1. Spending cuts or tax increases? The composition of fiscal adjustments as a signal
- Author
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Konishi, Hideki
- Subjects
Lobbying -- Analysis ,Lobbying -- Statistics ,Tax policy -- Analysis ,Tax policy -- Statistics ,Business ,Business, international ,Economics - Abstract
To link to full-text access for this article, visit this link: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2005.06.002 Byline: Hideki Konishi Abstract: This paper shows that the composition of fiscal adjustments, spending cuts versus tax increases, serves as a signal of the government's degree of collusion with special interests. The politico-economic model of fiscal policies, combining retrospective voting with common-agency-type lobbying, presents undominated separating equilibria and intuitive pooling ones, in both of which fiscal adjustments with sufficiently large spending cuts lead to incumbent reappointment whereas those with only tax increases lead to incumbent defeat. These findings are consistent with the recent empirical evidence of voters behaving as fiscal conservatives. The efficiency-enhancing aspects of the signaling mechanism and the effects of imposing a deficit limit are also analyzed. Author Affiliation: Department of Social Engineering, Tokyo Institute of Technology, W9-81, 2-12-1,O-okayama, Meguro-ku Tokyo 152-8552, Japan Article History: Received 22 January 2003; Accepted 21 June 2005
- Published
- 2006