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Heart rate variability (HRV) is a cardiac autonomic marker with predictive value in cardiac patients. Ultra-short HRV (usHRV) can be measured at scale using standard and wearable ECGs, but its association with cardiovascular events in the general population is undetermined. We aimed to validate usHRV measured using ≤ 15-s ECGs (using RMSSD, SDSD and PHF indices) and investigate its association with atrial fibrillation, major adverse cardiac events, stroke and mortality in individuals without cardiovascular disease. In the National Survey for Health and Development (n = 1337 participants), agreement between 15-s and 6-min HRV, assessed with correlation analysis and Bland-Altman plots, was very good for RMSSD and SDSD and good for PHF. In the UK Biobank (n = 51,628 participants, 64% male, median age 58), after a median follow-up of 11.5 (11.4-11.7) years, incidence of outcomes ranged between 1.7% and 4.3%. Non-linear Cox regression analysis showed that reduced usHRV from 15-, 10- and 5-s ECGs was associated with all outcomes. Individuals with low usHRV (< 20th percentile) had hazard ratios for outcomes between 1.16 and 1.29, p < 0.05, with respect to the reference group. In conclusion, usHRV from ≤ 15-s ECGs correlates with standard short-term HRV and predicts increased risk of cardiovascular events in a large population-representative cohort., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

The QT interval is an electrocardiographic measure representing the sum of ventricular depolarization and repolarization, estimated by QRS duration and JT interval, respectively. QT interval abnormalities are associated with potentially fatal ventricular arrhythmia. Using genome-wide multi-ancestry analyses (>250,000 individuals) we identify 177, 156 and 121 independent loci for QT, JT and QRS, respectively, including a male-specific X-chromosome locus. Using gene-based rare-variant methods, we identify associations with Mendelian disease genes. Enrichments are observed in established pathways for QT and JT, and previously unreported genes indicated in insulin-receptor signalling and cardiac energy metabolism. In contrast for QRS, connective tissue components and processes for cell growth and extracellular matrix interactions are significantly enriched. We demonstrate polygenic risk score associations with atrial fibrillation, conduction disease and sudden cardiac death. Prioritization of druggable genes highlight potential therapeutic targets for arrhythmia. Together, these results substantially advance our understanding of the genetic architecture of ventricular depolarization and repolarization., (© 2022. The Author(s).)

Background: Inhomogeneity of ventricular contraction is associated with sudden cardiac death, but the underlying mechanisms are unclear. Alterations in cardiac contraction impact electrophysiological parameters through mechanoelectric feedback. This has been shown to promote arrhythmias in experimental studies, but its effect in the in vivo human heart is unclear., Objective: The purpose of this study was to quantify the impact of regional myocardial deformation provoked by a sudden increase in ventricular loading (aortic occlusion) on human cardiac electrophysiology., Methods: In 10 patients undergoing open heart cardiac surgery, left ventricular (LV) afterload was modified by transient aortic occlusion. Simultaneous assessment of whole-heart electrophysiology and LV deformation was performed using an epicardial sock (240 electrodes) and speckle-tracking transesophageal echocardiography. Parameters were matched to 6 American Heart Association LV model segments. The association between changes in regional myocardial segment length and activation-recovery interval (ARI; a conventional surrogate for action potential duration) was studied using mixed-effect models., Results: Increased ventricular loading reduced longitudinal shortening (P = .01) and shortened ARI (P = .02), but changes were heterogeneous between cardiac segments. Increased regional longitudinal shortening was associated with ARI shortening (effect size 0.20 [0.01-0.38] ms/%; P = .04) and increased local ARI dispersion (effect size -0.13 [-0.23 to -0.03] ms/%; P = .04). At the whole organ level, increased mechanical dispersion translated into increased dispersion of repolarization (correlation coefficient r = 0.81; P = .01)., Conclusion: Mechanoelectric feedback can establish a potentially proarrhythmic substrate in the human heart and should be considered to advance our understanding and prevention of cardiac arrhythmias., (Copyright © 2021 Heart Rhythm Society. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: ECG markers of ventricular depolarization and repolarization are associated with an increased risk of arrhythmia and sudden cardiac death. Our prior work indicated lower serum calcium concentrations are associated with longer QT and JT intervals in the general population. Here, we investigate whether serum calcium is a causal risk factor for changes in ECG measures using Mendelian randomization (MR)., Methods: Independent lead variants from a newly performed genome-wide association study for serum calcium in >300 000 European-ancestry participants from UK Biobank were used as instrumental variables. Two-sample MR analyses were performed to approximate the causal effect of serum calcium on QT, JT, and QRS intervals using an inverse-weighted method in 76 226 participants not contributing to the serum calcium genome-wide association study. Sensitivity analyses including MR-Egger, weighted-median estimator, and MR pleiotropy residual sum and outlier were performed to test for the presence of horizontal pleiotropy., Results: Two hundred five independent lead calcium-associated variants were used as instrumental variables for MR. A decrease of 0.1 mmol/L serum calcium was associated with longer QT (3.01 ms [95% CI, 2.03 to 3.99]) and JT (2.89 ms [1.91 to 3.87]) intervals. A weak association was observed for QRS duration (secondary analyses only). Results were concordant in all sensitivity analyses., Conclusions: These analyses support a causal effect of serum calcium levels on ventricular repolarization, in a middle-aged population of European-ancestry where serum calcium concentrations are likely stable and chronic. Modulation of calcium concentration may, therefore, directly influence cardiovascular disease risk.

Sudden cardiac death is responsible for half of all deaths from cardiovascular disease. The analysis of the electrophysiological substrate for arrhythmias is crucial for optimal risk stratification. A prolonged T-peak-to-Tend (Tpe) interval on the electrocardiogram is an independent predictor of increased arrhythmic risk, and Tpe changes with heart rate are even stronger predictors. However, our understanding of the electrophysiological mechanisms supporting these risk factors is limited. We conducted genome-wide association studies (GWASs) for resting Tpe and Tpe response to exercise and recovery in ∼30,000 individuals, followed by replication in independent samples (∼42,000 for resting Tpe and ∼22,000 for Tpe response to exercise and recovery), all from UK Biobank. Fifteen and one single-nucleotide variants for resting Tpe and Tpe response to exercise, respectively, were formally replicated. In a full dataset GWAS, 13 further loci for resting Tpe, 1 for Tpe response to exercise and 1 for Tpe response to exercise were genome-wide significant (p ≤ 5 × 10 -8 ). Sex-specific analyses indicated seven additional loci. In total, we identify 32 loci for resting Tpe, 3 for Tpe response to exercise and 3 for Tpe response to recovery modulating ventricular repolarization, as well as cardiac conduction and contraction. Our findings shed light on the genetic basis of resting Tpe and Tpe response to exercise and recovery, unveiling plausible candidate genes and biological mechanisms underlying ventricular excitability., (Copyright © 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

The electrocardiographic PR interval reflects atrioventricular conduction, and is associated with conduction abnormalities, pacemaker implantation, atrial fibrillation (AF), and cardiovascular mortality. Here we report a multi-ancestry (N = 293,051) genome-wide association meta-analysis for the PR interval, discovering 202 loci of which 141 have not previously been reported. Variants at identified loci increase the percentage of heritability explained, from 33.5% to 62.6%. We observe enrichment for cardiac muscle developmental/contractile and cytoskeletal genes, highlighting key regulation processes for atrioventricular conduction. Additionally, 8 loci not previously reported harbor genes underlying inherited arrhythmic syndromes and/or cardiomyopathies suggesting a role for these genes in cardiovascular pathology in the general population. We show that polygenic predisposition to PR interval duration is an endophenotype for cardiovascular disease, including distal conduction disease, AF, and atrioventricular pre-excitation. These findings advance our understanding of the polygenic basis of cardiac conduction, and the genetic relationship between PR interval duration and cardiovascular disease.

Background: Early prediction of cardiovascular risk in the general population remains an important issue. The T-wave morphology restitution (TMR), an ECG marker quantifying ventricular repolarization dynamics, is strongly associated with cardiovascular mortality in patients with heart failure. Our aim was to evaluate the cardiovascular prognostic value of TMR in a UK middle-aged population and identify any genetic contribution., Methods: We analyzed ECG recordings from 55 222 individuals from a UK middle-aged population undergoing an exercise stress test in UK Biobank (UKB). TMR was used to measure ventricular repolarization dynamics, exposed in this cohort by exercise (TMR during exercise, TMR ex ) and recovery from exercise (TMR during recovery, TMR rec ). The primary end point was cardiovascular events; secondary end points were all-cause mortality, ventricular arrhythmias, and atrial fibrillation with median follow-up of 7 years. Genome-wide association studies for TMR ex and TMR rec were performed, and genetic risk scores were derived and tested for association in independent samples from the full UKB cohort (N=360 631)., Results: A total of 1743 (3.2%) individuals in UKB who underwent the exercise stress test had a cardiovascular event, and TMR rec was significantly associated with cardiovascular events (hazard ratio, 1.11; P =5×10 -7 ), independent of clinical variables and other ECG markers. TMR rec was also associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.10) and ventricular arrhythmias (hazard ratio, 1.16). We identified 12 genetic loci in total for TMR ex and TMR rec , of which 9 are associated with another ECG marker. Individuals in the top 20% of the TMR rec genetic risk score were significantly more likely to have a cardiovascular event in the full UKB cohort (18 997, 5.3%) than individuals in the bottom 20% (hazard ratio, 1.07; P =6×10 -3 )., Conclusions: TMR and TMR genetic risk scores are significantly associated with cardiovascular risk in a UK middle-aged population, supporting the hypothesis that increased spatio-temporal heterogeneity of ventricular repolarization is a substrate for cardiovascular risk and the validity of TMR as a cardiovascular risk predictor.