Search

This paper presents a Bayesian network model to assess the vulnerability of the flood control infrastructure and to simulate failure cascade based on the topological structure of flood control networks along with hydrological information gathered from sensors. Two measures are proposed to characterize the flood control network vulnerability and failure cascade: (a) node failure probability (NFP), which determines the failure likelihood of each network component under each scenario of rainfall event, and (b) failure cascade susceptibility, which captures the susceptibility of a network component to failure due to failure of other links. The proposed model was tested in both single watershed and multiple watershed scenarios in Harris County, Texas using historical data from three different flooding events, including Hurricane Harvey in 2017. The proposed model was able to identify the most vulnerable flood control network segments prone to flooding in the face of extreme rainfall. The framework and results furnish a new tool and insights to help decision‐makers to prioritize infrastructure enhancement investments and actions. The proposed Bayesian network modeling framework also enables simulation of failure cascades in flood control infrastructures, and thus could be used for scenario planning as well as near‐real‐time inundation forecasting to inform emergency response planning and operation, and hence improve the flood resilience of urban areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper proposes and tests a multilayer framework for simulating the network dynamics of inter-organizational coordination among interdependent infrastructure systems (IISs) in resilience planning. Inter-organizational coordination among IISs (such as transportation, flood control, and emergency management) would greatly affect the effectiveness of resilience planning. Hence, it is important to examine and understand the dynamics of coordination in networks of organizations within and across various systems in resilience planning. To capture the dynamic nature of coordination frequency and the heterogeneity of organizations, this paper proposes a multilayer network simulation framework enabling the characterization of inter-organizational coordination dynamics within and across IISs. In the proposed framework, coordination probabilities are utilized to approximate the varying levels of collaboration among organizations. Based on these derived collaborations, the simulation process perturbs intra-layer or inter-layer links and unveils the level of inter-organizational coordination within and across IISs. To test the proposed framework, the study examined a multilayer collaboration network of 35 organizations from five infrastructure systems within Harris County, Texas, based on the data gathered from a survey in the aftermath of Hurricane Harvey. The results indicate that prior to Hurricane Harvey: (1) coordination among organizations across different infrastructure systems is less than the coordination within the individual systems; (2) organizations from the community development system had a low level of coordination for hazard mitigation with organizations in flood control and transportation systems; (3) achieving a greater level of coordination among organizations across infrastructure systems is more difficult and would require a greater frequency of interaction (compared to within-system coordination). The results show the capability of the proposed multilayer network simulation framework to examine inter-organizational coordination dynamics at the system level (e.g., within and across IISs). The assessment of inter-organizational coordination within and across IISs sheds light on important organizational interdependencies in IISs and leads to recommendations for improving the resilience planning process. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Urban flooding disrupts traffic networks, affecting mobility and disrupting residents' access. Flooding events are predicted to increase due to climate change; therefore, understanding traffic network's flood-caused disruption is critical to improving emergency planning and city resilience. This study reveals the anatomy of perturbed traffic networks by leveraging high-resolution traffic network data from a major flood event and advanced high-order network analysis. We evaluate travel times between every pairwise junction in the city and assess higher-order network geometry changes in the network to determine flood impacts. The findings show network-wide persistent increased travel times could last for weeks after the flood water has receded, even after modest flood failure. A modest flooding of 1.3% road segments caused 8% temporal expansion of the entire traffic network. The results also show that distant trips would experience a greater percentage increase in travel time. Also, the extent of the increase in travel time does not decay with distance from inundated areas, suggesting that the spatial reach of flood impacts extends beyond flooded areas. The findings of this study provide an important novel understanding of floods' impacts on the functioning of traffic networks in terms of travel time and traffic network geometry. • High-order network analysis and reveals anatomy of perturbed traffic networks. • Network-wide persistent travel time increase can last for weeks. • Modest flooding causes significant temporal expansion of network. • Distant trips experience greater percentage increase in travel time. • Flood impacts extend beyond inundated areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The number of catastrophic events such as extreme rainfalls and hurricanes has been growing. These events pose a major threat to the life safety and economic prosperity of urban regions. Flood control networks play a pivotal role in mitigating the risk associated with the stormwater generated by extreme rainfalls and hurricanes. The objective of this study is to propose a framework to examine the vulnerability in flood control infrastructure networks. This framework applies graph theory concepts and tools to define a vulnerability index for flood control network components (e.g., channels and rivers). The topological attributes of flood control networks are used to determine the vulnerability index based on structural attributes of flood control networks. First, a flood control network is modeled as a directed graph and storage facilities are incorporated into the network. Second, co-location exposure, upstream channel susceptibility, and discharge redundancy are characterized as important vulnerability attributes of a channel in flood control network. Then, these three characteristics are formulized based on the topological attributes of the network and characteristics of channels. The vulnerability index is then determined based on the three vulnerability characteristics. The proposed vulnerability index can be used to evaluate the impact of different risk reduction policies on flood control network vulnerability and determine the optimal mitigation strategies aiming at flood risk reduction, such as widening vulnerable channels, placement of storage facilities in the network or increasing the redundancy of the network. The framework is implemented on two watersheds in Harris County (Texas, USA) and the results' implications for decision-making in infrastructure management and hazard mitigation planning are discussed. The results highlight the capability of the proposed graph-based framework to inform flood risk reduction through evaluation of the vulnerability of infrastructure networks. • A novel graph-based approach is proposed to assess the vulnerability of flood control networks in urban regions. • The graph-based approach enables identification of vulnerable channels considering exposure, susceptibility, and redundancy. • The application of the proposed framework is demonstrated in two watersheds in Harris County region. • The proposed framework supports decision-making for network enhancement aiming at flood risk and vulnerability reduction. • The proposed method provides implications for prioritizing channels for enhancement and selecting proper storage facilities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• Bayesian network flood model integrating network structure and empirical flood data. • Failure characterization of road network considering cascading failure from channels. • Simulation of flood propagation on the road network with high accuracy. • Quantitative flood risk measurement in road networks with a tiered representation. • Assist decision-makers to prioritize infrastructure protections for risk reduction. This paper presents a probabilistic model for assessing risk of cascading failures in co-located road and channel networks. The proposed Bayesian network analysis framework integrates network structural properties and empirical flood propagation data to model the spread of flooding. The model was tested in a multiple watershed scenario in Harris County, Texas (USA), using historical flood data from past events. The results show the capability of the proposed Bayesian network model to quantitatively characterize the failure (i.e., inundation) of road network considering the cascading failure (i.e., overflow) from the channel network. The proposed model also enables simulating the risk of flood cascades (i.e., flood propagation) on the road network with high accuracy. The generic design of the algorithm also enables the adaptation of the proposed framework in other cities and regions. Accordingly, the proposed model provides a new tool to help decision-makers prioritize infrastructure protection plans and emergency response actions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]