEREIRA, LUIZ CARLOS
- Subjects
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DEVELOPMENTALISM (Economics) , *ECONOMIC development , *MACROECONOMICS , *FOREIGN exchange rates , *KEYNESIAN economics - Abstract
This is a personal account of the definition of "new developmentalism" - a national development strategy alternative to the Washington consensus -, and of a "structuralist development macroeconomics": the sum of models that justifies theoretically that strategy. It is personal account of a collective work involving Keynesian, institutionalist and structuralist economists in Brazil that are forming a new school of thought in Brazil: a Keynesian-structuralist school. It is Keynesian because it emphasizes the demand side or the investment opportunities' side of economic growth. It is institutionalist because institutions obviously matter in achieving growth and stability. It is structuralist because it defines economic development as a structural change from low to high value added per capita industries and because it is based on two structural tendencies that limit investment opportunities: the tendency of wages to grow below productivity and the tendency to the cyclical overvaluation of the exchange rate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2011
- Full Text
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17. Democratic Transition, Consolidation and Capitalist Revolution.
- Author
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Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos
- Subjects
DEMOCRATIZATION ,CAPITALISM ,INVESTORS ,SURPLUS (Economics) ,EMINENT domain (International law) ,MIDDLE class ,SUFFRAGE ,AUTHORITARIANISM - Abstract
Copyright of Dados - Revista de Ciências Sociais is the property of DADOS and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2011
18. Os dois métodos e o núcleo duro da teoria econômica.
- Author
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Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos
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METHODOLOGY , *ECONOMICS education , *KEYNESIAN economics , *MACROECONOMICS , *ECONOMIC systems , *ECONOMIC development , *SOCIAL sciences education , *THEORY-practice relationship - Abstract
The two methods and the hard core of economics. While methodological sciences have no object and are supposed to adopt a hypothetical-deductive method, substantive sciences including economics should use an empirical or historical-deductive method. The great classical economists and Keynes did that and were able to develop open models explaining how equally open economic systems work. Thus, the hard core of relevant economics is formed by the classical microeconomics and the classical theory of capitalist economic growth, and by Keynesian macroeconomics. In contrast, neoclassical economist aiming to build a mathematical science wrongly adopted the hypothetical-deductive method, and came to macroeconomic and growth models that do not have practical use in policymaking. The exception is Marshall's microeconomics that does not provide a model of real economic systems, but is useful to the analysis of markets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
19. Foreign savings, insufficiency of demand, and low growth.
- Author
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Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos and Gala, Paulo
- Subjects
FOREIGN exchange rates ,SUPPLY-side economics ,INVESTMENTS ,SAVINGS ,ECONOMIC demand ,MONETARY policy ,ECONOMIC indicators ,ECONOMIC development ,INTEREST rates ,PROPENSITY to save - Abstract
There is a problem of insufficiency of demand for countries that accept to grow with foreign savings. Although medium-income countries are capital-poor countries, current account deficits (foreign savings) will increase consumption rather than the rate of capital accumulation and aggregate demand. In consequence, the rate of substitution of foreign for domestic savings will be relatively high, and the country will become indebted to consume, not to invest and grow. Only when there are large investment opportunities, stimulated by a sizable difference between the expected profit rate and the long-term interest rate, will the marginal propensity to consume be low enough for the additional income originated from foreign capital flows to be used for investment rather than consumption. With this paper, the authors intend to contribute to the development macroeconomics approach to economic growth which emphasizes the need for a competitive exchange rate to promote growth, instead of an overappreciated one—an exchange rate that assures the sustained character growth of aggregate demand. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
- Full Text
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20. BUROCRACIA PÚBLICA E CLASSES DIRIGENTES NO BRASIL.
- Author
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Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos
- Subjects
BRAZILIAN politics & government ,BRAZILIAN civilization ,ECONOMIC conditions in Brazil, 1918- ,20TH century Brazilian history ,TWENTIETH century ,AMERICAN influences on civilization ,ECONOMIC policy - Abstract
Copyright of Revista de Sociologia e Política is the property of Revista de Sociologia e Politica and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
21. Brazil's Quasi-Stagnation and the Growth cum Foreign Savings Strategy.
- Author
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Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos
- Subjects
ECONOMIC conditions in Brazil ,EXTERNAL debts ,ECONOMIC stabilization ,MONEY supply ,ECONOMIC development - Abstract
The article discusses economic condition in Brazil. Since 1980, the Brazilian economy has faced quasi-stagnation. The causes are the foreign debt crises in the 1970s changed into a fiscal crisis of the state and into high and inertial inflation in the 1980s. Despite economic policy that privileged stabilization to growth, in 1990s, the country faced two balance-of-payment crises and, again, accumulated an extremely high foreign debt and a high public debt. Brazil's bad economic outcomes since 1995 may be attributed to three kinds of interrelated factors. Firstly, an agenda mistake which had inflation instead of the balance of payments equilibrium as the major problem that the government should address from 1995 onwards. Secondly, the Second Washington Consensus, according to which economic development should be financed by foreign savings in the context of open financial accounts and finally, the lack of a national project on the part of the Brazilian elites. The assertion of Brazil as an autonomous nation, which had progressed between 1930 and 1980, underwent a serious fallback since the early 1990s, as the country again started to accept, without the required critique, the recommendation coming from the North.
- Published
- 2002
- Full Text
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22. Chutando a escada macroeconômica: política industrial, taxa de câmbio e outras contribuições ao novo desenvolvimentismo
- Author
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Zagato, Lígia Maria de Jesus Cestari, Escolas::EAESP, Marconi, Nelson, Roncaglia, André, Gala, Paulo, and Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos
- Subjects
Desenvolvimento econômico - Brasil ,Taxa de câmbio real ,Leapfrogging ,Economic development ,Política econômica ,Catching-up ,Desenvolvimento econômico ,Taxas de câmbio ,Administração pública ,Real exchange rate ,Política industrial - Abstract
Com base em uma abordagem estruturalista, o presente trabalho pretende analisar em que medida mudanças no modelo de Estado adotado pelo Brasil, que até a década de 1980 apresentava viés desenvolvimentista e desde então passou a ser predominantemente neoliberal, inviabilizou a conclusão de seu alcance produtivo e salto tecnológico. Partimos de duas premissas: em primeiro lugar, que o Brasil apresentou, no período em questão, uma tendência de sobreapreciação cíclica e crônica da taxa de câmbio real de longo prazo, ocasionada pela existência de doença holandesa não controlada e pela condução de políticas econômicas erráticas; em segundo, que a má condução de políticas macroeconômicas pode reduzir a eficácia da condução de política industrial setorizada. Nesse contexto, analisamos a ascensão do neoliberalismo como ideologia e a teoria neoclássica como mainstream econômico. Em seguida, verificamos a história do pensamento desenvolvimentista ao longo dos séculos XX e XXI. Ressaltarmos, então, aspectos dos processos de alcance da Grã-Bretanha, Estados Unidos, Japão e Coreia do Sul e, finalmente, analisamos o caso brasileiro recente. Through a structural approach, this work aims to analyze to what degree changes in the State economic model adopted by Brazil resulted in the discontinuation of its productive catching up, making its technological leapfrogging impossible. From the 1980s onward, a developmentalist biased model was progressively substituted by a predominantly neoliberal model. We start from two premises: firstly, that in the period in question Brazil has presented a cyclical and chronical trend of overvaluation in its real long-term exchange rate, which has been caused mainly by an uncontrolled Dutch disease and by the adoption of erratic economic policies. Secondly, that due to its poorly implemented macroeconomic policies, the conduction of a sectorized industrial policy has lost its efficacy over time. Having this as a background, the rise of neoliberalism and the neoclassical theory as the economic mainstream is presented. After that, the history of the developmentalist ideas is revisited. Then, we highlight some aspects of the development process of Great Britain, the United States, Japan, and South Korea. Finally, we delve into the Brazilian case.
- Published
- 2020
23. Produtividade e complexidade econômica: uma análise do caso brasileiro
- Author
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Aragão, Roberto Barbosa de Andrade, Escolas::EAESP, Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos, Araújo, Eliane Cristina de, and Marconi, Nelson
- Subjects
Decomposition ,Macroeconomia ,Economic development ,Economic complexity ,Administração pública ,Produtividade intersetorial ,Complexidade econômica ,Comércio internacional ,Produtividade ,Structural productivity ,Structuralist macroeconomics ,Macroeconomia estruturalista ,Desenvolvimento econômico ,Decomposição da produtividade ,Productivity - Abstract
In the context of economic development, this study has as its main objective to explorer the relationship between international trade and productivity. After making a wide review on theories of international trade and theories of economic development, we seek to determine the causal relationship between these two variables. The question that follows refers to the direction of causality, i.e., productivity, generates international trade or international trade generates productivity? This work suggests that both directions are possible and the difference is just in the productivity component being analyzed. Thus, productivity at the product level (structural) generates trade, as argued Smith (1776) and Ricardo (1817), but trade generates productivity (within) as argued Hausmann, Hwang and Rodrik (2007) and McMillan and Rodrik (2011). Further, the study makes a comprehensive analysis of the methods of decomposition of productivity, concluding that there is more than one way of doing this decomposition and the interpretation of each of these approaches differ and may bias the findings. In addition, the decomposition of productivity is made in its components in two distinct databases: 10-Sector Database of GGDC and national accounts of IBGE, concluding that, depending on the base, the results can vary significantly. Similarly, within a structuralist approach, this research differentiate sectors that have the greatest growth potential from traditional sectors with lower growth potential. Defining the complexity of exports as the concept developed by Hausmann at al (2014), this investigation estimates using Brazilian data, through a dynamic panel model, the coefficients of a suggested equation to explain variations in the static structural productivity effect. The estimated model suggests that the complexity of exports significantly and positively affects the structural component of productivity. Thus, it can be said that exports of more sophisticated products boosts productivity through its structural component. No contexto do desenvolvimento econômico, este trabalho tem como principal objetivo explorar a relação entre comércio internacional e produtividade. Após fazer uma ampla discussão sobre as teorias do comércio internacional e as teorias do desenvolvimento econômico, busca-se definir a relação de causalidade entre essas duas variáveis. A pergunta que se segue refere-se ao sentido da causalidade, ou seja, produtividade gera comércio ou comércio gera produtividade? Esse trabalho sugere que os dois sentidos são possíveis e a diferença encontra-se justamente no componente da produtividade que está sendo analisado. Assim, produtividade, no nível do produto (intrasetorial) gera comércio, tal como argumentam Smith (1776) e Ricardo (1817), mas comércio gera produtividade (intersetorial) tal como argumentam Hausmann, Hwang e Rodrik (2007) e McMillan e Rodrik (2011). Na sequência, o estudo faz uma ampla análise dos métodos de decomposição da produtividade, concluindo que existe mais de uma forma de se fazer essa decomposição e que a interpretação de cada uma dessas abordagens difere podendo enviesar as conclusões. Adicionalmente, é feita a decomposição da produtividade nos seus componentes utilizando duas bases de dados distintas: 10-Sector Database do GGDC e contas nacionais do IBGE, concluindo que, a depender da base, os resultados encontrados podem variar significativamente. Da mesma forma, dentro de uma abordagem estruturalista, diferenciam-se setores que possuem maior potencial de crescimento de setores tradicionais com menor potencial de crescimento. Definindo a complexidade das exportações a partir do conceito desenvolvido por Hausmann at al (2014), estimam-se para o caso brasileiro recente, através de um modelo de painel dinâmico, os coeficientes de uma equação para explicar variações no efeito intersetorial estático da produtividade. O modelo estimado sugere que a complexidade das exportações impacta significativa e positivamente o componente estrutural da produtividade. Assim, pode-se dizer que uma pauta de exportações com produtos mais sofisticados favorece o crescimento da produtividade via seu componente intersetorial.
- Published
- 2016
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