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The article offers a forecast for the U.S. security market as of January 15, 1930. Attention is paid to the credit structure, business conditions, and the current business recession. Money rates, the financial state of corporations, as well as the impact of inflation on stocks and commodity prices are also addressed.

Argues that economic forecasters are not very good at predicting economic recessions. How the most important question people ask economists is, `When will there be a recession?'; Examination of the forecasting record of American business economists during the 1990 recession; How the recession had already begun before economists recognized it; Reasons why economists can't predict recessions.

Reports on Princeton economist Paul Krugman's argument that the United States recession will be longer and more severe than most forecasters have suggested. Benefits of the recession for housing and housing finance; Speech delivered at the Urban Land Institute's 2001 fall meeting, held in Boston, Massachusetts; Prediction that mortgage rates will decline.

Provides an economic outlook for the United States in 2001. Possibility of recession; Decline in corporate profits during the last quarter of 2000; Increase in the national average unemployment rate; Result of a survey by the National Association of Purchasing Management on business activity; Growth of total business spending for plant and capital equipment.

Discusses projections for the United States economy in 1999. Government and industry economists' consensus projection of a slowdown in the economy, but not recession; Reasons why recession is unlikely; Inflation; Consumer spending; Investment; Exports; Industrial production; Housing; Business indicators; Interest rates.

Reports on Herzog Heine Geduld economist David B. Bostian Jr.'s anticipation of a possible recession by the end of 1997. Contradiction of common assumptions about continued economic growth; Alleged overstatement of corporate profits; Possible correction of the stock market.

Predicts the recovery of the U.S. economy in the second half of 2002. Forecast by In-Stat/MDR on the semiconductor industry; Business implications of the economic recession; Cause of the economic recession.

Discloses that several bank economists predicted a recession in the United States during the last months of 2001 but they also think the economy will begin recovering as early as the f first quarter of 2002. Industries identified by members of the American Bankers Association's Economist Advisory Committee as sectors most affected by the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks in the country; Drop in retail sales.

Looks at the prediction of a group of top bank economists on the unlikelihood of a recession in the United States in 2001. Anticipation of a decrease in credit quality; Group's call to the U.S. Federal Reserve Board to lower interest rates.